Even though Boise State fits the System, I personally am staying away. I capped the game with numbers very close to VG's, but when i make picks i look at other factors too. For example, this game is a night game primetime in Ruston. Boise State had a short week of practice and had to travel yesterday, now granted Louisiana Tech had a short week as well, but they did not have to travel for a half day before the game. I think 21 points is way to many to give up on the road in a primetime game. Boise State will win this game, and may even cover, but my handicapping tells me to stay away all together.
Even though Boise State fits the System, I personally am staying away. I capped the game with numbers very close to VG's, but when i make picks i look at other factors too. For example, this game is a night game primetime in Ruston. Boise State had a short week of practice and had to travel yesterday, now granted Louisiana Tech had a short week as well, but they did not have to travel for a half day before the game. I think 21 points is way to many to give up on the road in a primetime game. Boise State will win this game, and may even cover, but my handicapping tells me to stay away all together.
Man this is tough on the over under. My local has it at 51.5, which sits right in the sweet spot when i capped it. I capped it at a total of 52 points, the same as VG did (shocker considering i'm using the same system). This being said i would tend to stay away from the over under and look more for a straight play on Boise. Again though, I personally am not touching this game. However if I had no choice and had to make a play on the over/under i would say the under because the game is at Louisiana Tech and it is a primetime game for them, so i think emotionally they will play with pride to try and not get blown out. Best of luck to you if you do decide to make a play on it!
Man this is tough on the over under. My local has it at 51.5, which sits right in the sweet spot when i capped it. I capped it at a total of 52 points, the same as VG did (shocker considering i'm using the same system). This being said i would tend to stay away from the over under and look more for a straight play on Boise. Again though, I personally am not touching this game. However if I had no choice and had to make a play on the over/under i would say the under because the game is at Louisiana Tech and it is a primetime game for them, so i think emotionally they will play with pride to try and not get blown out. Best of luck to you if you do decide to make a play on it!
Some of the basic math is off in VGPOPs original predictions. Just be careful sice one point can obviously make a pick from an obvious stem play to a borderline one.
Some of the basic math is off in VGPOPs original predictions. Just be careful sice one point can obviously make a pick from an obvious stem play to a borderline one.
Rush would you please answer my question in the General forum regarding who you would rather bet with, Pam from the Office or Jim's ex girlfriend from The Office and current star of Parks and Recreation, Rashida Jones? I need to know damnit.
Rush would you please answer my question in the General forum regarding who you would rather bet with, Pam from the Office or Jim's ex girlfriend from The Office and current star of Parks and Recreation, Rashida Jones? I need to know damnit.
Rush would you please answer my question in the General forum regarding who you would rather bet with, Pam from the Office or Jim's ex girlfriend from The Office and current star of Parks and Recreation, Rashida Jones? I need to know damnit.
Meant to address this to you mr vgpop not Rush, was copying and pasting to save typing and made grave error.
Rush would you please answer my question in the General forum regarding who you would rather bet with, Pam from the Office or Jim's ex girlfriend from The Office and current star of Parks and Recreation, Rashida Jones? I need to know damnit.
Meant to address this to you mr vgpop not Rush, was copying and pasting to save typing and made grave error.
VGPOP do you every play strictly on the system generated numbers or do you incorpoate outside factors such as weather injuries or emotional high or low?
VGPOP do you every play strictly on the system generated numbers or do you incorpoate outside factors such as weather injuries or emotional high or low?
Nice work everyone, especiall VG. Hey VG, do U recommend playing on DOGS where lines are off by 7plus pts from your predicted scores? For instance :
Game6 - Wmichigan 24 MichiganSt 34 MichiganSt -11
Currently at the time of my post, bodog.com has MI.St -20.5.
Also, it may worth a while to take a look at DOGS when favors are predicted to win <7 pts in your system. I tried this technique on the weeknight games this week and it's actually PROFITABLE. On Thur.11.5.09 I followed your system with N.Illinois (W), took two DOGS: Mia.ohio + E.Car, both winners. I got E.Car +13 at my local, so chalk that up as a winner!
A profitable weekday plays despite the loss with Boise.
THANK U, VG + ROUGH for your FREE HARDWORK, DEDICATION AND KINDNESS to share your method and tips.
Nice work everyone, especiall VG. Hey VG, do U recommend playing on DOGS where lines are off by 7plus pts from your predicted scores? For instance :
Game6 - Wmichigan 24 MichiganSt 34 MichiganSt -11
Currently at the time of my post, bodog.com has MI.St -20.5.
Also, it may worth a while to take a look at DOGS when favors are predicted to win <7 pts in your system. I tried this technique on the weeknight games this week and it's actually PROFITABLE. On Thur.11.5.09 I followed your system with N.Illinois (W), took two DOGS: Mia.ohio + E.Car, both winners. I got E.Car +13 at my local, so chalk that up as a winner!
A profitable weekday plays despite the loss with Boise.
THANK U, VG + ROUGH for your FREE HARDWORK, DEDICATION AND KINDNESS to share your method and tips.
I can't speak for VG, but i can say that when i cap games i use the system generated picks to narrow my focus on games to look at. Then, as you had asked i incorporate other factors (i.e emotion, home team, weather...etc.) to help cap the games i want to play on. Like i said i can't speak for VG on how he caps games, but i can say the system is a really great tool for narrowing down the games to focus on. Thanks again VG and Rough for all you efforts and energy.
I can't speak for VG, but i can say that when i cap games i use the system generated picks to narrow my focus on games to look at. Then, as you had asked i incorporate other factors (i.e emotion, home team, weather...etc.) to help cap the games i want to play on. Like i said i can't speak for VG on how he caps games, but i can say the system is a really great tool for narrowing down the games to focus on. Thanks again VG and Rough for all you efforts and energy.
I really am going strong on SMU. I locked this in with my local earlier in the week at -17.5, which i really like here. I do owe alot of credit to VG and Rough for this pick because it clearly fits the sytem they have, as well as when i capped it myself. I also like UTEP over Tulane. UTEP is on the road and I have them giving up -6.5 (again locked it in earlier in the week with my local). Just like the SMU play UTEP fits the system perfectly here, and when i capped this one it looked strong. These are the two games I'm playing on today. I don't play alot of games, but rather try and pick one to three games i really like. There are actually alot of really good system plays these week which i capped as strong games to play on, but UTEP and SMU are my two favorites for today. Hope this helps, and i would be interested to know what plays you and others are looking at.
I really am going strong on SMU. I locked this in with my local earlier in the week at -17.5, which i really like here. I do owe alot of credit to VG and Rough for this pick because it clearly fits the sytem they have, as well as when i capped it myself. I also like UTEP over Tulane. UTEP is on the road and I have them giving up -6.5 (again locked it in earlier in the week with my local). Just like the SMU play UTEP fits the system perfectly here, and when i capped this one it looked strong. These are the two games I'm playing on today. I don't play alot of games, but rather try and pick one to three games i really like. There are actually alot of really good system plays these week which i capped as strong games to play on, but UTEP and SMU are my two favorites for today. Hope this helps, and i would be interested to know what plays you and others are looking at.
Right on Saint. Best of luck to you. I like the Kent St. pick alot and the Houston pick too. They both were games i looked at closely. Can't touch the A&M game....I'm a Colorado Alum....can't play against them....but a good pick too. I hope they hit for you, good luck!
Right on Saint. Best of luck to you. I like the Kent St. pick alot and the Houston pick too. They both were games i looked at closely. Can't touch the A&M game....I'm a Colorado Alum....can't play against them....but a good pick too. I hope they hit for you, good luck!
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