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    All Forums | College Football

    Vegas's sharpest bettors bowl bets.....

    «First Previous 567 ... 181920 Next Last»
    nostradamus12
    bastar
    Pipe-Light
    Cjack
    Raidernator76
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    «First Previous 567 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    nostradamus12
    nostradamus12
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 8:29 AM ET #101

    keeping in mind - even with 57% capper such as Walters after the line instantly moves a point or more the new adjusted line will affect those getting in later will have a lower winning percentage although still much better than their own. I'm only 429-332 (56.4%) (70-41 large) in three years on covers and some others hit a decent percentage as well, so the difference in percentage from covers cappers to vegas best not as much as some might think especially considering you won't get the numbers they get - would be interesting if one could post these for the entire year at the number actually wagered (vs what number they got early) and see how the percentage for season comes out, probably good similar to your results this season trailing them

    interesting info and look like good picks, thanks for posting cjack

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    keeping in mind - even with 57% capper such as Walters after the line instantly moves a point or more the new adjusted line will affect those getting in later will have a lower winning percentage although still much better than their own. I'm only 429-332 (56.4%) (70-41 large) in three years on covers and some others hit a decent percentage as well, so the difference in percentage from covers cappers to vegas best not as much as some might think especially considering you won't get the numbers they get - would be interesting if one could post these for the entire year at the number actually wagered (vs what number they got early) and see how the percentage for season comes out, probably good similar to your results this season trailing them

    interesting info and look like good picks, thanks for posting cjack

     
    bastar
    bastar
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 8:37 AM ET #102

    Steve Fezzik is facing of with Lance Blankenship in the final for leroys money talks contest it started with 14 contestants doing 7 picks against the spread each week winner gets 80k.
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    Steve Fezzik is facing of with Lance Blankenship in the final for leroys money talks contest it started with 14 contestants doing 7 picks against the spread each week winner gets 80k.
     
    Pipe-Light
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 9:21 AM ET #103

    Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

    keeping in mind - even with 57% capper such as Walters after the line instantly moves a point or more the new adjusted line will affect those getting in later will have a lower winning percentage although still much better than their own. I'm only 429-332 (56.4%) (70-41 large) in three years on covers and some others hit a decent percentage as well, so the difference in percentage from covers cappers to vegas best not as much as some might think especially considering you won't get the numbers they get - would be interesting if one could post these for the entire year at the number actually wagered (vs what number they got early) and see how the percentage for season comes out, probably good similar to your results this season trailing them

    interesting info and look like good picks, thanks for posting cjack

    Exactly ! I reade an article by Walters or the other guy listed here. Googled them both yesterday. The main point one guy use was a Line that some book puts out on Sunday or early monfay. He would get + 1 on a team that by tuesday would be -3.

    He wrote, that is where he wins his money.

    Another example was the "new QB  Romo was going to start. line came out on Sunday. He grabbed it and the line swung 5 points. It is about getting a line early and doing your research.

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    Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

    keeping in mind - even with 57% capper such as Walters after the line instantly moves a point or more the new adjusted line will affect those getting in later will have a lower winning percentage although still much better than their own. I'm only 429-332 (56.4%) (70-41 large) in three years on covers and some others hit a decent percentage as well, so the difference in percentage from covers cappers to vegas best not as much as some might think especially considering you won't get the numbers they get - would be interesting if one could post these for the entire year at the number actually wagered (vs what number they got early) and see how the percentage for season comes out, probably good similar to your results this season trailing them

    interesting info and look like good picks, thanks for posting cjack

    Exactly ! I reade an article by Walters or the other guy listed here. Googled them both yesterday. The main point one guy use was a Line that some book puts out on Sunday or early monfay. He would get + 1 on a team that by tuesday would be -3.

    He wrote, that is where he wins his money.

    Another example was the "new QB  Romo was going to start. line came out on Sunday. He grabbed it and the line swung 5 points. It is about getting a line early and doing your research.

     
    bastar
    bastar
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 9:35 AM ET #104

    Fezzik
    Wyoming +11
    Mid Tenn St-Southern Miss OVER 57
    Steelers -2
    Panthers +10
    Browns-Chiefs OVER 37
    Titans -3 (2nd best bet)
    Redskins +3 (Best Bet)

    Lance Blankenship
    Central Florida +2.5
    Cowboys +7
    Saints-Cowboys OVER 53.5
    Packers +2
    49ers +8
    49ers-Eagles UNDER 42 (2nd best bet)
    Raiders +14 (Best Bet)
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    Fezzik
    Wyoming +11
    Mid Tenn St-Southern Miss OVER 57
    Steelers -2
    Panthers +10
    Browns-Chiefs OVER 37
    Titans -3 (2nd best bet)
    Redskins +3 (Best Bet)

