Floatin Week 5 NCAAF

11-5-1 YTD

4-0 LW

POINT PLAY 1:

Ragin Cajuns-7

i going back to ULL again I'm 1-1 ats With ULL, but last game vs UAB was bull...

ULL, hosts Arkansas State on Saturday night. Louisiana is 3-1, while Arkansas State is 2-2. This is the Sun Belt opener for both teams.

Team-stat comparison

Turnover margin: ULL +4,  ARK ST +2 :  ULL

Yards per play: ULL 5.4,     ARK ST 6.2 : Arkansas State

Third-down conversions: ULL 16 of 47 (34.0%),   ARK ST  20 of 44 (45.5%): Arkansas State

Rushing yards allowed per game: ULL 92.5,  ARK ST 183.8: ULL

Rushing yards allowed per carry: ULL 3.2,  ARK ST 4.9: ULL

Arkansas State has the more explosive offense. The Red Wolves average 6.2 yards per play and convert about 46% of their third downs. Louisiana averages 5.4 yards per play and converts only 34% of its third downs.

Louisiana has the stronger turnover numbers. The Cajuns have committed six turnovers but forced 10, giving them a plus-4 margin. Arkansas State has committed five and forced seven, giving it a plus-2 margin. Louisiana's ability to create turnovers could slow down Arkansas State's big-play offense.

Run-defense comparison:

This is where Louisiana has its biggest advantage. The Cajuns allow only 92.5 rushing yards per game and 3.2 yards per carry. They also held Charlotte to just 26 rushing yards in their latest game.

Arkansas State allows 183.8 rushing yards per game and 4.9 yards per carry. Louisiana runs for almost 187 yards per game, so the Cajuns should attack this weakness. If they run well, they can control the clock and keep Arkansas State's offense off the field.

Prediction

Arkansas State should make some big plays because it gains more yards per snap and performs better on third down. However, Louisiana has the better defense, stronger turnover margin, and home-field advantage.

The biggest factor should be Louisiana's rushing offense against Arkansas State's weak run defense. I expect the Cajuns to control the second half and pull away late.

2025 34-30 ULL +2'

2024 55-19 ULL -14

2023 27-17 ARK ST +7'

Final score prediction: Louisiana 31, Arkansas State 17

Final score prediction: Louisiana 31, Arkansas State 23.

@FloatinPicks

 Come on... You LOST on the Cyclones last week.  Clearly in your thread.

Point Play 2:

Texas Tech vs Colorado

Texas Tech travels to Colorado on Saturday. Texas Tech is 4-0, while Colorado is 2-2.

Statistical comparison:

Offensive yards per game: Texas Tech 429.5,  Colorado 399.0: Texas Tech

First downs per game: Texas Tech 23.5,  Colorado 21.8: Texas Tech

Yards per play: Texas Tech 6.3,  Colorado 5.5: Texas Tech

Red-zone scoring rate: Texas Tech 13 of 14 (92.9%),  Colorado 8 of 11 (72.7%): Texas Tech

Red-zone touchdown rate: Texas Tech 10 of 14 (71.4%),  Colorado 5 of 11 (45.5%): Texas Tech

Defensive yards allowed per game: Texas Tech 348.2,  Colorado 355.0: Texas Tech

Defensive yards allowed per play: Texas Tech 5.1,  Colorado 5.0: Colorado, slightly

Can the Buffs get these same numbers vs Tech?

Texas Tech has the stronger offense in every category requested. The Red Raiders gain about 31 more yards per game, produce almost two more first downs, and average 0.8 more yards on each play. That combination suggests Texas Tech should create more scoring chances.

Colorado's offense moves the ball fairly well, but it has trouble finishing drives. The Buffaloes score on about 73% of their red-zone trips and score touchdowns on only 45.5%. Texas Tech scores on almost 93% of its trips and gets touchdowns on more than 71%.

Can Rado get in the redzone? how many times?

Buffs QB situation is shaky, the game might get out-of-hand late

Final Score : 31-13

TxTech 

I DID?

10-6-1 YTD

thx bro

11-6-1 YTD

Can someone please keep me up to date?

Point Play 3:

So. BAMA vs ULM

South Alabama hosts ULM on Saturday. South Alabama is 2-2, while ULM is 0-4.

Statistical comparison:

Offensive yards per game: Jags 421.3,  ULM 344.5: Jags

First downs per game: Jags 23.0,  ULM 20.0: Jags

Offensive yards per play: Jags 5.6, ULM 5.0: Jags

Red-zone scoring rate: Jags 15 of 17 (88.2%),  ULM 7 of 8 (87.5%):  TIE!

Red-zone touchdown rate: Jags 10 of 17 (58.8%),  ULM 5 of 8 (62.5%): ULM!

Defensive yards allowed per game: Jags 402.3,  ULM 497.3: Jags

Opponent first downs per game: Jags 18.0,  ULM More than 24.0:  Jags!

The fourth game in every category was not added, so some ULM efficiency figures still cover three games. Its updated schedule and preview numbers show an 0-4 record and 344.5 offensive yards per game.

South Alabama has the stronger offense. The Jaguars average about 77 more yards per game and three more first downs. They also gain more yards each time they run a play. Those advantages should give South Alabama more chances to reach scoring range.

South Alabama's defense gives up too many big plays vs. good teams, so ULM should score a few times. However, the Jaguars move the ball better, create more first downs, and reach the red zone more often.

Final: 38-20

Jags -14

ULL -6'

So.Bama -14'

TxTch -12'

Usually, most people can tell by their betting account changes.... GL this week, mistakes happen

Good luck FP.  

I got Stanford +14'

after corrections, i'm 61% 

I have a Godly ATS so FAR

3 Team Dream

TxTech -13'

Bay +3'

RUT +24

@FloatinPicks

 great start to the season