Oregon vs Auburn - BCS National Championship Game Play Large

Say what you want, but Auburn has one of the best overall coaching staff's in all of college football. If you think Kelly having a month to prepare is huge, wait until you get a load of what Gus Malzahn will have waiting the Ducks. I have made money off both teams this year, but it is all I can do right now to hold off a huge bet on Auburn with Malzahn, Newton, Dyer, McCalebb, Fanin, Adams, Zackery, Lutzinkirken, Blake and a very experienced, dominating offensive line. Throw in a hard hitting defense that will slow down the run and hit the QB and Auburn should win something like 45-31...

P.S. Oregon is as fast as there is, but so is Auburn and I would argue that Auburn has seen speed closer too Oregon then Oregon has seen when they face Auburn and will not be able to keep up...One thing I know for a fact and that is that Oregon has seen nothing like Newton who has several weapons as i said above and will beat you in a number of ways...Auburn 45...Oregon 31...

Let me add that auburn was in two pretty big games the past few weeks which you may not equate to the rose bowl, but beating Bama in Tuscaloosa and winning the SEC championship is about as big as it gets for Auburn. Yes, the BCS championship is big, but this team is not about to get rattled after everything they have been through...

That is easy money. Wow the books fucked up here. 45-24 

Agree.. 41-31 Auburn.

Went 13-2 this weekend. Unfortunately, one of the loss was in my 8-team parlay card..Oklahoma didn't cover.  Darn it !!!

man that total is huge.  i was very curious to see what the books would post this at.  i promised myself it the total is in the 70s i wasnt going to play the over, but now that i think about it,  i just dont see how i can LAY OFF the over.  i have to play it over,  these two could easily get to 42.  man what a matchup...

thanks kroch

Tennessee is a good metric; if turnover ratio is equal I'll take Oregon to win and cover.

Offense yds gained--
Oregon-234 pass yds/g--7 sacks allowed---304 rush yds/g
Auburn-210 pass yds/g--21 sacks allowed--287 rush yds/g

Defense yds allowed--
Oregon--214 pass yds/g--20 ints--117 rush yds/g
Auburn--251 pass yds/g--10 ints--111 rush yds/g

Punting --
Oregon--43 yd avg
Auburn--38 yd avg

Special Teams --
Oregon--18.2 Punt ret/avg--22 Kick ret/avg
Auburn----6.2 Punt ret/avg--24 Kick ret/avg


Oregon 48 Tennessee 13
Alabama 41 Tennessee 10
Auburn 28 Alabama 27
Oregon 30 Auburn 28

Or
Oregon 48 Tennessee 13
Kentucky 24 Tennessee 14
Auburn 37 Kentucky 34
Oregon 59 Auburn 37

Or
Oregon 48 Tennessee 13
LSU 16 Tennessee 14
Auburn 24 LSU 17
Oregon 50 Auburn 24

Or
Oregon 48 Tennessee 13
South Carolina 38 Tennessee 24
Auburn 35 South Carolina 27
Oregon 48 Auburn 35

Or
Oregon 48 Tennessee 13
Tennessee 52 Mississippi 14
Auburn 51 Mississippi 31
Oregon 84 Auburn 51

Or
Oregon 48 Tennessee 13
South Carolina 38 Tennessee 24
Auburn 56 South Carolina 17
Auburn 56 Oregon 38

Or
Oregon 48 Tennessee 13
Georgia 41 Tennessee 14
Auburn 49 Georgia 31
Auburn 49 Oregon 39

Man, you made my head hurt. Oregon may win but it will have little or nothing to do with what you posted...the correlation of Oregon and Auburn  that you use is meaningless in this game...

Auburn has superior lines of scrimmage both ways in this game, so edge to AU before the whistle. Oregon is a running offense and AU D has stuffed some exceptional RB talent this season and I lean toward seeing that in the NC game also. That said, AU's D has shown lapses in tackling fundamentals in every game. Small backs like LaMichael James can hide behind blockers and peel off arm tackling defenders who reach out too late. That's why this will be a close game. This could get close to the 74 O/U, but feel it stays under.I think Oregon does all of its scoring in the first half and goes to the locker room leading, but I think AU does its share of scoring as well in the first two quarters keeping it close.  AU has demonstrated the ability to make significant adjustments at the half and I predict them limiting the OU offensive production then. Cam Newton deserves everything he gets, but that O line is rock solid and almost all seniors. The receivers and the tight end are above average and  Dyer is a stud. The AU offense is talented and deep and can do anything it wants on offense. This is hugely problematic for defenses and that is why Cam is the X factor. Expend resources to stop the other weapons and there is nobody left to guard Cam. Just get it to 3rd and short, and convert every time. Keeps the Oregon O off the field, AU D fresh and move into scoring position.If AU gets 14 -17 ahead this puts real pressure on QB Thomas, who I think is the real star there, to pass. No rocket science, as this is practically everyone's formula, but AU has demonstrated the ability to execute this again and again.  Since this is Covers, who cares who wins? Oregon will keep it close all the way until the very end, but AU covers 4 points when time expires. Total is 68-72.

I had been trying ti save judgement, but the SEC has complete teams!! Those fast lil dudes from Oregon will find out how bad those big fast dudes playing for Aurburn are? Those Corn bread fed boys playing for Auburn, and with Cam Newton  youd think Tigers!  

lol

I like the speedy Ducks on this matchup.

 


You could be right on your prediction, but I'd give the edge on off line to Oregon.  The whole O line is experienced, and they are in great shape to run a hurry-up offense all game.  Oregon has a small, fast D Line, and they are very deep, so not much of an edge to Auburn there.

wish this game was torrorrow