    Lance Blankenship
    Central Florida +2.5
    Cowboys +7
    Saints-Cowboys OVER 53.5
    Packers +2
    49ers +8
    49ers-Eagles UNDER 42 (2nd best bet)
    Raiders +14 (Best Bet)
     
    Cjack
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 2:28 PM ET #105

    Although Fezzik has picked Wyoming in his contest, he hasn't personally pounded it across town.  They have to pick games happening this weekend, so although he felt better about it than some NFL games, it isn't a play he personally bet.

    However you can bet on Fezzik to beat Blankenship on bookmaker at -150.  Keep in mind Blankenship is fading Billy Walters in 2 of his plays (Billy bet Broncos -13, and Steelers -1) so he is already fighting upstream!


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    Although Fezzik has picked Wyoming in his contest, he hasn't personally pounded it across town.  They have to pick games happening this weekend, so although he felt better about it than some NFL games, it isn't a play he personally bet.

    However you can bet on Fezzik to beat Blankenship on bookmaker at -150.  Keep in mind Blankenship is fading Billy Walters in 2 of his plays (Billy bet Broncos -13, and Steelers -1) so he is already fighting upstream!


     
    Raidernator76
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 7:52 PM ET #106

    dang
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    dang
     
    DiamondNick
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 8:46 PM ET #107

    It would appear that Sports Handicapping Contest have made public information  that might have been more restricted in past years. It almost looks like a PR tool that Casinos and Books in Vegas use to promote public interest in their Gambling Houses. There Sports Radio programs on that are supported by Books in Vegas and have been for years. It is a multi billion dollar bussiness and if the US government would support it properly it would create a huge tax base to help ballance our budget. Read and compare CJ's info be responsible and enjoy the holliday's...   G L All 
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    It would appear that Sports Handicapping Contest have made public information  that might have been more restricted in past years. It almost looks like a PR tool that Casinos and Books in Vegas use to promote public interest in their Gambling Houses. There Sports Radio programs on that are supported by Books in Vegas and have been for years. It is a multi billion dollar bussiness and if the US government would support it properly it would create a huge tax base to help ballance our budget. Read and compare CJ's info be responsible and enjoy the holliday's...   G L All 
     
    kerryvonerick
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 8:52 PM ET #108

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    TREE88
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 8:57 PM ET #109

    Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

    keeping in mind - even with 57% capper such as Walters after the line instantly moves a point or more the new adjusted line will affect those getting in later will have a lower winning percentage although still much better than their own. I'm only 429-332 (56.4%) (70-41 large) in three years on covers and some others hit a decent percentage as well, so the difference in percentage from covers cappers to vegas best not as much as some might think especially considering you won't get the numbers they get - would be interesting if one could post these for the entire year at the number actually wagered (vs what number they got early) and see how the percentage for season comes out, probably good similar to your results this season trailing them

    interesting info and look like good picks, thanks for posting cjack

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

    keeping in mind - even with 57% capper such as Walters after the line instantly moves a point or more the new adjusted line will affect those getting in later will have a lower winning percentage although still much better than their own. I'm only 429-332 (56.4%) (70-41 large) in three years on covers and some others hit a decent percentage as well, so the difference in percentage from covers cappers to vegas best not as much as some might think especially considering you won't get the numbers they get - would be interesting if one could post these for the entire year at the number actually wagered (vs what number they got early) and see how the percentage for season comes out, probably good similar to your results this season trailing them

    interesting info and look like good picks, thanks for posting cjack

     

     
    Kurshka
    Kurshka
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 8:57 PM ET #110

    Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

    keeping in mind - even with 57% capper such as Walters after the line instantly moves a point or more the new adjusted line will affect those getting in later will have a lower winning percentage although still much better than their own. I'm only 429-332 (56.4%) (70-41 large) in three years on covers and some others hit a decent percentage as well, so the difference in percentage from covers cappers to vegas best not as much as some might think especially considering you won't get the numbers they get - would be interesting if one could post these for the entire year at the number actually wagered (vs what number they got early) and see how the percentage for season comes out, probably good similar to your results this season trailing them

    interesting info and look like good picks, thanks for posting cjack

     

    Good Info.

