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    All Forums | College Football

    NCAA WEEK 13 **** How the Mickey Mouse Clubhouse can save your gambling life****

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    Bluefin
    warcameagle56
    PerfectStorm
    packers1992
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    Bluefin
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 11:43 AM ET #26

    Disagree money line dog players encompass about 75% of those that actually make money gambling. There is no question the books shade the games they expect big action on leaving a sharp side for those smart enough or lucky enough to catch it. Not saying just taking the dog makes one a sharp or that fading a public play just because it's a public play is a good idea but paying attention to possibilities that come from shading popular games has proved for years to give a better advantage overall
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    Disagree money line dog players encompass about 75% of those that actually make money gambling. There is no question the books shade the games they expect big action on leaving a sharp side for those smart enough or lucky enough to catch it. Not saying just taking the dog makes one a sharp or that fading a public play just because it's a public play is a good idea but paying attention to possibilities that come from shading popular games has proved for years to give a better advantage overall
     
    warcameagle56
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 11:58 AM ET #27

    Nice,short & sweet to the point.I like to wake up to Mike&Mike,but agree1st take other stuff is just a bunch of bs.I don't see how folks win not watching the games.Its the single most important factor to me.Has to be treated like a fun part time job.There are plenty of other things u can do during games...I got 3 girls 3 & under at home...grrreat.
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    Nice,short & sweet to the point.I like to wake up to Mike&Mike,but agree1st take other stuff is just a bunch of bs.I don't see how folks win not watching the games.Its the single most important factor to me.Has to be treated like a fun part time job.There are plenty of other things u can do during games...I got 3 girls 3 & under at home...grrreat.
     
    PerfectStorm
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 2:26 PM ET #28

    Train.. What do u see in VOLS that I didn't see. Love MIZZU +3.5.
    Thanks in advance
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    Train.. What do u see in VOLS that I didn't see. Love MIZZU +3.5.
    Thanks in advance
     
    packers1992
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 2:49 PM ET #29

    Train i don't mean to be an a$$ but every place i see C.Michigan is a 1 pt fave. Did you mean C.Michigan or did you get WMU at a better number?
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    Train i don't mean to be an a$$ but every place i see C.Michigan is a 1 pt fave. Did you mean C.Michigan or did you get WMU at a better number?
     
    santafeken
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 3:47 PM ET #30

    Animals have "instincts"

    Human beings have "intuition"

    Take your pick
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    Animals have "instincts"

    Human beings have "intuition"

    Take your pick
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 4:20 PM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by packers1992:

    Train i don't mean to be an a$$ but every place i see C.Michigan is a 1 pt fave. Did you mean C.Michigan or did you get WMU at a better number?
    No worries bro, supposed to be WMU +1
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    Quote Originally Posted by packers1992:

    Train i don't mean to be an a$$ but every place i see C.Michigan is a 1 pt fave. Did you mean C.Michigan or did you get WMU at a better number?
    No worries bro, supposed to be WMU +1
     
    mjm1012
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 5:02 PM ET #32

    GL TRAIN
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    GL TRAIN
     
    LOUSER32
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 5:27 PM ET #33

    Train any input on today's games?
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    Train any input on today's games?
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 6:37 PM ET #34

    louser


    Lean akron & under, no ill & over (probably play them for small action)
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    louser


    Lean akron & under, no ill & over (probably play them for small action)
     
    VGPOP
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 6:49 PM ET #35

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    Doja45
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 7:40 PM ET #36

    Haha sounds like a guy who's seen way too many "Cover's Bloodbath" threads during his 10 plus year tenure 

    I agree with most everything you said, especially about not paying attention to the talking heads on espn. I do happen to believe stats and trends are important in "capping". That word is very over used on this forum.
     How can you analyze matchups without the stats? Trends are trends for a reason. History tends to repeat itself. Like knowing Notre Dame always has a hard time in East Lansing no matter how good or bad each team is that year.
    But I do understand your point about trusting the line, and the nonsense about traps. I am a big believer in the Vegas does the capping, you try to find an edge in the matchups and conditions of the game. Conditions is more of a horse handicapping term, but playing the ponies will make you a better sports bettor.
    Now I'm rambling.... Good stuff as always Train
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    Haha sounds like a guy who's seen way too many "Cover's Bloodbath" threads during his 10 plus year tenure 

    I agree with most everything you said, especially about not paying attention to the talking heads on espn. I do happen to believe stats and trends are important in "capping". That word is very over used on this forum.
     How can you analyze matchups without the stats? Trends are trends for a reason. History tends to repeat itself. Like knowing Notre Dame always has a hard time in East Lansing no matter how good or bad each team is that year.
    But I do understand your point about trusting the line, and the nonsense about traps. I am a big believer in the Vegas does the capping, you try to find an edge in the matchups and conditions of the game. Conditions is more of a horse handicapping term, but playing the ponies will make you a better sports bettor.
    Now I'm rambling.... Good stuff as always Train
     
    stuff
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 8:30 PM ET #37

    Also capping football seems to give me an edge at the track.               At the track "I hope I break even,I need the money"very cool old saying I suppose we could use it with college football.
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    Also capping football seems to give me an edge at the track.               At the track "I hope I break even,I need the money"very cool old saying I suppose we could use it with college football.
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 11:08 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by stuff:

    Also capping football seems to give me an edge at the track.               At the track "I hope I break even,I need the money"very cool old saying I suppose we could use it with college football.
    Like I always say....I dont gamble to win, I gamble so I can gamble tomorrow.
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    Quote Originally Posted by stuff:

    Also capping football seems to give me an edge at the track.               At the track "I hope I break even,I need the money"very cool old saying I suppose we could use it with college football.
    Like I always say....I dont gamble to win, I gamble so I can gamble tomorrow.
     
    thejhnny
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 3:17 AM ET #39

    any thoughts on the ucla/usc game? 
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    any thoughts on the ucla/usc game? 
     
    akaJohnAnthony
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 4:48 AM ET #40

    Train Excellent write up
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    Train Excellent write up
     
    FreeThinker_MD
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 8:16 AM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Like I always say....I dont gamble to win, I gamble so I can gamble tomorrow.

