Public Indicator Calculations 2025

Sharp money on Duke?  More like the entire Duke coaching staff on the take … 

@hailbrady

 You can always tell the ppl betting more than they should. If his system is outdated, don't follow his plays and keep it movin instead of crying about an L on his thread, lord.

@HooAlum

 Looking an 0-3 afternoon in the face.  Hopefully the evening is better.  Big play will be TCU in dome form late night.  Might even supersede the failed Duke pick.

Utah (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Florida (2 units): reverse movement, line movement, outweighs sharp indicator

Texas (2 units): sharp indicator, line movement, steam, bye week return outweighs low ticket and handle favorite 

Missouri (3 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicator

He is having a great season. Was due for some regression. Can’t win every week

[Quote: Originally Posted by hailbrady]@HooAlum  Your analytics is trash, it's outdated, just end your career.  Have no idea where you get your data on Cincy[/Quote

He's actually won more than he's lost. Nobody wins every week. Cry me a river.

@HooAlum

@JSN2Deep

 actually, my bank roll is pretty good, but if you actually educated yourself instead of blindly being loyal to his plays, you'd see what i mean.  use your brain next time and do your research, you're going to find that his stuff is outdated.  his analytics are wrong.  Also I think you also need to learn how to read because nowhere did i say i lost a lot of money.  

@Boisestateand8

 Im actually here trying to get you all to understand and to do your own research instead of blindly betting his plays.  blindly betting his the make of someone who doesnt put in the work.  you guys are way too funny thinking im crying, im here trying to help everyone and Hoo.  you need to learn

@JSN2Deep

 the system is outdated so hoo needs to adjust then he wouldnt post those plays and make money for everyone, does that make sense to you or do you need hooked on phonics to understand the logic?

You don't like his thread? Then why are you here? And for the record I don't tail anyone. I'm actually on Ole Miss and Georgia tonight. And UCLA.

@hailbrady

 He’s hitting at a 60% clip. Thats a winning system. It’s all about end of season averages. 

Also unsure why another man’s opinion is getting under your skin so badly. It’s just gambling. 

@Boisestateand8

 holy cow, reading is just way to hard for some people i guess.  Let me explain again in words you can understand

Data is wrong, need fix, make more money, help put money in peoples pocket.  

understand now?

@wchen27

 uhhhh because i'm trying to answer questions they asked me?  man ppl just don't know how to read anymore?

@hailbrady

 Stop trying to be a keyboard hero and just admit you lost a ton of money. Your landlord is gonna be pissed lol

Lets go florida and TCU!

@HooAlum

 TCU (4 units): line movement, SKS, sharp indicators outweighs low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Just report this idiot.  They will get rid of him.

@paperprophets

 Lmao keep dreaming

@hailbrady

 You spend a lot of time whining. 

Just ignore the bum.... im subscribed to this thread. All you sissy girls stop blowing up my phone.

@HooAlum

 You are still the BEST in here !

THANK YOU FOR GREAT WORKING 

@hailbrady

Ok DB go back to the OP on page one. READ, MARK, LEARN and DIGEST every word before you deign to lecture. Idiot.

Drive on Hoo...  

Rough this week with the greater units.

@HooAlum

Not the best week with a losing week and Duke and TCU were disappointing (Clemson was good if you got on early in the weeknd).  Hope for better this week.  Just so folks know there is a regression analysis done throughout the season on the weights to the degree it affects the 5 year average on an indicator (for example less emphasis on reverse movement and more on lopsided wagering given the performance of each this year) .  Though the biggest regression analysis is done in the offseason with all the data from the prior season blew to be sliced and diced.

I give the reasoning behind each game not just for transparency but also so you can make your own analysis.  If there is an indicator you do not like or  feel uneasy about this thread's analysis then by all means stay away.  If there is an indicator you really like then by all means lean into it (though that burned all of us with Cincinnati this week).  

Each week at this time, I post the performance of indicators for the season to date so you can see for yourself and make your own calls.  My weights are simply tied to past performance and are constantly adjusted but are far from infallible.  Thuds, I do encourage folks to do their own work but hopefully you can use some of my findings to help.  

WEEKLY RECORD: 7-8

WEEKLY REVENUE: 32.3 on 38 wagered

SEASON RECORD: 107-74 (59.12%)

SEASON REVENUE: 710.8 units on 593.5 wagered (19.76% profit)

****************

Style Points: 100%

Early Body Clock Start: 77.78%

SKS: 64.15% 

Lopsided Wagering: 63.64%

Steam: 62.50%

Sharp Indicators: 62.36%

Home Underdog with Low Handle: 58.62% 

Low Ticket Favorite: 56.70%

Line Movement: 54.55%

Low Handle Favorite: 53.68%

Bye Week Return: 43.75%

Over/Under Squeeze: 41.18%

Reverse Movement: 40%

**********

WAY Too Early Look at Week 13 - (remember favorites pop early in the week but many will shift to underdogs as the week goes along)

Florida State (4 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp indicator outweighs home underdog low handle

UNLV (2 units): low ticket low handle favorite, lopsided wagering, outweighs sharp indicators, bye week return

Oklahoma (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Oregon (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Vanderbilt (3 units sharp indicators, bye week return

Syracuse-Notre Dame (No bet): Sharp Indicator, style points outweigh over/under squeeze, bye week return

Pittsburgh (3 units): SKS

Cincinnati (1 unit): home underdog low handle