Posted:
#26
BOL RJ! 
US vs Books 
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***CFB Week 5***
Posted:
#28
Quote Originally Posted by Tone10:
RJ, is there a reason you are not on Rice this week?
Seems like your type of play, with the old "fade the home favorite that won the previous week straight up as a road underdog" (Southern Mississippi won at Virginia last week as 3 point underdogs.)
Lol, you know I know about this game as I was on USM ML last week. I really just expected 9.5, but when I saw 14, I thought I was getting suckered.
You see I am on that angle a few times here this week. I hit ULL last week against FIU and they won outright as 17 point dogs. When I saw that line hit the point where they were laying 10, I thought it was just silly. Same thing with Temple. Granted, they played out of their minds against MD, but to be laying a fucking TD against Toledo? Thats atrocious.
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Posted:
#29
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:
I see you're on your fake sharp shit this week. Good luck to you.
I see you're on your fake sharp shit this week. Good luck to you.
I think you're depending more on luck than actual capping and line plays, but what do I know?
You can always tell the new guy....
Sharp or square or public or not is not a debate that takes place in my threads. You really just need to look at my covers space, look at my past write-ups.
To further elaborate, by reading my previous threads you would know that I dont cap games. I dont look at stats, I dont do any of the things you might do when looking at a game. So it might be hard to understand where I come from. But, just like where I respect where your thoughts come from - unfortunately, they have been very limited in scope - I hope you can appreciate where my thoughts come from.
Sharp? I am flattered. Fake Sharp? I am even more so inclined to blush. I just play games where I see an advantage in the situation or spot or where I see value in a line. Wherever it takes me, I just follow. Its been a fantastic time winning money year after year and I am not trying to reinvent the wheel here.
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Posted:
#30
Quote Originally Posted by Lucrative:
Good looking card. 
Really like Duke here. They can throw on anyone.
Great spot to hit Toledo after a loss and Temple coming off that blowout win...The only thing that bothers me is the line has moved up to the 7.5 hook line...
No Florida? Bama is scary good, but I think 4 is a bit of disrespect for the Gators at home. May be best to lay off of it...
Clemson is gonna HATE that trip to Blackburg. Think your right, get 6/6.5 here and VT wins this by a TD or more. Big game. Big road game. Big Clemson choke on the menu here...
Again, I think SC rolls here against Auburn...
UNC/ECU under is gonna be a solid play. Heels will look to run the ball to protect Renner and grind out a win vs ECU. ECU could barely hang points on UAB. Heels defense is gonna look to prove itself after a shitty outing vs GT...Secondary should play well vs ECU spread offense..
GL.
Your boys really disappointed last week. I mean, after coming out and running the ball down GTs throat the first series, it was really disappointing to see them let them come back and answer. Still, they played well, I am sure GT backers were shitting themselves, but they arent close enough to that next level yet.
Once the Florida line dropped under 4, it was untouchable. My book shades my lines.
Duke is POY material. They are more talented at every position and have one of the biggest coaching advantages you are going to see all year. Their previous schedule has put them in position to fucking roll here and I am going to hammer the ml when it gets offered.
You just cant ever go wrong selling Clemson this high....again, I backed Clemson the past two weeks when all of you questioning fucks were nervous. I know you were on them, whats going to feel better than nailing three games in a row? You have Clemson homers who dont know this team as well as we do.
You got me on SC last weekend, although it was small. I was going to hammer them this weekend. Might tail you again. Loved that spread coming out and just skyrocketing. People are still in love with the big name school getting 10 or 11 or so.
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Posted:
#32
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
You can always tell the new guy....
Sharp or square or public or not is not a debate that takes place in my threads. You really just need to look at my covers space, look at my past write-ups.
To further elaborate, by reading my previous threads you would know that I dont cap games. I dont look at stats, I dont do any of the things you might do when looking at a game. So it might be hard to understand where I come from. But, just like where I respect where your thoughts come from - unfortunately, they have been very limited in scope - I hope you can appreciate where my thoughts come from.
Sharp? I am flattered. Fake Sharp? I am even more so inclined to blush. I just play games where I see an advantage in the situation or spot or where I see value in a line. Wherever it takes me, I just follow. Its been a fantastic time winning money year after year and I am not trying to reinvent the wheel here.
My scope can be limited if that gets me an 80% win record.
And yes, the new guy is here to ruffle your feathers. If you want to be friends, play Care Bears, and suck each others cock all week, you've got the wrong guy.
I'm here to talk shit, make money, and kick ass.
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Posted:
#33
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:
My scope can be limited if that gets me an 80% win record.
And yes, the new guy is here to ruffle your feathers. If you want to be friends, play Care Bears, and suck each others cock all week, you've got the wrong guy.
I'm here to talk shit, make money, and kick ass.
We're all here to make money. I've been on a lot of your plays the last two weeks, so I'm not hating on your ability to hit.
But RJ has been pretty solid over the past couple years, especially at rooting out which public play to be scared of. Unless your shit talking here is helping you pick winners, helping RJ pick winners, or helping the rest of us reading the thread pick winners, we don't need it.