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    Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

    keeping in mind - even with 57% capper such as Walters after the line instantly moves a point or more the new adjusted line will affect those getting in later will have a lower winning percentage although still much better than their own. I'm only 429-332 (56.4%) (70-41 large) in three years on covers and some others hit a decent percentage as well, so the difference in percentage from covers cappers to vegas best not as much as some might think especially considering you won't get the numbers they get - would be interesting if one could post these for the entire year at the number actually wagered (vs what number they got early) and see how the percentage for season comes out, probably good similar to your results this season trailing them

    interesting info and look like good picks, thanks for posting cjack

     

    Good Info.

     
    DiamondNick
    DiamondNick
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2009 - 11:21 PM ET #111

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    Izzy-2020
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 11:26 AM ET #112

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmbo:

    you want to buy some swamp land in fla.  dizney is interested, but im giving you first shot.  happy new year

    Hey jimmbo, don't you mean that you live in a swamp in Florida?  And that unemployment is interested, but you'll give welfare the first shot.  Keep my name outta ur mouth little bitch.

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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmbo:

    you want to buy some swamp land in fla.  dizney is interested, but im giving you first shot.  happy new year

    Hey jimmbo, don't you mean that you live in a swamp in Florida?  And that unemployment is interested, but you'll give welfare the first shot.  Keep my name outta ur mouth little bitch.

     
    Izzy-2020
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 11:45 AM ET #113

    where u at jimmbo? lets see ur card today bitch
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    where u at jimmbo? lets see ur card today bitch
     
    thorpe
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 11:53 AM ET #114

    Quote Originally Posted by DiamondNick:

    It would appear that Sports Handicapping Contest have made public information  that might have been more restricted in past years. It almost looks like a PR tool that Casinos and Books in Vegas use to promote public interest in their Gambling Houses. There Sports Radio programs on that are supported by Books in Vegas and have been for years. It is a multi billion dollar bussiness and if the US government would support it properly it would create a huge tax base to help ballance our budget. Read and compare CJ's info be responsible and enjoy the holliday's...   G L All 


      Why do you want sports gambling taxed?  That is the one of the worst ideas I've ever heard. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiamondNick:

    It would appear that Sports Handicapping Contest have made public information  that might have been more restricted in past years. It almost looks like a PR tool that Casinos and Books in Vegas use to promote public interest in their Gambling Houses. There Sports Radio programs on that are supported by Books in Vegas and have been for years. It is a multi billion dollar bussiness and if the US government would support it properly it would create a huge tax base to help ballance our budget. Read and compare CJ's info be responsible and enjoy the holliday's...   G L All 


      Why do you want sports gambling taxed?  That is the one of the worst ideas I've ever heard. 
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 1:57 PM ET #115

    Quote Originally Posted by SuperiorInsight:

    Better put, this guy is one of the best and well known players in Vegas. Sports betting is his profession for years. Ride his plays and you will win in the LONG RUN.

    Well, if he's betting Texas as LARGE as you say, then the long run will be the only hope you have, because Texas will get trounced.  Any seasoned college football bettor knows NOT to bet against SEC teams in bowl games.  That's been a formula for disaster as long as I can remember, and will be again this year.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by SuperiorInsight:

    Better put, this guy is one of the best and well known players in Vegas. Sports betting is his profession for years. Ride his plays and you will win in the LONG RUN.

    Well, if he's betting Texas as LARGE as you say, then the long run will be the only hope you have, because Texas will get trounced.  Any seasoned college football bettor knows NOT to bet against SEC teams in bowl games.  That's been a formula for disaster as long as I can remember, and will be again this year.

     

     
    BoozerAAAKK
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 6:00 PM ET #116

     gl this year.
    I'll have a Puppers!
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     gl this year.
     
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 6:33 PM ET #117

    Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:



      Why do you want sports gambling taxed?  That is the one of the worst ideas I've ever heard. 


    because it would be legal....what dumbazz would be stupid enough to declare winnings anyway?........majority LOSE....the few that are smart enough to WIN....are also smart enough to hide it.....
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
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    Quote Originally Posted by thorpe:



      Why do you want sports gambling taxed?  That is the one of the worst ideas I've ever heard. 


    because it would be legal....what dumbazz would be stupid enough to declare winnings anyway?........majority LOSE....the few that are smart enough to WIN....are also smart enough to hide it.....
     
    oshow
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 7:01 PM ET #118

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    stanminh
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 7:46 PM ET #119

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    stormkingsports
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 7:56 PM ET #120

    I'm a Spartan fan and while the team has lots of talent and lost many of its games in the final seconds, I see them getting blown out (especially after 7 or so players suspended).
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    I'm a Spartan fan and while the team has lots of talent and lost many of its games in the final seconds, I see them getting blown out (especially after 7 or so players suspended).
     
