Posted:
#51
Good looking card Siz--
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***CFB Week 5***
Posted:
#53
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
Agree and we are just seeing it different. I will be banking that Sjst comes out flat a bit more than Rams after they finally stopped 13 games losing streak and celebrated by dumping ice water over the head of sjst s coach. At least one of us will win. Every team is always conscious of it. It doesnt mean they can prevent it. Teams lose in these spots more often than they win and I am only playing the percentages here.
You can also get rich by fading a team that won SU on the road as underdogs when they come home to be favored the next week.
We dont approach this the same, dont expect to see the same things. I could care less about who did or didnt play two weeks ago. I could care less about how many yards they gave up or give up. I dont care about stats. I play spots and this spot is a must play.
I also think I have the better squad. My perception of these teams is completely different from yours.
GL with your plays, man.
Good Luck
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Posted:
#54
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:
Ah yes, the fake sharp think tank going off today.
Ah yes, the fake sharp think tank going off today.
Haaaaahaaaaaaahaaaaa. That's pretty witty. 
Unreal witty. Keep em coming...
Oye.
Gotta hate this constructive conversation on games in this thread 
. From what I see from this week is fake sharps up one game, donkeys playing the obvious down starting the wknd.
Good luck this weekend chief 
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Posted:
#56
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
Tron, I had this dude who doesn't have a job and has never gambled in his life asking me if he puts 100 on gt how much does he win. It was at that point last night that I began to seriously lean to ncstate. Those boys are all on scholarship too.
I'm glad you like NCST. GTech does'nt have a bad defense, a disgusting defense. I couldn't imagine taking a DD fav on the road with that defense. I haven't seen more dumb threads about a game in years. Not only can they lose ATS but lose SU. UNC did whatever they wanted on the line of scrimmage vs them. I trust the oddmakers opening line much more than the people salivating to bet it up. I don't like trends but NCST has some ridiculous trends in their favor.
Tron, I had this dude who doesn't have a job and has never gambled in his life asking me if he puts 100 on gt how much does he win. It was at that point last night that I began to seriously lean to ncstate. Those boys are all on scholarship too.
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Posted:
#58
Quote Originally Posted by 165yds:
I'm glad you like NCST. GTech does'nt have a bad defense, a disgusting defense. I couldn't imagine taking a DD fav on the road with that defense. I haven't seen more dumb threads about a game in years. Not only can they lose ATS but lose SU. UNC did whatever they wanted on the line of scrimmage vs them. I trust the oddmakers opening line much more than the people salivating to bet it up. I don't like trends but NCST has some ridiculous trends in their favor.
I'm glad you like NCST. GTech does'nt have a bad defense, a disgusting defense. I couldn't imagine taking a DD fav on the road with that defense. I haven't seen more dumb threads about a game in years. Not only can they lose ATS but lose SU. UNC did whatever they wanted on the line of scrimmage vs them. I trust the oddmakers opening line much more than the people salivating to bet it up. I don't like trends but NCST has some ridiculous trends in their favor.
Bingo. I'm not betting this game, but the masses have decided that NC State is a terrible football team based solely on what they saw in an ESPN game on the road against Cincinnati.
A porous defensive team (GT) laying double-digits in its first road game of the year with overwhelming public support? This can only end poorly.
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Posted:
#59
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
Tron, I had this dude who doesn't have a job and has never gambled in his life asking me if he puts 100 on gt how much does he win. It was at that point last night that I began to seriously lean to ncstate. Those boys are all on scholarship too.
Tron, I had this dude who doesn't have a job and has never gambled in his life asking me if he puts 100 on gt how much does he win. It was at that point last night that I began to seriously lean to ncstate. Those boys are all on scholarship too.
Actually, they're not. State will be playing a walk-on at DT.
Still, that variant on the stock-tips-from-the-shoeshine-boy is a great story. It reminds me of a couple years ago when the tendency of USC and UGA to play low-scoring games filtered out into the non-betting world and had newpaper writers advising their readers to load up on the under. Final score: 41-37.
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Posted:
#60
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:
Very original avatar "Lucrative."
Very original avatar "Lucrative."
And 33 posts since 2010? At least boost it up so you have more credibility.
I thought it was kinda cool. Its Erin's ass that we snapped at the UNC/Miami game past seasons... It was between that or a handle like Da-Blingz88 or Hustla4eva with a sick ass pic of my Prelude in my pic. I guess I choose poorly.
