Troy and Why

Haven't posted since -week 0 and 1 - I think I was 1-5.    Now we haven't current data so better results hopefully - let's look at some numbers:

  49     Smiss    72 129 141 95  

-10.5   Troy      89 37 107 106  

Troy opened up at 10.5, currently the same or -10 (madduxsports.com) .      Smiss is slightly better in total off at 72 vs 89, and sagarin sched strength at 95 vs 106.     Troy is better in total def at 37 vs 129  and sagarin rank at 107 vs 141.    When you compare these situations along with an opening line of 10.5 for the home team data indicates the home team often takes it.  There was game that was played between Char. and Wky with same line and very very similar numbers - that game ended 14-30.     My plays:

1.  Troy - 10.5   

2.  Small small parlay Troy - 10.5 and Under  52 (current line)     

Good luck all

92% of bets are placed on Troy at DK and yet the line remains/hovers around ten. It is a line freeze. Why hasn't this line gone up?

Just a question. Best of luck and thanks for posting. 

@PUSSYGALORE333

 Thanks and bol to ya - appreciate all your in game posts - good stuff.

@River_fish

Not sure how the line makers do their business - I would think the way your describing - as long as it's not extreme - I feel pretty good about it.    Bol to ya bud.

BOL on Troy 

@sportschat

 Thanks bud and back at ya 

its small game , not everyone cares about them 

many bookies allows max 500-1000$ bets on small college football games too.

line moving down now 

@River_fish

 Don't believe those numbers. They aren't accurate, and even if they were, they don't matter. 

I hope we’re good now . 

@TheBuddah

 Great call   The golden eagles was scrappy but  We were able to pull away late or hold them at bay to get the cover and Tuesday night over 

@ULLafayettekid

 thanks bud.    yes they were.

@TheBuddah

 Great job 

@sportschat

 Thanks bud - appreciate it . 

@TheBuddah

 hello, may i ask you where you get your team ratings and rankings? thank you very much.

@tryn2makeabuck

 Sure - sagarin.com