L2T Week 2 Angles and Picks

Grateful for the learning this week..... some teams are in flux and maybe not who we think they are until they get to week 4 or 5 

-Arizona St was in the TexAM game and collapsed

-Oregon could not prevent Okie St and convert when they needed to ... Lanning has got to be pulling his hair!

-Oklahoma could not overcome on offense despite a top tier QB

-DeBoer might have a tougher team this year..... Kentucky pushed them for almost 3 Qs and then they stepped on the gas and pulled away big time 

-looks like Washington might be over rated?

-all week, whenever the money came in on Minnesota, the line flipped....it did it twice and today was the hardest push on Miss St cash ....looks like they have a good QB 

...same with Maryland...lots of cash swinging this line all over the place and they step on UCONN quite easily 

- thought this line at -5 was too low on UNLV but would not take the bait knowing they had a second roadie and had to traverse a lot of time zones for 2 weeks in a row and it showed 

-Kirby is letting his offense stretch out this early part of the season....that is a warning to the whole college community ....I am a fan this year to see them go far (depending on matchups and Gunnar being healthy)

-does K-State have a defense to challenge? Impressive win 

-has Sparty turned a corner?

I need my Hawaii game to go UNDER to go 2 - 3 this week.... I do have some parlays with UNDER 49.5 and Buckeyes ML coming up

Hope you had a good day.

Popcorn time  > 7:30 pm kickoff now 

Texas has to beat a 'pro' team with a pro player on the field in J.Smith..... it starts with Sark....I' m sorry, he is fricken clueless prepping against some teams and I am saying this watching the Texas offense and, how open Smith is putting himself into on so many plays (yes he is quick and strong but why not double team or play more zone? 

Just too much pressure in Texas to play. I like Texas and damnit, they need step up in these big games. Lots of game left however so no way am I counting my chickens on Buckeyes ML 

Top Teams After 2 Weeks - NO IDEA WHO IS #1

Top 5 As of Now

Georgia

Texas

Notre Dame 

Miami

Ohio State 

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Next Group:

Texas AM

Indiana << I would put them in top 5 but do not know how they will perform vs top team yet

USC

LSU

Ole Miss

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Tennessee?

Michigan?

Alabama?

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Lots of teams under them who could rise up:

Virginia

SMU

VTECH

Penn St.

Missouri

Florida

Duke 

Iowa

UCLA 

.......Oregon??

Utah?

Ya, ok.... UTAH sounds good, good suggestion steve

Hell, I bet there is more than that which we will find out in week 3 and this is the joy of NCAAF football.....watch out for Maryland and Mississippi St as well??

You know, I said some almost disrespectful things about Whittingham too and during their game broadcast, I heard he forced his players to play in pads for much of the week after their lost and put his QB on notice.....GOTTA LOVE THAT and big respect for that!

Ok.... got my late UNDER Hawaii so 2 - 3 record this week....grinding still but enjoying myself and learning each team for sure but remember that we do not rely on who a team is JUST ON NON-CONFERENCE play because how good a team gets comes from facing opponents that know them and being able to adjust and overcome....on that note:

FULL CREDIT TO STEVE SARKISIAN and the Texas players who came back, overcame and took the game away from the Buckeyes last night ....I admire that program and Sark too. I think he is a good guy and Ryan Day has become one in my eyes..... thought he handled himself very professionally too.

That was fun and a nice cherry on a difficult week 2 

Just cleaning up details from Week 2 ...

Only got 1/3 of my keys with these three separate NCAAF plays BUT the good news is, I wheel only one of them at a time WITH 2 out of three soccer plays which hit 4 of 5 ....and I do $5 plays with random plays here and there that I seemed to do well on like picking Buckeyes ML, Auburn Under 57 Colorado St ATS and OVER over 55  .... Tenn ATS and Hawaii UNDER blending in....long and short, I made money but not a lot because of not hitting 2 of 3 of the following keys: Oklahoma win, Army ML and Buckeyes UNDER .......

Soccer double blenders:

Colorado ML - MLS  

Liverpool ML - Premier League WTF?? -NO

Arsenal Under 2.5  (pays well)  

Arsenal ML - mixed less than other plays 

RB Leipzig ML - Bundesliga 

RESULTS THIS YEAR: - WEEK 2

Best records Week 2 for Power 4 Teams - ATS (over last 2 years):

B1G10 2 - 0 TEAMS:

Ohio St - yes , Indiana - no, USC - no, Illinois - no/LO! < includes one game outright as dog

Nebraska - yes, Minnesota - no  

SEC 2 - 0 TEAMS:

Tennessee - yes, Arkansas - no , Vanderbilt - no , Missouri - yes

ACC 2 - 0 TEAMS:

Boston College - yes , Pittsburgh - no

B1G12 2 - 0 TEAMS:

BYU - yes < includes outright win as a dog 

Houston - yes, UCF - yes, Baylor - yes, Arizona St. - no

I don't see value in continuing this for now.....only the BIG12 showed they are early season strong ATS plays for some of their teams, 3 seasons in a row 

I will update Conference numbers later and start to dig into the Week 3 numbers from last couple of years ..

Worst Power 4 WEEK 2 Teams last 2 yrs ATS: > Michigan won, Penn St lost , Maryland won, UCLA won, Georgia won, TexasAm won, LSU lost, Auburn won, Florida lost, Miss St. won , Miami, SMU, VTech, Stanford, Texas Tech, WVU, Oklahoma St., Kansas St., Kansas, Cincinnatti, 

There might be something there for TOP 2 CONFERENCES > they broke away from early season slides going 7 - 2 ATS