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    All Forums | College Football

    NCAA wk 4

    «First Previous 789 ... 91011 Next Last»
    MEGALOCKS
    WAIWAI
    vorvan
    JorgeMtzBrohez
    wmi799
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    «First Previous 789 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 10:15 AM ET #151

    Summary of picks so far:

    Tex AM -3 -120

    Penn St -11

    Florida / Tennessee under 53.5

    (we have at least one more to add)

     

    Games discussed in order so far to help with your navigation

    Tex AM / Arkansas

    Penn St / SD St

    SEC games

    Big 10 games

     

    UP NEXT - Thursday/Friday

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    Summary of picks so far:

    Tex AM -3 -120

    Penn St -11

    Florida / Tennessee under 53.5

    (we have at least one more to add)

     

    Games discussed in order so far to help with your navigation

    Tex AM / Arkansas

    Penn St / SD St

    SEC games

    Big 10 games

     

    UP NEXT - Thursday/Friday

     
    WAIWAI
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 10:24 AM ET #152

    WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON CINCINNATI VS MEMPHIS TONGHIT BRO?
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    WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON CINCINNATI VS MEMPHIS TONGHIT BRO?
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 10:32 AM ET #153

    Quote Originally Posted by WAIWAI:

    WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON CINCINNATI VS MEMPHIS TONGHIT BRO?

     

    Thursday / Friday games UP NEXT

    should have Cincy thoughts up by noon EST. thanks man

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    Quote Originally Posted by WAIWAI:

    WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON CINCINNATI VS MEMPHIS TONGHIT BRO?

     

    Thursday / Friday games UP NEXT

    should have Cincy thoughts up by noon EST. thanks man

     
    vorvan
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 10:33 AM ET #154

    Quote Originally Posted by WAIWAI:

    WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON CINCINNATI VS MEMPHIS TONGHIT BRO?
         UNDER 66,0   --   Memphis good defense
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    Quote Originally Posted by WAIWAI:

    WHAT ARE YOUR THOUGHTS ON CINCINNATI VS MEMPHIS TONGHIT BRO?
         UNDER 66,0   --   Memphis good defense
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 11:56 AM ET #155

    Memphis 9 Cincy (68)

    Megalocks line 7

    Thursday nighter is a degenerate special - Two highly flying offenses - both defenses can be torched at times....Cincy QB Kiel is out - now he is in - then he is out - now he is questionable - now he is starting ???? We don't know and will not be following the drama today b/c we are not betting any money on this game....The recent drop in line the last 20 min and rise in total tells us Kiel probably playing but again we don't know....

    Our lean however - would be to take Cincy understanding the QB risk...They are already 0-1 in conf play with a loss to Temple - they lose this one - and best case they are in the Dead Squirrel On A Bun Bowl Dec 18th vs C Michigan so they better bring the A game - we are NOT saying it will matter - but do not think these teams are that far apart - bit of revenge as well with Memphis killing them last yr....Cincy lost to Temple but outgained them 557-296...-4 in turnovers did them in....Then of course last wk Kiel gets knocked out - they put up 545Y with the backup but again - (-3) in turnovers did not help....It was really a surprise Miami Oh big game for them and last 2 yrs were close so They Are Gonna Kill Em Guy took a pooper penetration...the difference lately for Cincy IMO - Before Tuberville they won 10+ games 5/6 yrs - Tubs gets 9/9 and 2 bowl game beat downs and no way they will be lucky to win 9 this yr - AND to top it off - Tubs has SLIME oozing from his pores and come to think of it - where is my WALLET ??? TUBS !!! you #ratbastard come back here

    Memphis is solid. Love the QB. Love the HC. D not as experienced as last yr so don't expect some domination on D IMO.

    We do lean Cincy tho b/c getting points is the only way to trust teams like Cincy - should be back and forth - if they turn it over or Kiel gets killed again ? well who knows. So no way we would touch this game - but we would either take Cincy +9 or +10 or WAIT....hope Cincy gets up 7-0 and play Memphis in game at a number lower than -9.

    Summary - lean see above. GL mega

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    Memphis 9 Cincy (68)

    Megalocks line 7

    Thursday nighter is a degenerate special - Two highly flying offenses - both defenses can be torched at times....Cincy QB Kiel is out - now he is in - then he is out - now he is questionable - now he is starting ???? We don't know and will not be following the drama today b/c we are not betting any money on this game....The recent drop in line the last 20 min and rise in total tells us Kiel probably playing but again we don't know....