    Bluefin
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 8:08 PM ET #121

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    gltom
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2009 - 10:50 PM ET #122

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    Ben-Dover
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2009 - 2:44 AM ET #123

    Quote Originally Posted by bastar:

    Fezzik
    Wyoming +11
    Mid Tenn St-Southern Miss OVER 57
    Steelers -2
    Panthers +10
    Browns-Chiefs OVER 37
    Titans -3 (2nd best bet)
    Redskins +3 (Best Bet)

    Lance Blankenship
    Central Florida +2.5
    Cowboys +7
    Saints-Cowboys OVER 53.5
    Packers +2
    49ers +8
    49ers-Eagles UNDER 42 (2nd best bet)
    Raiders +14 (Best Bet)
    Fezzik did amazing too bad i faded him on steelers but i bet on both of their best bets and so far so good. If your not on the redskins definetly add them to some teases and get on them.
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    Quote Originally Posted by bastar:

    Fezzik
    Wyoming +11
    Mid Tenn St-Southern Miss OVER 57
    Steelers -2
    Panthers +10
    Browns-Chiefs OVER 37
    Titans -3 (2nd best bet)
    Redskins +3 (Best Bet)

    Lance Blankenship
    Central Florida +2.5
    Cowboys +7
    Saints-Cowboys OVER 53.5
    Packers +2
    49ers +8
    49ers-Eagles UNDER 42 (2nd best bet)
    Raiders +14 (Best Bet)
    Fezzik did amazing too bad i faded him on steelers but i bet on both of their best bets and so far so good. If your not on the redskins definetly add them to some teases and get on them.
     
    soonabooma
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2009 - 2:47 AM ET #124

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

    Well, if he's betting Texas as LARGE as you say, then the long run will be the only hope you have, because Texas will get trounced.  Any seasoned college football bettor knows NOT to bet against SEC teams in bowl games.  That's been a formula for disaster as long as I can remember, and will be again this year.

    True, SEC teams are very good in bowl games, but remember.....this is TEXAS and they've been of a different breed when it's bowl time.  They win their bowl games.  Teams like OhioSt and OU haven't been very strong in bowl games, while teams like USC, Texas, LSU, and Florida have been killer.  So while the SEC usually does well in bowl games, especially BCS bowl games and championships......don't count out TEXAS.  They are good about showing up in big games, and they've got what it takes to give Alabama all they want.

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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

    Well, if he's betting Texas as LARGE as you say, then the long run will be the only hope you have, because Texas will get trounced.  Any seasoned college football bettor knows NOT to bet against SEC teams in bowl games.  That's been a formula for disaster as long as I can remember, and will be again this year.

    True, SEC teams are very good in bowl games, but remember.....this is TEXAS and they've been of a different breed when it's bowl time.  They win their bowl games.  Teams like OhioSt and OU haven't been very strong in bowl games, while teams like USC, Texas, LSU, and Florida have been killer.  So while the SEC usually does well in bowl games, especially BCS bowl games and championships......don't count out TEXAS.  They are good about showing up in big games, and they've got what it takes to give Alabama all they want.

     
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2009 - 3:47 AM ET #125

    I respect your opinion SoonaBooma, and your opinion pretty much mirrors conventional thinking, but this game will go very much like the Florida game. I will post a full writeup on this game in the next couple of days, but I will say that Texas is an ideal matchup for Bama's smash mouth approach.  The problem for Texas is that they can't mimick Bama's power in practice, so even though they know what's coming, just like Florida, they won't be able to stop it.  Ingram and Richardson will bounce off of Texas defenders like pinballs all night long.

    The bottom line is that Bama will do what they want to do offensively, and Texas's one-dimensional offense will really not have much of a chance against Bama's defense.  I wouldn't be completely shocked to see a shutout.  They better not even think about running their top rusher with any frequency, or he won't finish the game.

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    I respect your opinion SoonaBooma, and your opinion pretty much mirrors conventional thinking, but this game will go very much like the Florida game. I will post a full writeup on this game in the next couple of days, but I will say that Texas is an ideal matchup for Bama's smash mouth approach.  The problem for Texas is that they can't mimick Bama's power in practice, so even though they know what's coming, just like Florida, they won't be able to stop it.  Ingram and Richardson will bounce off of Texas defenders like pinballs all night long.

    The bottom line is that Bama will do what they want to do offensively, and Texas's one-dimensional offense will really not have much of a chance against Bama's defense.  I wouldn't be completely shocked to see a shutout.  They better not even think about running their top rusher with any frequency, or he won't finish the game.

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