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Louisville at Cincinnati (12/05/2013)

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Prospect
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Posted: #1

Away:  Louisville [4-7 ATS]
Home:  Cincinnati [6-5 ATS]

Game Time: 7:30 PM
Stadium: Nippert Stadium

Recent Meetings:
10/26/12 - CIN 31 vs. LOU 34
10/15/11 - LOU 16 vs. CIN 25
10/15/10 - CIN 35 vs. LOU 27

Team Leaders:

Louisville:
Passing: Teddy Bridgewater (3268)
Rushing: Dominique Brown (704)
Receiving: Damian Copeland (655)

Cincinnati:
Passing: Brendon Kay (2799)
Rushing: Hosey Williams (575)
Receiving: Anthony McClung (811)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
Rookie
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Posted: #2
Wow..look at the schedules these teams played ...rather pathetic....take the dog!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
On first look...is the wrong team favored?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
Cincinnati is playing at home and is coming from 2 straight games with 400+ passing yards but is playing against the Louisville the 2°defense against the pass. 
In the other hand Louisville on their last 3 games scored only 3 touchdowns and 1 INT.

Louisville 
Teddy Bridgewater had 25 touchdowns only 7 playing on road.

Brandon Kay has been sacked only 9 times, Bridgewater was sacked 19.

Louisville 38.0 sacks Cincinnati 32.

Cincinnati Bearcats D-Line is a factor.. they are good and big.
 
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Posted: #5
Cincinnati is playing at home and is coming from 2 straight games with 400+ passing yards but is playing against the Louisville the 2°defense against the pass. 
In the other hand Louisville on their last 3 games scored only 3 touchdowns and 1 INT.

Louisville 
Teddy Bridgewater had 25 touchdowns only 7 playing on road.

Brandon Kay has been sacked only 9 times, Bridgewater was sacked 19.

Louisville 38.0 sacks Cincinnati 32.

Cincinnati Bearcats D-Line is a factor.. they are good and big.
 
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Posted: #6
Cincinnati + 3.5 Over Louisville!

Cincinnati now 6-0 looking for seven straight...and a possible BCS Bowl.  Cincy QB Kay (2790 YP and 22 TD) more than capable of trading points against QB Bridgewater (now only 22 ppg. his last two games!)

Cincinnati's powerful OL and defence (giving up only 3 yards per carry) can hold Louisville's offence...and win game outright!

Cincy has power at home...5-0!

Cincinnati 4-0 as home underdog since 2007!

Louisville 1-6 vs. spread in its last 7 games!

Louisville now 1-4 vs. spread last 5 meetings with Cincinnati!

Cincinnati  + 3.5 Over Louisville!  Three Unit Play!  

GLTA                             
 
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Posted: #7
Cincinnati +3.5 @ Home they will be pumped up and it should be a close game so i would take the points and the home dog.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by SportsPredictor:

Cincinnati + 3.5 Over Louisville!

Cincinnati now 6-0 looking for seven straight...and a possible BCS Bowl.  Cincy QB Kay (2790 YP and 22 TD) more than capable of trading points against QB Bridgewater (now only 22 ppg. his last two games!)

Cincinnati's powerful OL and defence (giving up only 3 yards per carry) can hold Louisville's offence...and win game outright!

Cincy has power at home...5-0!

Cincinnati 4-0 as home underdog since 2007!

Louisville 1-6 vs. spread in its last 7 games!

Louisville now 1-4 vs. spread last 5 meetings with Cincinnati!

Cincinnati  + 3.5 Over Louisville!  Three Unit Play!  

GLTA                             
Why do not go with Cincinnati ML? i am not convinced with Louisville offense. 

(and if i bore some of you guys i'm sorry my english isn't good.)
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
I dont know about selecting a the team line but I love the UNDER here bc this will be a defensive battle. 2 weeks to prepare for one another and not to mention its an 80% chance of rain all day. 

20-24 kind of score 

10pt UNDER teaser
Louis/Cincy U 61.5
NIU/Bowling U 68.5
Mich St/ OSU U 61
 
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Posted: #10

ALL IN Louisville---- I faded them the last 3 games because I believed that they didn't want to cover.  two weeks ago, I said that I would take Houston +10.  now the situation is different because of a 4-pt margin, and they should be playing more seriously. 

 

 
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Posted: #11
Louville out with a BANG...BRIDGE WATER SHOWS HE BELONGS IN THE NFL..
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by SportsPredictor:

Cincinnati + 3.5 Over Louisville!

Quote Originally Posted by TheBrazilian:

Why do not go with Cincinnati ML? i am not convinced with Louisville offense. 

(and if i bore some of you guys i'm sorry my english isn't good.)


That's a great question, TheBrazilian, and not easy to answer.  I'll try to be brief.  We'll say that the bet will be $100 on Cincinnati...$110 to win $100 with the "juice".  And I get 3.5 Points.

