Brigham Young at Oregon State (12/22/2009)

Oregon State vs. BYU

Some stats....

• BYU is 10-2, both their losses have come to teams who are going to bowl games (FSU and TCU). They have 4 victories over teams who are going to bowl games.
• Oregon state is 8-4, all 4 losses coming to teams who are going bowling (USC, Oregon, Arizona, and Cincinatti). They have 2/3 wins on teams that are going bowling (3 if UCLA goes, 2 if army)
• BYU will be going to the Las Vegas bowl again. BYU is coming in hot, winning their last 4 games by an avg of 17 points. Oregon State comes here after a heart crushing defeat to Oregon with the Rose bowl on the line. Will they be motivated? They went from playing in the Rose bowl to the Las Vegas bowl with one loss.

Oregon State Offensive Breakdown:

Points Scored: 22
Total Yards: 30
Pass Yards: 19
Rush Yards: 65

BYU Defensive Breakdown

Points ALlowed: 34
Total yards allowed: 35
Pass Yards Allowed: 65
Rush Yards Allowed: 22

Analysis: Both teams are strong on these sides of the ball.Oregon State's offensive is balanced. They have a great back in Rodgers and a really good passing attack. BYU also has a solid defense, but is much more tough on the run then pass. So its their weakness vs. Oregon State strength. Advantage Oregon State, but nothing drastic.


BYU Offensive Breakdown:

Points Scored: 12
Total yards: 18
Pass yards: 12
Rush yards: 61

Oregon State Defensive Breakdown:

Points Allowed: 51
Total yards allowed: 50
Pass yards allowed: 87
Rush yards allowed: 25

Analysis: BYU has a very good offense. They are definently more pass heavy with Hall, which is good when facing Oregon State. Oregon State is much better against the run then the pass. Advantage is with BYU here.

Other:

Net Punt Avg:
OSU: 37.0
BYU:37.0

Penalties / Peanlty yards per game
OSU: 7.5 / 56.4 yards
BYU: 7 / 66.1 yards

3rd Down conversion (offensive)
OSU: 47%
BYU: 55%

3rd Down Conversion (defensive)
OSU: 36%
BYU: 39%

Field Goals:
OSU: 22 for 27
BYU: 9 for 13

Red Zone Scores:
OSU: 96%
BYU: 88%

Red Zone Scores (defensive)
OSU: 87%
BYU: 79%

Red Zone Touchdowns:
OSU: 72%
BYU: 77%

Red Zone Touchdowns (defensive):
OSU: 76%
BYU: 56%

Turnover Margin:
OSU: +6
BYU: -1

**Scoring By Half**
1st Half: BYU Outscores Opponents by 101, OSU by 113
2nd Half: BYU outscores Opponents by 53, OSU OUTSCORED by 5

Analysis: Not a lot to take out of this section. One thing is when OSU gets in the red zones, they get points on the board. BYU defense is also pretty good at keeping opponents out of the end zone. OSU also dominates the Turnover Margin compared to BYU. I found it interesting how both teams are very strong first half teams. If BYU can survive thru the first half, I think they will be able to win this game.


For the overall game, I lean BYU. No play yet, will have to do more research. My prediction for the game right now is...

BYU: 30
OSU: 27

I bet he probably bet on himself.