Posted:
#101
fox you are a certified genius . you have made my year thaks alot hope we never lose you.
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Fox's **Final 5 BOWL GAMES - Picks and Analysis**
Posted:
#105
Thx everyone, much respect. 
In reference to the Bama play I'm going to have, as Manny Frisco stated earlier, the money is coming in heavier on the underdog Notre Dame. It's always very concerning when the underdog is the public favorite IMO, and if I liked the underdog, I may re think my pick. It does not apply in this case, because I like Bama a lot already. My book has Bama at -9.5, and I think it could move to -9 during the day sometime. Bama will most likely see more action in the hours before game time so locking it in sometime during the day if youre a Bama backer is prolly a smart thing to do. If it stays at -9.5, I'm buying the hook to -9. Hopefully it moves to -9 at some point during the day though so I don't have to pay for it. If the line does move to -9, it won't last long guys so watch it closely. Write up and official pick up tmrw afternoon.
-Fox-
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Posted:
#112
BCS National Championship
$2000 Alabama -9 -120 **Max Bet**
A lot to look at in this game, and I'll start why I think this line is actually too low. Yes Bama lost to Texas A&M at home, but remember the week before they had to go into Death Valley and beat LSU. I for one took advantage of those lines as I sided with both LSU and Texas A&M and made money by fading Bama in back to back weeks. The major difference in this game tho, is that this Bama team has had over a month to prepare, and I can assure you Nick Saban has them ready to dominate. Go back to the beginning of the year where they absolutely man handled Michigan in a dominating win and cover. Go back to last years National Championship game where Bama dominated from start to finish and won 21-0 against an undefeated LSU team. This game actually reminds me a lot of last years game. Look we have a one loss Bama team, and an undefeated opponent. Both teams are 1-2 in defense and both like to run the ball. The difference will come down to turnovers and experience, and to me Alabama has the advantage in both these categories.
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Posted:
#113
Notre Dame Offense vs. Alabama Defense:
No matter how I look at it, I just can't see Notre Dame scoring more than 10 points here, and in reality 9 points, because they will have a hard time scoring a TD offensively IMO. We know what Notre Dame is about on offense. They play extremely conservative and try to run the ball down your throat. I expect them to have less success on the ground as they did against Stanford. That was around 3.5 yards a carry. And Bama run defense is better. I know some will make the argument that Golson provides some of the same threats as Manziel did, but let's be real, he's not close to Manzeil. You saw what a rested Bama team did to Michigan and Denard Robinson the first week of the season. Alabama wasnt ready for Johnny football with only a week to prepare and after an extremely physical game against LSU. Golson is going to be overwhelmed here, and his inexperience will show. For me he's just not going to be able to make enough throws downfield to move the ball consistently. It's going to take some creative plays and play calling by Brian Kelly for them to get points in this one. It may work once or twice for a fg or two, but that's about it IMO. Golson has been good about not turning it over recently but from what I've seen this year he can make some poor decisions, and if he does that tonight it could get ugly fast.
Alabama Offense vs. Notre Dame Defense:
The major difference between these two teams offensively is at the QB position. AJ Mccarron has the experience of these big games, and Nick Saban can trust him to make some tough throws. I wouldn't be surprised if Bama tries to catch ND off guard early will some throws down the field. Just like last year Bama is going against the second best rushing defense in the nation. Not many people thought they would have the success they did in that game, but if there is one thing I learned its that this Bama team will wear you down and eventually break some big runs. That will be the story tonight once again. These Bama running backs bring the fight to you and pound you for every yard. They aren't afraid of anyone and this isn't their first game of this magnitude. Ill go out on a limb and say that Alabama gets over 200 yards on the ground in this game. Notre dame just hasn't seen this type of running game this year and that tide offensive line should wear down the Irish defensive front.
If Notre Dame is able to withstand the physical play of Bama for 60 minutes both on offense and defense I will be very surprised. I just see Alabama pulling away slowly and Notre Dame failing to move the ball down the field and catch up. ND will likely give the tide a few short fields as well from some costly turnovers in their own end, and look for Golson to struggle on 3rd down especially. If Golson can't pick up some first downs with his feet as plays break down, you may see some Tommy Reese in the second half. Alabama wins back to back National Titles here. Alabama wins 27-6
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Posted:
#122
I have much respect for your handicapping skills. I was on ND since the beginning of the bowl season, but I am changing my mind at the 11th hour to BAMA. I am usually a DOG player, but that is when most peeps are on the FAVE. I see a lot of peeps on ND and ND ML. This means it is time to take the FAVE. I will be with you tonite! Good luck to all BAMA players! 
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on bama tonight?
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