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NCAA MARKETWATCH 10/15-1017

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
huskers cover with ease
 
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Posted: #27
Texas Tech @ Nebraska
 
NCAA TOTAL:  58.5
Percentage:  58% on the over
Game Capped:  64
 
I am agreeing on the market here as The RED RAIDERS push overs.  They've scored as the #2 offense and have already faced Texas on the road.  They are at an all high right now posting 66 and 48 at home.  It seems as if Nebraska can score as well and last week held a good passing Missouri team to 12pts at home.  I don't think they can duplicate this on my end.  I see late TD's eclipsing the over in the early part of the fourth quarter.  It's tough to tell how strong Nebraska is but they definitely made a point with the Tigers. 
 
Play: Over 59.5  (60 cap)  medium value
 
 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by krik913:

huskers cover with ease

Lets hope so...

 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

Oklahoma @ Texas (N)
 
NCAA TOTAL:  53.5
Game percentage:  57%
Game Capped:  60
 
If you were able to play this earlier in the week it offered much more value as now a fg has gone by the wayside.  The market is pushing the over as both teams square off for hopefully another magical performance.  Most big game TV games I tend to play the under as both teams hype and nationally televised will push over to unrealistic amounts, however with these two teams nothing seems to be insurmountable.  Both teams can score Texas is ranked #1 in scoring offense, 12th in passing offense, while Oklahoma is 14th in total offense and 20th in passing offense.  With Bradford back it makes a huge difference for fluency within the offense.  When Landry Jones filled in he was efficient at 15th but offensively they were 60th in country.  Defensively both teams look dominant.  Texas # 4 and Oklahoma # 9.  This scared off initial over backers but TTech score was 34-24 and I expect the same amount here.
 
PLAY:  OVER 52 (up to 55)


.....gl
 
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Posted: #30
GL
 
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Posted: #31
Akron @ Buffalo
 
NCAA TOTAL:  46
Percentage:  63% on the under
Game Capped:  52
 
I am disagreeing with the market here.  Temperature is ok in Buffalo holding at 45 degrees with a small wind 12 mph.  Both teams have played the tougher parts of the schedule and faced good opponents.  Buffalo's opposing record against is 18-10.  They face an Akron team in the same situation.  So far I have been off with the Bulls and Zips but look to get a win today.  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games on the road.  Look for a Buffalo victory with a margin of 33-20 or something in that range. 
 
Play:  OVER 46
 
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Posted: #32
Kentucky @ Auburn
 
NCAA side:  Auburn -13.5
Percentage:  58% on Auburn
Game Capped:  10 or less
 
This is a game between two teams coming off tough losses.  The Wildcats losing to the gamecocks and Auburn losing to Razorbacks in a blowout.  Auburn runs the ball very effectively and will continue to do so today, but defensively haven't shown to much and the market is agreeing with the figure.  Normally 13-16 points would be acceptable at home but Kentucky shows much more promise in this position.  There was an early position to buy Auburn pushing the number to 14 and that was quickly corrected forcing it back to 13.5.  Auburn faces LSU next week while Kentucky plays LMonroe.  The front four of Kentucky may be able to get pressure on this team keeping it close.  Cobb should be a difference maker as well.
 
Play:  Kentucky 13.5
 
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Posted: #33
Iowa @ Wisconsin
 
NCAA Side:  Badgers -1.5-3
Percentage:  50/50
Game Capped:  Iowa by 3
 
This is a tough game for all players and cappers to cap.  This line hit 3 and I bought some on the road.  Obviously Wisconsin is going to run the ball against a decent Iowa defense.  I expect Iowa to do the same.  A FG is a bonus in this type of game.  It should go down to the wire.  Like last week with UCLA and Mississippi people ate up Wisconsin to the point I had to make a play on the road team.  It created value again this week for the Hawkeyes. 
 
Play: Iowa + 2 or better
 
 
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Posted: #34
 
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

Texas Tech @ Nebraska

 

NCAA SIDE:  -10

Percentage:  52 % on the Corn Huskers

Game Capped by Gekko:  Nebraska 37-23

 

The biggest line movement so far on the week.  Most scoring systems have the Big Red winning comfortably and I have to agree with them.  Texas Tech hasn’t played a tough schedule 74th hardest, while Nebraska so far has proved themselves (16th).  The game will be determined by Nebraska’s pass defense 3rd in nation vs Tech’s passing offense 2nd in nation.  Nebraska has the 13th ranked defense while Tech is in mid 50’s.  Ten points seems to be a lot but at home and with a couple extra days to prepare, the big red get the job done.

 

GEKKO PLAY:  Nebraska -10

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