Posted:
#76
Yup push, thought it was a winner to. I'm going to look at the scoring system again when the odds post this wk.
Fantasy Props Betting Thread
Posted:
#77
Last wk 2-1-1 no fraction points in the scoring system, just one for every 10 yards so Julius vs gonzo was a push instead of a win.
Season 22-8-3
Considering these.
Bree's -105 vs Rivers - can you ever out do drew the Gunslinger?
Romo -120 vs cam- mn secondary is bad!
Murray +100 vs alf- Viks been giving it up on the ground as well! I'm sure ya heard GB dint punt once last wk vs them.
Lynch+130 vs shady-
Marshal-120 vs Boykin
Posted:
#79
Settled on just two:
Marshall -120 vs Boykin- if j.jones plays I'll add more on this.
Bree's -105 vs Rivers- give me the guy who just put up 5 Tds and who throws for 300 yards at will vs jets team who just gave up 5 Tds&325 to dalton.
Way to many kicker- defense- tight end match ups on the board and a few very tight match ups as well.
Wanted to take dez vs garçon but the-150 is a lil high. Dez should explode today.
Posted:
#81
i hit the the ray rice hard and lucked out with DMC leaving game early. Will be fading Rice going forth. Something is wrong with him.
The Cam vs Romo I thought I had in the bag, especially when Cam ran it in but the INT and Romo's rally sealed my fate. So close.
Also played Forte vs Lacy but a minimal unit.
Marshall as well a play tonight. GL
Posted:
#82
3-0 last wk marshal was a gift.
Season 25 -8- 3
Tonight one for sure I like and gonna play is
Ap -110 rec yards over 22.5 he's passed this number in four out of the last five on limited receptions. Prime time and purple Jesus is just to talented to let this pass for me.
Considering reed over 59.5 rec yards
And for fun will do 1st td on one of the following
12-1 rg3
10-1 garçon leaning here
10-1 reed
Posted:
#83
At first glance I don't see much I like, but 2 so far
Cam Newton vs Rivers - @ +110 and with threat of a rushing TD I like Cam. He came up short last week for me vs Romo, but I think he should win this one and the added juice is valuable.
MJD vs Fred Jackson - Im so invested in the guy. but I also believe MJD will put up a vintage performance here meanwhile FredEx will yield more carries to CJ
Posted:
#84
Thursday ap let me down bringing season to 25-9-3.
I dont like cam vs rivers this wk. Shootout game vs defense no thank you. Other one no opinion really.
Im playing these
D.thomas +110 vs andre- like whos throwing him the ball 100times more.
Vernon -130 vs olsen
Gates -120 vs Garrett graham. By the time I went to dbl up on this it jumped to-140.
Few others were ok nothing jumping off the the charts tho.
Good luck
I dont like cam vs rivers this wk. Shootout game vs defense no thank you. Other one no opinion really.
Im playing these
D.thomas +110 vs andre- like whos throwing him the ball 100times more.
Vernon -130 vs olsen
Gates -120 vs Garrett graham. By the time I went to dbl up on this it jumped to-140.
Few others were ok nothing jumping off the the charts tho.
Good luck
Posted:
#85
Played your picks. Vernon would have won had he stayed in game. Nice pick
I added some more small plays but since I didn't list them it wont count. 1-1 on this day, and looks like 2-1 with your plays. Its been a good season. My account just keeps growing and as long as I stay away betting regular lines, Its going to be a profitable season. Soon these guys will catch up and set tougher odds, but in the meantime, guys like us who know what were doing will continue to beat them.
One play tonight, Over 295.5 Tony Romo Pass Yards. The odds aren't great at the added juice -120, but I feel its shootout mode and someone should break one for some YAC contributions. STandard + 50% added on this one.
And on a small play, I will pay the added juice of -150 for Dez vs Kenny Stills. I could feel stupid, but cmon, he has emerged to star status and he is itching to showcase himself on the Sunday stage. Again, this is cautious because Stills could break one. But for a small play, why not.
Posted:
#86
Shitty way to end the week. Fluky, historic night of 40 Saints first downs and COwboys innefficency doomed me. Thought Dez would take it until the big play by Stills in the 4th. Noticing that I am unsuccessful betting the player props. So ill treat them as I do teasers and parlays, STAY AWAY!!!! Detrimental to the bank roll. I have success doing this and that is what I will stick to.
Posted:
#87
Week 11 slate
Stafford vs Big Ben - Ill take Mini-Marino at the even money +100
Megatron -120 vs DeSean Jackson - A top 10 fantasy consensus vs a 6th round pick. I don't care what's happening in Philly or if Megatron is playing on crutches. I do not deviate from this theory especially when the G.O.A.T is out there. (I am a huge Jerry Rice fan and having seen both play, I lean CJ)
BPD vs Garcon - I love the Cutler-Marshall combo, I love added juice at the even money +100. Garcon can get the bigger play for sure and by virtue of standard deviation, he will hit one out the park soon, the team hasn't been as successful with their deep balls as perception suggests. But Ill take the workhorse top 20 fantasy stalwart vs the oft-crippled playmaker. I may lose this one but its a bet I will make every week when presented.
Rivers vs Kaepernick - I just like Rivers here. Rivers is a hot fantasy commodity, while Kapernick is being dropped off rosters. 164 vs 124 fantasy points based on their scoring. KP may get that sneaky rushing yards but I like what I see from the Chargers offense. EVen on third downs, Woodhead is a threat to score a receiving TD. Gates is due for a score too!
Drew Brees vs Russel Wilson - Drew Brees -110. I don't care if its the 85 Bears or 2000 Ravens out there on defense. This is Drew Brees in the dome with perhaps the most potent offense in the world.
Im gonna grind out some more and break down anything else. Beyond this I didn't see too much but I bet there is a gem. I play your picks as well.
Posted:
#88
Not much time to dig in with such a late release on the lines again very frustrating.
Few for me..
Welker +180 vs d.thomas- just have to take a shot here at the price
Lynch -110 vs gore- beast mode should post 100 and td vs Viks
Bree's -110 vs Wilson - the Tds might be even but the yards favor drew
Just fwi could be some bad weather in a few games tomor, which would leave me off the Marshall play. The rest of yours I can't argue.
Good luck
Posted:
#90
28-12-3 season
These two so far
Fitz -120 vs n.washington- mr Washington has only scored more then 6pts twice all season. Mix in Fitzpatrick throwing him the ball on the road. ill take my chances on a far superior athlete.
Vernon -120 vs gates- just one td in the last 6 for gates mix in a tough match up vs chiefs and the fact Vernon gets a soft opponent in wash on Monday night football I see him adding to his 8 Tds on the season.
Posted:
#94
Part of it was the late release, its getting increasingly frustrating.
I also don't have much, I will scale down 25% of my units. Going to play;
Andrew Luck +110. With the benching of Trent, for whatever it means, I think Luck may have one of his biggest games today.
Gronk vs Cameron. Its a hefty price tag -150, but I love my chances.
Phil Rivers vs Andy Dalton. I like RIvers.
49ers vs Rams D. Usually don't play the defenses but I love my Niners!
Posted:
#97
Wow not too shabby!
5-1 on the day with the Brown vs Morris in play. regardless it was nice to win, too bad I tinkered my betting amounts down, but that Is part of my strategy.
Looked at the player props and could not help myself to place a bet on the Brown over 79.5 yards, As stated clearly I am shying away from these but the sickness has me playing it anyway. Albiet for chump change.
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