    Our lean however - would be to take Cincy understanding the QB risk...They are already 0-1 in conf play with a loss to Temple - they lose this one - and best case they are in the Dead Squirrel On A Bun Bowl Dec 18th vs C Michigan so they better bring the A game - we are NOT saying it will matter - but do not think these teams are that far apart - bit of revenge as well with Memphis killing them last yr....Cincy lost to Temple but outgained them 557-296...-4 in turnovers did them in....Then of course last wk Kiel gets knocked out - they put up 545Y with the backup but again - (-3) in turnovers did not help....It was really a surprise Miami Oh big game for them and last 2 yrs were close so They Are Gonna Kill Em Guy took a pooper penetration...the difference lately for Cincy IMO - Before Tuberville they won 10+ games 5/6 yrs - Tubs gets 9/9 and 2 bowl game beat downs and no way they will be lucky to win 9 this yr - AND to top it off - Tubs has SLIME oozing from his pores and come to think of it - where is my WALLET ??? TUBS !!! you #ratbastard come back here

    Memphis is solid. Love the QB. Love the HC. D not as experienced as last yr so don't expect some domination on D IMO.

    We do lean Cincy tho b/c getting points is the only way to trust teams like Cincy - should be back and forth - if they turn it over or Kiel gets killed again ? well who knows. So no way we would touch this game - but we would either take Cincy +9 or +10 or WAIT....hope Cincy gets up 7-0 and play Memphis in game at a number lower than -9.

    Summary - lean see above. GL mega

     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 11:57 AM ET #156

    *** not a surprise vs Miami Ohio**

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    *** not a surprise vs Miami Ohio**

     
    JorgeMtzBrohez
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 12:09 PM ET #157

    Hey Mega, what do you think of the Memphis vs Cinci over? I think is solid
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    Hey Mega, what do you think of the Memphis vs Cinci over? I think is solid
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 12:14 PM ET #158

    Quote Originally Posted by JorgeMtzBrohez:

    Hey Mega, what do you think of the Memphis vs Cinci over? I think is solid

    hey buddy - ya I would have to agree with you just do not see a reason to play under without any weather to worry about but totals this high are just out of our comfort zone so we will just watch and enjoy. think you have the right idea. GL

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    Quote Originally Posted by JorgeMtzBrohez:

    Hey Mega, what do you think of the Memphis vs Cinci over? I think is solid

    hey buddy - ya I would have to agree with you just do not see a reason to play under without any weather to worry about but totals this high are just out of our comfort zone so we will just watch and enjoy. think you have the right idea. GL

     
    wmi799
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 12:47 PM ET #159

    Quote Originally Posted by vorvan:

         UNDER 66,0   --   Memphis good defense

    Good? Average. They are 55th overall. 64th in points allowed. 85th in passing yards allowed. That's with two tough opponents of Kansas and FCS Missouri State. Granted BGSU put lots of these numbers against them
    Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
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    Quote Originally Posted by vorvan:

         UNDER 66,0   --   Memphis good defense

    Good? Average. They are 55th overall. 64th in points allowed. 85th in passing yards allowed. That's with two tough opponents of Kansas and FCS Missouri State. Granted BGSU put lots of these numbers against them
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 12:59 PM ET #160

    line down to Memphis -7.5 since my post (not a cause-effect relationship) just pointing out it might close -7 so if you like Cincy get it now.

    we are just going to watch the fun unfold

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    line down to Memphis -7.5 since my post (not a cause-effect relationship) just pointing out it might close -7 so if you like Cincy get it now.

    we are just going to watch the fun unfold

     
    BandosWB
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 2:07 PM ET #161

    As always, you are a class act.

    Like you, I think I may have watched Fletch over 100 times.  And that Hanrahan is still a pederass.

    Hot Carl sniffing around Umass?
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    As always, you are a class act.

    Like you, I think I may have watched Fletch over 100 times.  And that Hanrahan is still a pederass.

