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California at Texas (12/28/2011)

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Posts: 34

Sydag5

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2009

Posts: 10

Posted: Dec. 28, 2011 - 6:26 PM ET #26

Everyone is overvaluing the longhorns way to much here. That defense isn't as good as people seem to think. Cal's front seven is better then people think, and the Bears also have the better quaterback.

Making a large play on Cal here to cover. Might be one

WiseGuy702

All-Star

Joined: Sep, 2006

Posts: 11877

Posted: Dec. 28, 2011 - 6:43 PM ET #27

Cal Bears +3.5

wackycracker

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2010

Posts: 483

Posted: Dec. 28, 2011 - 6:51 PM ET #28

I got Cal. in a three team tease ( Cal. +13.5) W/ Toledo +7 and the over in the Toledo game @60----

Jordan032503

Captain

Joined: Dec, 2008

Posts: 5105

Posted: Dec. 28, 2011 - 7:19 PM ET #29

Quote Originally Posted by echelon1:

As LH said above, Texas style of play matches up pretty well here. The QB's will have a specific gameplan design to stress both of their strengths to the fullest and minimize the flaws. Cal is it what it is. What you've seen is what you get. Texas with Harsin at OC and a month to prepare will be big for the young QB's. But most importantly, Texas was not the Texas we will see in this game that it was in it's last several games...

Bergeron and Brown healthy together is HUGE. You can add at least 2 more wins to that total if both were not banged up in the Mizzou and KSU losses. Both were near wins and the Horns and their tailored-to-run offense was running with 5th string RB. Top three out and another transferred during year. And trust me, the dropoff from B&B to Traylon Shead is a quantum leap in the wrong direction.

Cal may keep it close due to Case and Ash being controlled and held within reason on the chances they will take, yet the power backs and superior defense will be enough to get the win. Texas may even surprise here with a bigger win than expected. The motivation is there to play balls out. Don't underestimate how important it is to this coaching staff to end this year with a win. Another loss and the turn-around looks very minimal. A win and the Longhorn nation will feel we are headed back in the right direction, and that's paramount in Longhorn Land.

very nice write-up echelon1 as alway.

We need more people like you in this forum..,!

livie

Veteran

Joined: May, 2009

Posts: 3147

Posted: Dec. 28, 2011 - 7:41 PM ET #30

Quote Originally Posted by Sydag5:

Making a large play on Cal here to cover. Might be one

you created a new alias just to post this shit?

stammertime

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2011

Posts: 34

Posted: Dec. 28, 2011 - 7:47 PM ET #31

ech you have done an excellent job of capping this game....could this texas qb play get any worse? have you confirmed brown and bergeron are playin 100%?...i'm thinking this will look like the missouri game if we dont have malcomb and bergeron...with mack out and nick in next year i'm goin cal money line. dueces

EDDIEW

Veteran

Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 4106

Posted: Dec. 28, 2011 - 7:50 PM ET #32

you created a new alias just to post this shit?}}}

why is that shit?? I'm going cal too

babygus17

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 332

Posted: Dec. 28, 2011 - 8:06 PM ET #33

ASH 3TD 8 PICKS, VS A HOT CAL TEAM AND QB WHO HAS A COACH THAT IS AN EXPERT AT THAT POSITION, PTS PLEASE

Macallanlover

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 1648

Posted: Dec. 28, 2011 - 9:00 PM ET #34

This is what you call a "power running game"? Looks like they are getting blown back by a PAC 12 defense to me. What an inept plan, and slow motion QB. Why does Texas put up with mack Brown? Guy has the best talent to pull from in the country, gets pick of the litter, and still can't field a winning team. What has he won, 2 Big 12 titles in over a decade, and none before that...anywhere?

Quote Originally Posted by echelon1:

Most important thing to remember is when analyzing Texas this year, you might want to discard the lack of offensive potency the last 4 games. Texas is a power running football team, and the last 4 games they had no one to fulfill this role...2 RBs out and other limping around. With any sort of running help they would have beat both Mizzou and KSU. Almost did it with 5th team RB. Of the games Brown finished the year with, you could tell he was at best 60% with little power after contact. And Bergeron never came back.

What you will see tonight is Brown around 90% and Bergeron around 75%. That's enough to crank back up this power run machine. MOST IMPORTANT...the QB's have sucked because the running game died when the top 3 guys went down. Nobody had to load up to stop us anymore. So the play-action was ineffective and we certainly weren't allowed past the secondary as they didn't fear the run...meaning extra safety help in pass game. With Brown and Bergeron back, all that changes. You will see a much more effective passing game, guaranteed. When you have to respect the run, the pass opens up more with the right play calls. Texas will impress tonight. However, anything more than giving 3 points is a risk, IMO. Backdoor points, etc could kill the spread win.

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California at Texas (12/28/2011)

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