Posted:
#1
CFB Record: 5-3 ATS (+85.00 Units)
So far enjoy posting on this forum quite a bit and have been doing well in all sports involved. Again I am not associated with any services or tout sites and I got my name trying to be catchy because most usernames were already taken for this site. Let's have a good season, share some thoughts and share some ideas and the goal is to make money together beating the books.
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Northern Illinois Huskies -11.5
STATEMENT GAME! Right now there is only one team that can be considered 'Elite' in a garbage Conference like the MAC Conference and that's the Huskies from Northern Illinois. I have to say I've been to Huskie Stadium a few times now and this place can not only get loud but it can get downright tough for opponents to come in here and win and find a way to get it done. Just ask some of the MAC Conference teams who have come here in 2010 and they'll tell you why this is one the toughest places to play by MAC Conference standards. Temple, once considered the class of the MAC Conference, came here on October 9 as a +3.5 point road underdog and got their asses handed to them 31-17. Buffalo came in here the following week and lost by 31 points. Central Michigan followed the next week after that were sent packing with a 26 point road loss as a +10 point underdog. The catch tonight and believe me a lot of respected handicappers are going to bite, is that Toledo is tied with Northern Illinois for the MAC Conference West Division lead at 5-0 SU in Conference play but both teams have played horrendous schedules and avoided some of the better teams to this point. What we know about these two teams is that they can both score points but what needs to be know is that Northern Illinois has a bend but don't break style of defense that has the #16 ranked points allowed defense in the Nation at 18.7 (13.8 at home) points allowed per game. Toledo on the other hand have the #63 ranked points allowed per game defense in the Nation at 25.2 points allowed per game. Both offenses average over 400+ total yards of offense per game but this is when I point out the fact that TOLEDO QB AUSTIN DANTIN IS OUT FOR THIS GAME with a shoulder injury and he accounts for 1254 passing yards this year (2200+ the last two seasons), 11 touchdown passes in two seasons and 12 interceptions. Dantin has also rushed for 8 touchdowns and 292 yards on the year. His replacement is QB Terrance Owens a redshirt freshman who has looked good at times this year but this is a lot to ask for from the kid. Northern Illinois has 14 interceptions in 9 games this season and they have forced 8 fumbles. This game will basically come down to who can force the most turnovers. Toledo is only 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games coming off a straight up win and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games coming off a straight up win of more than 20 points. The Rockets are a letdown kind of team and coming off that huge win over Eastern Michigan about 10 days ago, I have to respect the fact that they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games coming off a 40+ point performance. Toledo is also 1-5 ATS in their last six games coming off a break of 10+ days. Northern Illinois on the other hand is 4-0 ATS in their last four MAC Conference games, they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games coming off a straight up win and since losing to Iowa State on opening day 2010, they are 6-0-1 ATS. I do have a problem with Northern Illinois being a heavy favorite at home considering they have only covered the spread in 1 of their last 9 games versus a team with a winning record but again this is a STATEMENT GAME for the Huskies to prove they are the top team in this Conference. Don't forget that Northern Illinois led at the end of their 20-19 loss at Toledo in 2009 before blowing the game on the final drive and this is a good revenge spot. The new QB is in for Toledo and although he passed for 4 touchdowns against Eastern Michigan after Dantin went down, this is a whole different animal to tackle, the game is on National TV and he will be nervous. I have to go with Northern Illinois for the simple fact that the line is so high and obviously a large amount of people have been baited into betting on Toledo. The same Toledo that couldn't cover the +38 points as a road favorite at Boise State earlier this season. Huskies make a statement tonight.
RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT: 10 Units
So far enjoy posting on this forum quite a bit and have been doing well in all sports involved. Again I am not associated with any services or tout sites and I got my name trying to be catchy because most usernames were already taken for this site. Let's have a good season, share some thoughts and share some ideas and the goal is to make money together beating the books.
-------------------------------------------------------------
Northern Illinois Huskies -11.5
STATEMENT GAME! Right now there is only one team that can be considered 'Elite' in a garbage Conference like the MAC Conference and that's the Huskies from Northern Illinois. I have to say I've been to Huskie Stadium a few times now and this place can not only get loud but it can get downright tough for opponents to come in here and win and find a way to get it done. Just ask some of the MAC Conference teams who have come here in 2010 and they'll tell you why this is one the toughest places to play by MAC Conference standards. Temple, once considered the class of the MAC Conference, came here on October 9 as a +3.5 point road underdog and got their asses handed to them 31-17. Buffalo came in here the following week and lost by 31 points. Central Michigan followed the next week after that were sent packing with a 26 point road loss as a +10 point underdog. The catch tonight and believe me a lot of respected handicappers are going to bite, is that Toledo is tied with Northern Illinois for the MAC Conference West Division lead at 5-0 SU in Conference play but both teams have played horrendous schedules and avoided some of the better teams to this point. What we know about these two teams is that they can both score points but what needs to be know is that Northern Illinois has a bend but don't break style of defense that has the #16 ranked points allowed defense in the Nation at 18.7 (13.8 at home) points allowed per game. Toledo on the other hand have the #63 ranked points allowed per game defense in the Nation at 25.2 points allowed per game. Both offenses average over 400+ total yards of offense per game but this is when I point out the fact that TOLEDO QB AUSTIN DANTIN IS OUT FOR THIS GAME with a shoulder injury and he accounts for 1254 passing yards this year (2200+ the last two seasons), 11 touchdown passes in two seasons and 12 interceptions. Dantin has also rushed for 8 touchdowns and 292 yards on the year. His replacement is QB Terrance Owens a redshirt freshman who has looked good at times this year but this is a lot to ask for from the kid. Northern Illinois has 14 interceptions in 9 games this season and they have forced 8 fumbles. This game will basically come down to who can force the most turnovers. Toledo is only 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games coming off a straight up win and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games coming off a straight up win of more than 20 points. The Rockets are a letdown kind of team and coming off that huge win over Eastern Michigan about 10 days ago, I have to respect the fact that they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games coming off a 40+ point performance. Toledo is also 1-5 ATS in their last six games coming off a break of 10+ days. Northern Illinois on the other hand is 4-0 ATS in their last four MAC Conference games, they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games coming off a straight up win and since losing to Iowa State on opening day 2010, they are 6-0-1 ATS. I do have a problem with Northern Illinois being a heavy favorite at home considering they have only covered the spread in 1 of their last 9 games versus a team with a winning record but again this is a STATEMENT GAME for the Huskies to prove they are the top team in this Conference. Don't forget that Northern Illinois led at the end of their 20-19 loss at Toledo in 2009 before blowing the game on the final drive and this is a good revenge spot. The new QB is in for Toledo and although he passed for 4 touchdowns against Eastern Michigan after Dantin went down, this is a whole different animal to tackle, the game is on National TV and he will be nervous. I have to go with Northern Illinois for the simple fact that the line is so high and obviously a large amount of people have been baited into betting on Toledo. The same Toledo that couldn't cover the +38 points as a road favorite at Boise State earlier this season. Huskies make a statement tonight.
RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT: 10 Units
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