    Hot Carl sniffing around Umass?
     
    vankiep_0007
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 2:41 PM ET #162

    Gl tonight and this week Bro
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    Gl tonight and this week Bro
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 2:46 PM ET #163

    BandosWB ........Just cannot bring myself to take Umass since I have the ND D rated pretty highly and while my PR show a bit of value cannot do it with the discrepancies between the 2 Ds. GL buddy

    Stanford 15 Oregon St

    Megalocks line 14

    A pretty standard no play for us the way we do things....Pointspread looks about right; Stanford QB questionable (will likely start) and off a big win; Oregon St very young and beat up on the DL. Don't know what to think about Oregon st yet beat up 2 creampuffs at home....lost at Michigan showed no offensive thrust against a good D....Look to be in deep again just not willing to play Stanford laying more than 2 TD - especially after the DEBACLE of 2013 - a big 498520349 star MEGALOCKS loser we fired back multiple beverages watching on tv in Chicago as Oregon st could not get the cover vs Stanford with 4 tries from the 7 yd line lost 20-12.

    summary - NO.

    mega

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    BandosWB ........Just cannot bring myself to take Umass since I have the ND D rated pretty highly and while my PR show a bit of value cannot do it with the discrepancies between the 2 Ds. GL buddy

    Stanford 15 Oregon St

    Megalocks line 14

    A pretty standard no play for us the way we do things....Pointspread looks about right; Stanford QB questionable (will likely start) and off a big win; Oregon St very young and beat up on the DL. Don't know what to think about Oregon st yet beat up 2 creampuffs at home....lost at Michigan showed no offensive thrust against a good D....Look to be in deep again just not willing to play Stanford laying more than 2 TD - especially after the DEBACLE of 2013 - a big 498520349 star MEGALOCKS loser we fired back multiple beverages watching on tv in Chicago as Oregon st could not get the cover vs Stanford with 4 tries from the 7 yd line lost 20-12.

    summary - NO.

    mega

     
    ByrdMane612
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 4:34 PM ET #164

    So mega, you were stating that wait for in game line for Memphis to get a number lower then -9, but since line has drop to-7.5, would it not be best to just buy it down to -6.5 if you want Memphis for whole game? Thanks appreciate the work you put in brother! 
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    So mega, you were stating that wait for in game line for Memphis to get a number lower then -9, but since line has drop to-7.5, would it not be best to just buy it down to -6.5 if you want Memphis for whole game? Thanks appreciate the work you put in brother! 
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 5:12 PM ET #165

    Vankiep

    Byrd - good question.,,,I would say this ...IF  you really like Memphis - take em at -7 (buy down) but do not go lower than that the juice would be nuts at 6.5 just IMO. Another option is to ML parlay SU winner Memphis with another 7 pt fav you like. For example - Memphis ML and Tex AM ML (just using 2 examples for illustrative purposes) that is approx. $10 to cash $18. Bottom line with crazy high scoring games like this who the heck knows what may happen at the end so just a thought then you don't have to worry about backdoor action late. Again - just thoughts not the right or wrong thing to do. Personally? I am waiting to see if Cincy goes up 7-0 then will play Memphis in game. If they don't go up? No bet. GL !

    mega

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    Vankiep

    Byrd - good question.,,,I would say this ...IF  you really like Memphis - take em at -7 (buy down) but do not go lower than that the juice would be nuts at 6.5 just IMO. Another option is to ML parlay SU winner Memphis with another 7 pt fav you like. For example - Memphis ML and Tex AM ML (just using 2 examples for illustrative purposes) that is approx. $10 to cash $18. Bottom line with crazy high scoring games like this who the heck knows what may happen at the end so just a thought then you don't have to worry about backdoor action late. Again - just thoughts not the right or wrong thing to do. Personally? I am waiting to see if Cincy goes up 7-0 then will play Memphis in game. If they don't go up? No bet. GL !

    mega

     
    ByrdMane612
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 5:43 PM ET #166

    Thanks brother ... I appreciate the time and explanations you put Finn fir all your fans!!  Bol n enjoy the weekend !
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    Thanks brother ... I appreciate the time and explanations you put Finn fir all your fans!!  Bol n enjoy the weekend !
     
    snowman76
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 5:49 PM ET #167

    Personally? I am waiting to see if Cincy goes up 7-0 then will play Memphis in game. If they don't go up? No bet. GL !

    mega

    [/Quote]

    So you are saying grab that frosty cold discount on Memphis  ML LIVE line when/if cinci gets ahead 7-0 ,  The Snowman like Megas business acumen. All respect sir

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    Personally? I am waiting to see if Cincy goes up 7-0 then will play Memphis in game. If they don't go up? No bet. GL !

    mega

    [/Quote]

    So you are saying grab that frosty cold discount on Memphis  ML LIVE line when/if cinci gets ahead 7-0 ,  The Snowman like Megas business acumen. All respect sir

     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 5:56 PM ET #168

    Byrd

    snowman -  thx man - Well always gotta be thinking ahead this is a tough game - Frosty cold discount yes sir !

