I respect technical value capping and going against the grain...But, why wouldn't you also consider the actual position by position matchups, coaching, YPC, and or a fundamental approach, at least as a validation metric for your primary?
I dont consider Ark and some of the past lines Georgia has faced to be at this level. Remember UGA + vs Clemson? I also throw out Vandy of course.
Arkansas they have only been favorites 2 times the last 2 seasons. If they were a real contender they would have been a favorite against Texas. Bottom line on Arkansas they are improving but as you saw not at Georgia's level. That Arkansas game has people running to Georgia. I am taking the bookies side and taking a huge line on A TV game. In my opinion this is Georgia's biggest test since Clemson and in the Clemson game UGA (as I said ) UGA was the dog lol.
I play chess against the bookie, I don't play coordinator or coach. Know and understand the lines and who is who. Past lines and past seasons lines tell a story. I read into those stories.
Past data from those stats are very difficult to predict. Tell me how many penalties and turnover the teams are going to have? Of course Georgia has the advantage and I am betting against that advantage. but on the Road laying -16 is a joke.
As far as when I would take Georgia? Well UGS (as I said was +3 against Clemson and only scores 10 points and won that game). UGS's offense no one is talking about. They better bring it to get a lead like they had last week.
UGA by 7-10
As far as Texas and OK. Texas plays like they did against Ark this season this is over early. Texas is real high coming into this one. can they cover 4 in a row against a big boy? They haven't done well in the past and I am counting on this failure. Oklahoma can blow this game away too but I love the -3 line here. If they play they whoop em.
Texas best opponent Ark and they got trashed. Throw out the Rice game and the last 3 games Texas is giving up over 30 points on D. If the same thing happens this week, and why wouldn't it. All Okie here.
If you take my game and put it on your list of paid for handicapper plays make sure there is footnote 
After all the Pro-capper is asking for advice in the mains. Seems strange to me.
I didnt ask for advice. I asked what you were basing your picks off of since its not the teams actually playing.
@spottie2935
Great work Spottie. Very impressive. So is this a "system" exclusively, or do you include the human element of analyzing each game before you pull the trigger? I notice you referred to your "data base" and I also noticed many of your picks go against the grain of what has happened in the past 2-4 weeks.
Oh yea you're not asking to pick peoples brains ? 
Maybe "advice" is the wrong term in your eyes but I know you are looking to learn as much as you can to make yourself as successful as you can. Its funny to me. Not personal.
Past and recent opponents and sometimes who is on deck. All this matters.
Some like to bet on hot (Think Clemson from years past) hard to beat those teams. There is no Clemson this year. Clemson covers 20 of 25 games at one point. I haven't seen a team like that since. I look for "value" spots and games people can not envision. If this was craps I would be playing the don'ts, after every leaves the table after the hot shooter has 7ed out.
GL brother
I am NOT anti pro handicapper, I think some of them are outstanding. I also think more people that are betting should use them. I mean why keep betting and losing if one needs more assistance. Why waste money when you can learn from someone's past successes and mistakes.
If one is not finding a way to get it done, then change and learn from a pro.
Train you have elevated your brand and deserve your place. I respect that !! I am ignorant to your position at this point, and confused to why you bounce in the forums.
That being said I wish I was better with communication at times but hey we all need to improve.
No offense I just gut reacted.
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