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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Like I always say....I dont gamble to win, I gamble so I can gamble tomorrow.

     
    AppSt52
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 11:59 AM ET #42

    Train Great Stuff!!! All so True....

    As a former College Football player I know exactly how it was in the locker room, on and off the field, chicks, parties and coaches who you trust but leave to go to other schools and leave the guys hanging.

    Gamble so I can Gamble tomorrow!! EXACTLY

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    Train Great Stuff!!! All so True....

    As a former College Football player I know exactly how it was in the locker room, on and off the field, chicks, parties and coaches who you trust but leave to go to other schools and leave the guys hanging.

    Gamble so I can Gamble tomorrow!! EXACTLY

     
    Skak47
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 12:45 PM ET #43

    Train,

    You are the man.  Been following you this season, don't post much though.  This post struck home to me, as this is how I am now with 2 little ones and no time, except to watch games.  I always look to your column for insight and just wanted to say thanks, and keep the train rolling!  

    Liking KState alot, have a lot of WVU alum in the family and enjoy rooting against them.  
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    Train,

    You are the man.  Been following you this season, don't post much though.  This post struck home to me, as this is how I am now with 2 little ones and no time, except to watch games.  I always look to your column for insight and just wanted to say thanks, and keep the train rolling!  

    Liking KState alot, have a lot of WVU alum in the family and enjoy rooting against them.  
     
    LOUSER32
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 1:17 PM ET #44

    any input on today train?   I didn't see ur message yesterday??!  thanks for ur hard work
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    any input on today train?   I didn't see ur message yesterday??!  thanks for ur hard work
     
    bk1374
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 1:27 PM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Somehow left out:

     

    West Mich -1

    Ohio St -33.5

     

    I fully expect OSU to be up 35-7 at the half. OSU needs to kill the Hoosiers....I mean ridiculous beatdown to get a boost in the rankings....Should be a 63-14 type game


    You might be right about the beat down, but it won't matter in the rankings, it's Indiana.  The team they'll need to REALLY beat down to move up is Wisconsin.  Otherwise, they'll need some help or that Va Tech loss will haunt them.
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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Somehow left out:

     

    West Mich -1

    Ohio St -33.5

     

    I fully expect OSU to be up 35-7 at the half. OSU needs to kill the Hoosiers....I mean ridiculous beatdown to get a boost in the rankings....Should be a 63-14 type game


    You might be right about the beat down, but it won't matter in the rankings, it's Indiana.  The team they'll need to REALLY beat down to move up is Wisconsin.  Otherwise, they'll need some help or that Va Tech loss will haunt them.
     
    bj1005
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 3:07 PM ET #46

    Great post.  I have a three year old and we have been doing the "hot dog" dance for over a year.  I have the Goofy down pretty good.

    Love Tennessee this week.  Glad we are on the same side. 
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    Great post.  I have a three year old and we have been doing the "hot dog" dance for over a year.  I have the Goofy down pretty good.

    Love Tennessee this week.  Glad we are on the same side. 
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 3:22 PM ET #47

    Thanks for all the posts guys! Will try to respond to everyone this evening....time permitting
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    Thanks for all the posts guys! Will try to respond to everyone this evening....time permitting
     
    cjm2008
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 3:47 PM ET #48

    Who's the leader of the club that's made for you and me MICKEY MOUSE. Hey there Hi there Ho there your as welcome as can be MICKEY MOUSE.

    GL Train from a grandpa who watches a lot of Mickey also
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    Who's the leader of the club that's made for you and me MICKEY MOUSE. Hey there Hi there Ho there your as welcome as can be MICKEY MOUSE.

    GL Train from a grandpa who watches a lot of Mickey also
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 4:27 PM ET #49

    Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

    Great post and 100% agree ! GL you crazy money making freak


     

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    Quote Originally Posted by MEGALOCKS:

    Great post and 100% agree ! GL you crazy money making freak


     

     
     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 4:33 PM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by jpurdy2:

    Love honesty.
    One of my best personal traits.
    I have learned this gambling season what you said about what people buy into doesn't mean sh*t.  
    Its all mind games, that's spot on

    Im on Tennessee already. 
    Looking into Air Force ML, waiting for Cal/Illinois to be +7, I like Purdon't as well.

    Best of luck to you.

    AF is on my list to check out

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    Quote Originally Posted by jpurdy2:

    Love honesty.
    One of my best personal traits.
    I have learned this gambling season what you said about what people buy into doesn't mean sh*t.  
    Its all mind games, that's spot on

    Im on Tennessee already. 
    Looking into Air Force ML, waiting for Cal/Illinois to be +7, I like Purdon't as well.

    Best of luck to you.

    AF is on my list to check out

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