Freak Pics!!! (Week 2)

Glad to see you are on the same side as me on a lot of my plays. Took South Carolina early and got it at 3 wish I would have waited and and got the half. Didn't feel like buying the .5 when I think they will win straight up. Almost jumped on Arkansas State early when I saw it was at +14 but now I see it has dropped to +10.5.

There are people who post their plays.  FYI, these are RAS's plays for this week.  They are usually pretty sharp on totals.

Illinois +10.5
Washington State +16
Buffalo +28.5
USF +24.5
UCF -23


FAU/ECU OVER
WKU/Tennessee OVER
USA/Tulsa UNDER
Hawaii//OSU OVER
Duke/Memphis OVER
Miami-Ohio/Kentucky OVER

I was on the Duke/Memphis and FAU/ECU OVERS prior to them releasing their plays.

Plenty of forums where people post dr bob plays and right angle sports just google search!!

I typically value dr bob and right angles plays highly more than anyone actually those are only ones!

Jimmy is pretty insightful also!

I would say if all three are on same line I would literally pounds bankroll on it!

Haha no joke! Wow jimmy u are in same sentence as right angle and dr bob that's big company'. Don't you dare go tout!!

  A little warning about the Duke/Memphis OVER.  This is not last season's Duke team.  They will be much more run oriented this season, so don't expect the huge offensive numbers they had last season.  That said, Memphis should be vastly improved on the offensive side of the ball, so I think that will make up the difference.

I will also not that the line rise from 49.5 to 53.5 crossed some key numbers.  I do still like the play however.  I'm just not sure it's "Best Bet" material at 53.5.

I see a lot of people on Duke here, but I have actually considered playing Memphis on the ML.  I think they have a great shot to win this game.  Apparently Dr. Bob does too because he released Memphis as one of his plays last night.  That sent the line tumbling.  I probably won't take a shot on Memphis on the ML now that most of the value has been sucked out of the play.

My predicted final score for this game is 34-31 Memphis.

*****

Florida's passing game will be just fine.

*****

Best of luck to you this week Wiz!!!

Jimmy thoughts on illinois??

Right angle and dr bob both have that.. Still I hate illinois such a bad program...

Southern illinois could beat Purdue though!

Purdue has reached all time low!!

Little bit on illinois for me... Just bc they are on it worth a pkay

tcb??? 

What are your thoughts on Texas -7 Oregon -21.5 Oregon state -27 and Wyoming -28 and 27.5? Also any opinion on Oklahoma state -26.5 thinking of tacking that on the card

I can't see idaho keeping it close Hawaii has to travel Texas should roll and Virginia scores very little off a bunch of turnovers they aren't staying near oregon

Take Care of Business

Cam Cameron's offense scares me a bit, and UAB can score.  I still don't see them eclipsing the 14-point mark though.  I think LSU could easily get into the 40s.  I was thinking more like 45-13 or 45-16 on the high end.  I still think that total is high.  I'll just have to pay to see it go higher than 62.5 I guess.

Agreed on Buf brutha. Baylor is a machine, but people will see that Ohio St wasn't necessarily underperforming in Wk 1, but Buf aint all that bad.

Miami is NOT beating Florida.  They are definitely closing the gap, but they aren't there yet.

Guess we will see!

No plans to do that at this time.  If it'll help some of my fringe games are:

Cincinnati -7
Western Kentucky +13.5
Wyoming -28
Navy/Indiana OVER 67.5
Kansas State -10.5
Arkansas State +10.5
San Jose State +25.5

Of those, the most likely games I would add are Kansas State -10.5, and San Jose State.  I may add SJSU mainly because of when it's being played.

First time posting, so bare with me.

I think the reason this BYU/Texas line is higher than expected is based on the fact that both teams have revamped their offenses and are trying to run plays about every 15 seconds. This will dramatically increase the number of snaps over the course of the game. Add this to the fact that they will be playing this game at elevation (a new experience for Texas now that Colorado is in the Pac12) and you could see some pretty exhausted defenses.

The counter argument is that BYU's offense is awful. If you go 3 and out every series, the opponent's defense won't be on the field long enough to get tired. BYU's sophmore QB is athletic, but he only completed around 30% of his throws last week. I think that number will improve this week because they will be playing at home in good weather and they do get their best receiver back from injury, but it's hard to see them scoring much.

At the end of the day the total is a no play for me because of my concerns about the number of plays and the elevation. I think the best bet on this game is Texas -7.

JDF - I started reading your analysis late last season. Thanks for sharing your thoughts on the games. It's always an insightgul read.

Thanks, I am already on Cincy, Wyoming and Navy/Indiana.
I am former SJSU alumni (so my input might be a bit slanted) and watched the Stanford game last season on stadium. I already put a semi large bet on the Spartans +25.5, because I simply cannot see them get destroyed by the Cardinals. The stadium will be just over half full due to school hasn't started yet, so the crowd won't be a factor. Furthermore, it is the first game for Stanford, so they might be a bit rusty whereas the Spartans already played and looked decent + they have a top prospect QB in Fales, and he is connecting the dots. San Jose will have go for the kill in the first quarter/half, it is going to be tough, but always fun to watch these rivalries.
 

GOOD LUCK JIMMY

Best of Luck today...

Jimmy what are your thoughts on S Florida +23?

jimmy nice work your doing unreal. have a great year my brother to the bank

Jimmy  .  I thought about posting my own thread here but we have almost exactly the same picks 2 weeks in a row.   Anyway, since we must think somewhat alike I thought I would mention -  I disagree with South Carolina.  I think UNC was about 5 dropped passes from a tie game last week.  South Carolina lost 7 of their top 10 tacklers last year and you could definitely see it last week - UNC was just not executing when they had the chance.  On the flip side of the ball, UNC's defense gave up around 30 points a game last year and had two players go in the first round of the draft, so we knew they were going to suck.  In other words, SC did absolutely nothing to impress me last week and I think they are one of the most overrated teams this season (luckily their schedule is easier than usual). Georgia comes in after getting beat by an ACC team, so of course the public opinion of them should be down a little, but they still open favored.  I may not play the game either way, but to me it seems like UGA is a legit favorite.