However, if I DID bet the Morning Line on Cincy, I would put up $110 to get back $155...winning $45 more going with the "Morning Line".

But there's a problem!  Cincinnati would HAVE to win the game "outright", because I would have no points!  But what if Cincinnati DOES NOT win the game "outright"?

What if they lose the game by 2 or 3 points?  That means I would lose the $110 because I was trying to win an extra $45.  But by taking the + 3.5 points, I would still win the $100 because they covered the spread...only losing by 2 or 3 points.

Everyone has their way of wagering.  But for me, that's why the Morning Line tends to "scare me."  I'll win a little less, but the + 3.5 points is well worth the added "insurance" just in case they lose the  game, but cover the + 3.5 points.  Hope this helps, and best of luck with all of your bets TheBrazilian...

                                         
 
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Posted: #13
For a minute I was wondering WTf is a morning line.
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by SportsPredictor:



That's a great question, TheBrazilian, and not easy to answer.  I'll try to be brief.  We'll say that the bet will be $100 on Cincinnati...$110 to win $100 with the "juice".  And I get 3.5 Points.

However, if I DID bet the Morning Line on Cincy, I would put up $110 to get back $155...winning $45 more going with the "Morning Line".

But there's a problem!  Cincinnati would HAVE to win the game "outright", because I would have no points!  But what if Cincinnati DOES NOT win the game "outright"?

What if they lose the game by 2 or 3 points?  That means I would lose the $110 because I was trying to win an extra $45.  But by taking the + 3.5 points, I would still win the $100 because they covered the spread...only losing by 2 or 3 points.

Everyone has their way of wagering.  But for me, that's why the Morning Line tends to "scare me."  I'll win a little less, but the + 3.5 points is well worth the added "insurance" just in case they lose the  game, but cover the + 3.5 points.  Hope this helps, and best of luck with all of your bets TheBrazilian...

                                         
SportsPredictor man you're 100 right thank you for help me to open my eyes. Where you from man? much love :)
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Ongdia888:

ALL IN Louisville---- I faded them the last 3 games because I believed that they didn't want to cover.  two weeks ago, I said that I would take Houston +10.  now the situation is different because of a 4-pt margin, and they should be playing more seriously. 


WTFact: Cincinnati has more yards in total offense than Louisville. 
 
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Posted: #16
This game screams OVER but not so fast the line is low for u to take the over. This will be an under game. The last time NIU had this low of an O/U was against CMU and yep it hit UNDER 59. Bowling green is a time of possession team and very solid against the run, they dominated the line of scrimmage against Buff. I did this last time with the MAC taking the OVER, look at the games where the competition of the 2 playing teams were similar. Don't let the NIU/Ball State game OVER fool you neither, 21 points was scored in the last five minutes. Yeah I was happy that it hit but the chances of how that hit is not likely that's why The under happen in the Toledo game same over/under as the Ball State game. THIS GAME MAY BE IN THE 50S BUT NOT BEYOND 58.5

31-21 or 31-24
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by albertcarr2k:

For a minute I was wondering WTf is a morning line.

I'm still wondering. I'm more familiar with the mourning line. That's the one after the game right???
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by TheBrazilian:

WTFact: Cincinnati has more yards in total offense than Louisville. 

Monday nite..... Seahawks + under BIG.  where are the FACTS in that???? you can argue that Saints suck on road, but getting 6.5 at game time... many fell for it.

 
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Posted: #19

Quote Originally Posted by noheahawaii:

Louville out with a BANG...BRIDGE WATER SHOWS HE BELONGS IN THE NFL..

Brada..... you must be a Munoz fan or a bookie for his brother. Louisville are Pretenders and Bridgewater has trouble with good D's. Cincy smokes here and they ain't smokin Maui Gold !

 
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Posted: #20
I am waiting for Vue's pick. 
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by Bevowins:

I am waiting for Vue's pick. 


He usually takes the dog.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #22

Cincy and Under in this game.

I like the Under more.  Lou team moves the ball very slow, may not be able to move the ball at all in this game because Cindy has good D.  TeddyB is wayyyyyy overrated. 

Under for a straight bet

Under +Cindy for a parlay

should Cindy lost, the under should cover the bet and worst thing is break even. Or ....   BOL

 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by johnnytoobad:


I'm still wondering. I'm more familiar with the mourning line. That's the one after the game right???


Mistake in my above post!  Meant to say MONEY LINE, not Morning Line!

                                     

GLTA                         


 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by TheBrazilian:

SportsPredictor man you're 100 right thank you for help me to open my eyes. Where you from man? much love :)

Only to happy to help you out, TheBrazilian.   

I'm from Boston, Massachusetts.  But, after Sunday's game, I'm giving up on betting the New England Patriots!  I'm suspicious about them not covering points!

Good Luck this Week!                   


 
 
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Posted: #25

GL

LOVE THE UNDER

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