Post count means credibility? Damn, I guess i could spend the weekend putting
s in people thread or hop in on the GT threads and shout out "GTs gonna roll em!" That would get it up. Then people wouldnt call me a noob.Honestly, I dont post here much. I do stop in from time to time. I post elsewhere on another handle. Regardless, you dont know me, I dont know you. But, I do know people on here who DO know me, so lets let them judge my credibility...
I gotta jet. Now go have a cilantro smoothie or whatever you Leftcoasters enjoy and think of something funny to say...I hope its a fucking hoot!
Take care and keep those post counts up!
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Posted:
#61
Quote Originally Posted by mws:
It reminds me of a couple years ago when the tendency of USC and UGA to play low-scoring games filtered out into the non-betting world and had newpaper writers advising their readers to load up on the under. Final score: 41-37.
Every time I see someone play an oh-so-obvious total, this is the exact game that pops in my head...
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Posted:
#62
Quote Originally Posted by Lucrative:
I thought it was kinda cool. Its Erin's ass that we snapped at the UNC/Miami game past seasons... It was between that or a handle like Da-Blingz88 or Hustla4eva with a sick ass pic of my Prelude in my pic. I guess I choose poorly.
Post count means credibility? Damn, I guess i could spend the weekend puttings in people thread or hop in on the GT threads and shout out "GTs gonna roll em!" That would get it up. Then people wouldnt call me a noob.
Honestly, I dont post here much. I do stop in from time to time. I post elsewhere on another handle. Regardless, you dont know me, I dont know you. But, I do know people on here who DO know me, so lets let them judge my credibility...
I gotta jet. Now go have a cilantro smoothie or whatever you Leftcoasters enjoy and think of something funny to say...I hope its a fucking hoot!
Take care and keep those post counts up!
I thought it was kinda cool. Its Erin's ass that we snapped at the UNC/Miami game past seasons... It was between that or a handle like Da-Blingz88 or Hustla4eva with a sick ass pic of my Prelude in my pic. I guess I choose poorly.
Post count means credibility? Damn, I guess i could spend the weekend putting
s in people thread or hop in on the GT threads and shout out "GTs gonna roll em!" That would get it up. Then people wouldnt call me a noob.Honestly, I dont post here much. I do stop in from time to time. I post elsewhere on another handle. Regardless, you dont know me, I dont know you. But, I do know people on here who DO know me, so lets let them judge my credibility...
I gotta jet. Now go have a cilantro smoothie or whatever you Leftcoasters enjoy and think of something funny to say...I hope its a fucking hoot!
Take care and keep those post counts up!
Who's publishing this novel? Got 2 lines in and thought I was reading an article.
Just because I live in Cali doesn't mean I was raised there.
Good luck to you.
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Posted:
#63
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:
Really? Are you guys even reading the injury reports? Damn near entire D line is out for NCState leaving them with a bunch of freshman fill ins.
Really? Are you guys even reading the injury reports? Damn near entire D line is out for NCState leaving them with a bunch of freshman fill ins.
Not hating, just saying.
Thanks for giving us the most widely known information. Do you have anything that may really help with this game? Like something the entire free world doesnt know? I mean, I get it. You like to cap and bet on games by using the knowledge of every average joe. That works for you....although I didnt see your record for last year, so I cant verify if thats even the truth. But it doesnt work for me. I want better info. I want info that not every schmuck is looking at. I want info on something that the books care about as well. Those injuries are already factored in, pal.
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Posted:
#64
Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:
Bingo. I'm not betting this game, but the masses have decided that NC State is a terrible football team based solely on what they saw in an ESPN game on the road against Cincinnati.
A porous defensive team (GT) laying double-digits in its first road game of the year with overwhelming public support? This can only end poorly.
Clearly a NC State or no play, imo. Everyone thought GT was going to roll all over UNC too. Didnt exactly happen, covered by half point, pushed for some. That was mainly bc of how badly UNC ended up shitting themselves at times.
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Posted:
#65
Quote Originally Posted by mws:
Actually, they're not. State will be playing a walk-on at DT.
Still, that variant on the stock-tips-from-the-shoeshine-boy is a great story. It reminds me of a couple years ago when the tendency of USC and UGA to play low-scoring games filtered out into the non-betting world and had newpaper writers advising their readers to load up on the under. Final score: 41-37.
There was a Tenny/UGA game the same way. The thing had 45 points in the second quarter, lol.