    GL tonight if you get any cash down

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    Byrd

    snowman -  thx man - Well always gotta be thinking ahead this is a tough game - Frosty cold discount yes sir !

    GL tonight if you get any cash down

     
    snowman76
    snowman76
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 6:06 PM ET #169

    i took the frosty cold discount on dodgers today when they were down 3-0,  got +3 -120,  now they are up 6-3, +500,  i will be watching for cinci getting ahead,  like you said high scoring games are perfect for a discount play   GL Mega   
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    i took the frosty cold discount on dodgers today when they were down 3-0,  got +3 -120,  now they are up 6-3, +500,  i will be watching for cinci getting ahead,  like you said high scoring games are perfect for a discount play   GL Mega   
     
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 6:38 PM ET #170

     snowman


    Boise 2.5 Virginia (49)

    Megalocks line -4

    Such an interesting one.....Spent a lot of time over the last few days analyzing this puppy - and I am sure by now most of you have read some info and good posts in the forum but here we go

    Virginia can MATRICULATE in the passing game - we personally cannot believe this breaking development - but QB Johns has 790Y at 8.2/attempt and 6-3 td to int ratio - and they played ND and UCLA. We think there are plays to be made in the passing game. Boise did a nice job at home vs Wash QB in his first start then BYU MATRICULATED and got the win...Virginia will not be able to run (Boise 1.7 rush D) but have a freakshow in RB T Mizzell who we believe has 2-100 yd receiving games out of the backfield and those WR are going to make some plays on Boise....Now the downside is that Virginia always seems to NOT make the big play and this coaching staff is not our fav to say the least - and the Cavs D has not forced a turnover yet this yr.

    Boise will go with a dual QB system - one who is a great runner - one a pocket passer that fans are very high on...They mopped up nicely last wk vs Pookadoo St but this will be a tougher contest...Personally - I think Boise might have a better shot to win with this combo no offense to the injured Finley. They also have THE MCWEAPON in the backfield who has ran for 7 TD and also a receiving threat and a nice WR core...They should also be able to run the ball some.

    Final note: warning do not read this part if you are overly sensitive...You guys know we do not believe in trap BS - if you get "trapped" it is because you missed something. IMO

    We notice that this game has a MEGALOCKS warning sign...just sitting happily at 2.5 not going to 3.....Notice we are not opening the can of worms about REVERSE BIGFOOT SEMI TRAP STEAM TRAPS  we are just saying for us PERSONALLY we try and avoid taking EITHER side when we see this....It helped us stay away from G Tech last wk (just an example) and we also notice B Green this wk but how they do not win by 21 we have no idea.....Also - our intrepid staff member JOHN COCKTOASTIN always likes to say "what does Pinnacle want me to do??" - Right now they have the cheapest price on Boise out there....BOL just moved it in similar range.

    Summary. No lean on the side. Lean over in this one think there will be more points and big plays than you expect.

    GL ....mega

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     snowman


    Boise 2.5 Virginia (49)

    Megalocks line -4

    Such an interesting one.....Spent a lot of time over the last few days analyzing this puppy - and I am sure by now most of you have read some info and good posts in the forum but here we go

    Virginia can MATRICULATE in the passing game - we personally cannot believe this breaking development - but QB Johns has 790Y at 8.2/attempt and 6-3 td to int ratio - and they played ND and UCLA. We think there are plays to be made in the passing game. Boise did a nice job at home vs Wash QB in his first start then BYU MATRICULATED and got the win...Virginia will not be able to run (Boise 1.7 rush D) but have a freakshow in RB T Mizzell who we believe has 2-100 yd receiving games out of the backfield and those WR are going to make some plays on Boise....Now the downside is that Virginia always seems to NOT make the big play and this coaching staff is not our fav to say the least - and the Cavs D has not forced a turnover yet this yr.