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Posted:
#34
Quote Originally Posted by Fishscale:
My scope can be limited if that gets me an 80% win record.
And yes, the new guy is here to ruffle your feathers. If you want to be friends, play Care Bears, and suck each others cock all week, you've got the wrong guy.
I'm here to eat shit, lose money, and lick ass.
Fixed it for ya.
Sizzle
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Posted:
#35
Higgz - looking at Houston, Cleveland and Arizona for survivor.
Scale - congrats on your winning percentage. Just don't be so fucking lame. Your posts are comical. You can't be taking yourself this seriously. I am here to kick ass and make money - you and the rest of the fucking free world pal. Be yourself. Lemming status is unbecoming.
Scale - congrats on your winning percentage. Just don't be so fucking lame. Your posts are comical. You can't be taking yourself this seriously. I am here to kick ass and make money - you and the rest of the fucking free world pal. Be yourself. Lemming status is unbecoming.
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Posted:
#36
I see you've made some friends in here...Don't go get'n your feathers all ruffled
Good to hear your take on the Duke game. Couldnt agree more. What a sneaky, great game that flies under the radar to duoble up on...Looks like that line may hit 4 and you will be able to grab a decent ML in the +150 range...
Too bad KSU didnt come up short vs Miami last week. Woulda/coulda been a better place to hit KSU over the one time wonder Bears...I'm still gonna dabble on K State though...Lotta donkeys on Baylor
Hopin that South Cack line comes back to Earth...If SC can slow down Auburn and get them holding their heads it should be a decent take...
Really want to be talked into getting my LSU money back. Seems like a good spot for LSU to sleepwalk through a noon game with the lookahead to Florida on deck...Just would hate to have to hope for a backdoor the whole game if its damn 35-0 at the half. My guy licks his chops everytime I send in a fade LSU wager..
Hope Pitt pulls one off tonight. Always love to start the wknd in the +...
Good luck bud. I'll be poppin in to see whats up...
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Posted:
#42
Why San Jose St? I understand letdown angle of Rams but they are very conscious of that this year as that has been their MO . I m not sold on sjst . They hang tough against ucla but then they step back vs Aggies that was playing without the WAC's leading passer in sophomore Andrew Manley and its top rusher, Robert Clay. Even without them they rolled 423 yards. Close game throughout. Sjst hasn't won on the road for like 16 straight games. I think Rams will reverse that letdown trend here and come out strong like Temple did last week.
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Posted:
#44
Quote Originally Posted by Chimpo:
Why San Jose St? I understand letdown angle of Rams but they are very conscious of that this year as that has been their MO . I m not sold on sjst . They hang tough against ucla but then they step back vs Aggies that was playing without the WAC's leading passer in sophomore Andrew Manley and its top rusher, Robert Clay. Even without them they rolled 423 yards. Close game throughout. Sjst hasn't won on the road for like 16 straight games. I think Rams will reverse that letdown trend here and come out strong like Temple did last week.
Why San Jose St? I understand letdown angle of Rams but they are very conscious of that this year as that has been their MO . I m not sold on sjst . They hang tough against ucla but then they step back vs Aggies that was playing without the WAC's leading passer in sophomore Andrew Manley and its top rusher, Robert Clay. Even without them they rolled 423 yards. Close game throughout. Sjst hasn't won on the road for like 16 straight games. I think Rams will reverse that letdown trend here and come out strong like Temple did last week.
Every team is always conscious of it. It doesnt mean they can prevent it. Teams lose in these spots more often than they win and I am only playing the percentages here.
You can also get rich by fading a team that won SU on the road as underdogs when they come home to be favored the next week.
We dont approach this the same, dont expect to see the same things. I could care less about who did or didnt play two weeks ago. I could care less about how many yards they gave up or give up. I dont care about stats. I play spots and this spot is a must play.
I also think I have the better squad. My perception of these teams is completely different from yours.
GL with your plays, man.
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Posted:
#45
Whats your take on the GT/NCSU game? I cant get a read on this one. Glancing at this matchup I would see a -13 line here. Trying to wrap my brain around this one. Assuming that GT is in a bad spot here considering its their first real road game; I guess there is justification for a spread as low as 9 in some places...
Just thinking it may be a good time to "buy high" as you say on fading a GT game who really have played out of their ass the past few games...
Idk. Its just bothing me because every single water cooler capper east of I-95 in the Carolinas thinks GT is the lock of the century...
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Posted:
#48
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
Tron, I had this dude who doesn't have a job and has never gambled in his life asking me if he puts 100 on gt how much does he win. It was at that point last night that I began to seriously lean to ncstate. Those boys are all on scholarship too.
Tron, I had this dude who doesn't have a job and has never gambled in his life asking me if he puts 100 on gt how much does he win. It was at that point last night that I began to seriously lean to ncstate. Those boys are all on scholarship too.
Exact situation. A guy who literally NEVER bets called me salivating to put a few hundy on GT. When I told him it was -10 I heard him shit his pants. I think last year he did the same thing on another "obvious free money" play and lost his ass...I guess the sting from that has worn off and he's up for another one 
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