I remember both of those games.
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Posted:
#66
Quote Originally Posted by Lucrative:
I thought it was kinda cool. Its Erin's ass that we snapped at the UNC/Miami game past seasons... It was between that or a handle like Da-Blingz88 or Hustla4eva with a sick ass pic of my Prelude in my pic. I guess I choose poorly.
Post count means credibility? Damn, I guess i could spend the weekend puttings in people thread or hop in on the GT threads and shout out "GTs gonna roll em!" That would get it up. Then people wouldnt call me a noob.
Honestly, I dont post here much. I do stop in from time to time. I post elsewhere on another handle. Regardless, you dont know me, I dont know you. But, I do know people on here who DO know me, so lets let them judge my credibility...
I gotta jet. Now go have a cilantro smoothie or whatever you Leftcoasters enjoy and think of something funny to say...I hope its a fucking hoot!
Take care and keep those post counts up!
I thought it was kinda cool. Its Erin's ass that we snapped at the UNC/Miami game past seasons... It was between that or a handle like Da-Blingz88 or Hustla4eva with a sick ass pic of my Prelude in my pic. I guess I choose poorly.
Post count means credibility? Damn, I guess i could spend the weekend putting
s in people thread or hop in on the GT threads and shout out "GTs gonna roll em!" That would get it up. Then people wouldnt call me a noob.Honestly, I dont post here much. I do stop in from time to time. I post elsewhere on another handle. Regardless, you dont know me, I dont know you. But, I do know people on here who DO know me, so lets let them judge my credibility...
I gotta jet. Now go have a cilantro smoothie or whatever you Leftcoasters enjoy and think of something funny to say...I hope its a fucking hoot!
Take care and keep those post counts up!
I think school is now out....
Cilantro smoothie
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Posted:
#69
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
I actually leaned to North Carolina all last week and never bet the game
Clearly a NC State or no play, imo. Everyone thought GT was going to roll all over UNC too. Didnt exactly happen, covered by half point, pushed for some. That was mainly bc of how badly UNC ended up shitting themselves at times.
this game is much different
UNC has good defensive players and are solid on both LOS
the wolfpack are a mash unit and terrible to boot
the Jackets will double that spread in this one barring some insane amount of turnovers or special team disasters
we are on the same side with Utah & Duke
.
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Posted:
#71
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
we are on the same side with Utah & Duke
Oh, Wahoo....other than it being a bad spot with the first road game etc. I dont know if I will have the balls to hit submit on that - although those always do seem to win. There are some very sharp cappers on that play, you included. I just dont lay road chalk, really, so its not even an option. But you know you have seen this before. The entire board is on it. That story I told above was no bullshit either. The public wins and I hate that whole fucking debate, but Covers doesnt win and I dont mind that debate. There is no way this entire board covers. And thats my main thinking, but still hardly enough to warrant a play as of now.
This card is an extremely easy one, imo, and I dont need to mess it up with something I am not sure about.
0
Posted:
#72
Covers does lose when everyone is on the same side more often than NOT
that can't be argued, you are certainly correct with that
I never make wagers based on what others are playing though, I go with my own mind, research, gut, etc. (most of the time I post my stuff before others so I'm already in before I know what anyone else plays)
I hate laying road chalk in conference play also, it is much easier to take a live dog when schools are familiar with one another IMO
that being said, this game gives me no choice, I'm like you in that I don't win them all but I do win more than I lose (especially bigger ones)
I hope this is one of those times where the board is right, the public is right, whatever
if not, I'll be paying a hefty price for it because I dropped the hammer on that opening number 
I could still win with everyone else losing (hate to actually say that but it's true with the line I hit)
Utah and Duke are big ones for me as well, hope we are correct with those
.
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Posted:
#74
Quote Originally Posted by Chimpo:
Agree and we are just seeing it different. I will be banking that Sjst comes out flat a bit more than Rams after they finally stopped 13 games losing streak and celebrated by dumping ice water over the head of sjst s coach. At least one of us will win.
Good Luck
Agree and we are just seeing it different. I will be banking that Sjst comes out flat a bit more than Rams after they finally stopped 13 games losing streak and celebrated by dumping ice water over the head of sjst s coach. At least one of us will win.
Good Luck
That and altitude concern me. CSU tends to have fairly extreme home/road splits. I do think SJSU is the better team, but neither one are in a great spot, imo.
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