    Boise will go with a dual QB system - one who is a great runner - one a pocket passer that fans are very high on...They mopped up nicely last wk vs Pookadoo St but this will be a tougher contest...Personally - I think Boise might have a better shot to win with this combo no offense to the injured Finley. They also have THE MCWEAPON in the backfield who has ran for 7 TD and also a receiving threat and a nice WR core...They should also be able to run the ball some.

    Final note: warning do not read this part if you are overly sensitive...You guys know we do not believe in trap BS - if you get "trapped" it is because you missed something. IMO

    We notice that this game has a MEGALOCKS warning sign...just sitting happily at 2.5 not going to 3.....Notice we are not opening the can of worms about REVERSE BIGFOOT SEMI TRAP STEAM TRAPS  we are just saying for us PERSONALLY we try and avoid taking EITHER side when we see this....It helped us stay away from G Tech last wk (just an example) and we also notice B Green this wk but how they do not win by 21 we have no idea.....Also - our intrepid staff member JOHN COCKTOASTIN always likes to say "what does Pinnacle want me to do??" - Right now they have the cheapest price on Boise out there....BOL just moved it in similar range.

    Summary. No lean on the side. Lean over in this one think there will be more points and big plays than you expect.

    GL ....mega

     
    MEGALOCKS
    MEGALOCKS
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 6:41 PM ET #171

    Summary of picks so far:

    Tex AM -3 -120

    Penn St -11

    Florida / Tennessee under 53.5

    (we have at least one more to add)

     

    Games discussed in order so far to help with your navigation

    Tex AM / Arkansas

    Penn St / SD St

    SEC games

    Big 10 games

    Thursday / Friday games

     

    UP NEXT - not sure  ....Will finalize a couple more adds.

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    Summary of picks so far:

    Tex AM -3 -120

    Penn St -11

    Florida / Tennessee under 53.5

    (we have at least one more to add)

     

    Games discussed in order so far to help with your navigation

    Tex AM / Arkansas

    Penn St / SD St

    SEC games

    Big 10 games

    Thursday / Friday games

     

    UP NEXT - not sure  ....Will finalize a couple more adds.

     
    MEGALOCKS
    MEGALOCKS
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    Joined: Dec, 2003
    Posts: 18138
    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 6:43 PM ET #172

    Summary of picks so far:

    Tex AM -3 -120

    Penn St -11

    Florida / Tennessee under 53.5

    (we have at least one more to add)

     

    Games discussed in order so far to help with your navigation

    Tex AM / Arkansas

    Penn St / SD St

    SEC games

    Big 10 games

    Thursday / Friday games

     

    mega

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    Summary of picks so far:

    Tex AM -3 -120

    Penn St -11

    Florida / Tennessee under 53.5

    (we have at least one more to add)

     

    Games discussed in order so far to help with your navigation

    Tex AM / Arkansas

    Penn St / SD St

    SEC games

    Big 10 games

    Thursday / Friday games

     

    mega

     
    CapnJohnson
    CapnJohnson
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    Joined: Oct, 2013
    Posts: 147
    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 6:57 PM ET #173

    Hey mega, like your analysis. Took Penn St. -14. Can you cap Oregon Utah when you get a chance. Much appreciated 
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    Hey mega, like your analysis. Took Penn St. -14. Can you cap Oregon Utah when you get a chance. Much appreciated 
     
    Jose_Reyes
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    Posts: 20468
    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 7:20 PM ET #174

    Always a great read. Staying off the reverse pump fake, sucker trap steam games is something I've picked up from your threads over the years. The write ups are epic, but your discipline is on point. Keep up the good work, mega.
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    Always a great read. Staying off the reverse pump fake, sucker trap steam games is something I've picked up from your threads over the years. The write ups are epic, but your discipline is on point. Keep up the good work, mega.
     
     
    RooR
    RooR
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    Posts: 28
    Posted: Sep. 24, 2015 - 7:48 PM ET #175

    Last minute read and took your advice Cinn jumped up to 7-0..dropped Memphis to -2.5, jumped on em.
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    Last minute read and took your advice Cinn jumped up to 7-0..dropped Memphis to -2.5, jumped on em.
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