Indiana vs Miami + NFL Divisional Round

Sad to see another season end. Really disgusting thinking NBA, NHL and MLB will all there will be to bet on after March Madness

Went 12-4 last weekend.....gonna try and improve that over the next 3 days.....

Miami has had a good year, but not great. Caught Florida and Flor St in down years, and the rest of the ACC was crap....still managed to lose 2 games. How you ask? There are 3 reasons.....1) Cristobal can't adjust and gets out coached 2) The Hurricanes can't be disciplined and commit too many penalties 3) Carson Beck is an ok QB, but isn't "the man"....

1) Cignetti DEFINITELY has the advantage in this game. That ls not even debatable.

2) Indiana is 4th in the nation averaging 3.5 penalties per game.....Miami is 113th at 7.2

3) In the 2 losses, Beck threw 6 ints and he isnt very mobile (3 games all season over 10 yards).

Mendoza is 31/36 for 8 tds/0 ints in the postseason ....threw 6 picks all year.....also only has 3 games all season under 15 yards rushing.....

Miami defense gets a lot of talk and yes they are good.....11th in the nation.....Who's 4th? Yep, Indiana......

Offense ranks? Indiana #11.....Canes #40

So, could Miami play a great game and win? Sure. They have talent everywhere. Will they put it all together? Coaching, offense, defense, special teams and discipline? I honestly don't think they can against this Indiana team. For Cristobal to go toe to toe with Cig.....the defense to contain Mendoza....for Beck to not make any errors....for the Canes to not get silly penalties.....that is a lot to ask. 

I think by midway thru the 2nd Q the Canes will be frustrated and the penalties will start.....People banking on Miami are hoping the ball bounces their way....which could totally happen. Im banking on what I know will happen....Cig being the better coach having the more sound squad.....

Indiana -8.5 & O47.5

I of course have many variations.....from teasers to ML parlays mixed in.....

NFL action

Buffalo ML & O45

SF +7.5 & O45

Houston +3.5 & U41.5

Rams ML & O47.5 

I have some opposite lines in various parlays/teasers as the numbers are solid.....Broncos +7,Sea ML, Pats ML, Bears +11......

My current favorite parlay with some alt lines @ 164-1

Buffalo ML & O44.5

SF +10.5 & O44.5

Houston +3.5 & U42.5

Rams ML & O46.5

Indiana -5.5 & O46.5

GL fellas

@TRAIN69

Nice run last weekend train….

I’m with you on Indiana. I think Indiana beats um by at least 14 possibly more. 
I like the Rams and San Francisco as well especially with that 7 1/2 with San Fran. 

Good luck this weekend. 

I jumped on Indiana at -7.5 at 5 units

Buffalo ML for 2 units

Denver has played the 3rd easiest SOS but they do have a pretty good Defense. I lean to the Under because the Bills will be short handed at WR and Fenver has the 2nd best run D. But I don’t believe Bo Nix is great QB….

i do lean Seattle v SF Under. Both teams know each other and have played one another twice already this year, SF is missing their best receiver in Kittle and I’m not really sold on Darnold.

Rams -3, bought .5 point and Rams -2.5 1H, Bears have been sooooo lucky and the Rams are just better…

Houston +3.5 bought .5 point. The Pats have played the easiest SOS compared to the Texans 11th SOS. Also played 1H Under 23, I can see both teams trying to control tempo and not screw up.

just my thoughts and I do appreciate you posting your plays and thoughts on each game.

good luck brother.

Choo Choo, Don't you think the brutal temperature in Chicago may lend itself to the UNDER?

I took one tease that included under 53.5.......a chance?, or not likely.

Thanks, and BOL on your bets.

Train - Excellent Write up, one of the best I have ever seen, to support your position, and that has nothing to do with the fact that I am an Indiana homer and alumnus...You emphasize the salient points, and if cappers on this forum had any sense, they would heed your guidance...But, I guess folks have to make up their own minds and cap as they see fit... 

Good luck Train.  

I think I'll end up on the Hoosiers also and not that either team needs motivation but man my guess is that Miami surely must have a chip on their shoulder after days & days of hearing how they are going to lose and maybe get smoked.Another season come & gone, hope ya see ya for the next one buddy.  

@TRAIN69

 Who you got playing in the Super Bowl Train?...

Rams-Bills would be entertaining....

Awesome Capping.....

Thanks for stopping by brother 

Kinda liking Hemby to score a TD....he was the only one from the 5 main guys that didn't get in the endzone vs Oregon....Cignetti will reward him tonight

....and Miami is without one of their best D backs for the first half (Targeting last game)

@LonghornHoosier

 I pretty much wrote the same thing. Miami fans are mostly talking negative about Indiana and the Big 10 in general instead of playing up to Miami’s strength on the O-line. No way no how can I see a game in where Christobal and Miami out coach and outplay Indiana. GL!

Good luck Train!!