Tico Joe Week Six 2022

YTD ATS: 30 -33 (Sides Only 47.6%)

RECAP

Thursday, September 29, 2022

WynnBet Sportsbook Lines

BYU -23.5 

Friday, September 30, 2022

WynnBet Sportsbook Lines

Tulane +2.5 

UTSA -4 

San Diego State +6.5 

UCLA +3.5 

Saturday, October 1, 2022

WynnBet Sportsbook Lines

Minnesota -11.5 

TCU +6.5 

Georgia -28.5 

Memphis -18.5 

San Jose State -2.5 

Washington State -3.5 

West VA +9.5 

Just prepping the thread for Week Six....

@ticojoe

 good luck this week 

@sportschat

 I want to get your take on the TCU / Kansas game. Running my own statistical algorythm, I'm getting Kansas at +6.5 a 70% chance of covering. But one even better I have Ole Miss -18.5 at a 90% chance of covering. So these games will probably go on my week six list. Give me your thoughts along with anyone else....

I'm eyeballing these games right now at these lines but won't finalize until this Thursday.....

Kansas +6.5

Ole Miss -18.5

Maryland -3.5

Ohio -11.5 (Probably Makes the List coming up very high percentage to cover at -11.5) Might be my top pick of the day.

Illinois -3.5

Texas A&M +24.5

Stanford +7.5

forgot one more little gym...

BG -1.5

@ticojoe

 I like Ole Miss, they need a breather after last week. I don't see there being enough points for Vandy despite being at home and having a bye. I have to dig further into Kansas, the auto fade is no longer a pushover.

@sportschat

 Yeah I'll hold off on all my final selection until this Thursday when I get to look at the Vegas Cards.....

Solid looking card my friend, Probably gonna be on several of those myself 

@buddygurt

 Yes Sir....hold off until I post my final picks this Thursday.....I'll lock in everything on that day.

@ticojoe

 Can you provide input on why Illinois? I'm looking at other side

@darren3472

 Honestly it's all about the numbers.....by Thursday I'll have my official picks.

Do I dare look at San Diego State again after that complete second-half collapse against Boise State last week? I must be a glutton for punishment because -18.5 home favs cover nearly 90% of the time.....someone talk me out of this game please.....lol

I have thought about SDSU this week...Hawaii is historically bad and playing on the mainland...I did not see the meltdown choke to Boise last week...What were root causes?    GL this week! 

@LonghornHoosier

 Those fools were up 13 to 0 at half and I was getting +6.5.....Second half they scored 0 points and Boise State scored 35.....It came down to bad playing calling and execution and I blame their coach.

Saturday, October 8, 2022

Station Casinos

James Madison -11.5

Kansas +6.5

Texas A&M +24.5

Air Force -10.5

Illinois -3.5

Tenn -2.5

Washington -13.5

@ticojoe

 A&M is down their QB Johnson. Backup King started the year has been AWFUL. Even if Bryce isn't good to go, I still would trust the Ags with a 10' pole and they're my team. Fun fact. A&M is also down 9 out of they're 22 starters. Playing A LOT of young guys this week. Going to be a baptism by fire. I took Bama at 24, but see this more of an under play right now. We shall see!

tough losses by the hook 

@sportschat

 Yea this has been a rough season....I know I can count at least 10 minimum losses that were complete BS...Whatever I know my math doesn't lie and can't do anything with cheating little bastards.....In my mind I know I was right and going to count 5 out of 7 only because I know I was on the right side......