Hi Jimmy - just started reading your post - think it's great to see so many great football minds here.
What are your thoughts on laying 27 with Oregon State? Hawaii is an awful team, especially on the road. I can see Oregon State looking to redeem itself after its embarrassing performance last Saturday night. To me, Hawaii seems like the perfect team for them to lay a real good beating on. I think they could be up 5 TDs at halftime.
Your thoughts (and everyone else's) are appreciated.
Thanks
First time posting, so bare with me.
I think the reason this BYU/Texas line is higher than expected is based on the fact that both teams have revamped their offenses and are trying to run plays about every 15 seconds. This will dramatically increase the number of snaps over the course of the game. Add this to the fact that they will be playing this game at elevation (a new experience for Texas now that Colorado is in the Pac12) and you could see some pretty exhausted defenses.
The counter argument is that BYU's offense is awful. If you go 3 and out every series, the opponent's defense won't be on the field long enough to get tired. BYU's sophmore QB is athletic, but he only completed around 30% of his throws last week. I think that number will improve this week because they will be playing at home in good weather and they do get their best receiver back from injury, but it's hard to see them scoring much.
At the end of the day the total is a no play for me because of my concerns about the number of plays and the elevation. I think the best bet on this game is Texas -7.
JDF - I started reading your analysis late last season. Thanks for sharing your thoughts on the games. It's always an insightgul read.
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