Can't say I like the games Tues through Friday so I'm opting for the following;
- Nebraska -25 (5u) **STRONG PLAY** - Martinez all the way to the bank in this one coming off of a bye week and stewing for 2-weeks since the drubbing by Wisky on national television. Poor Gophers..Yes, I'm aware of look ahead for Nebraska but coming off of a bye and preparing for MSU next week - NEB will run over and around Minn all day. PREDICTION: NEB 53 MINN 13
- Clemson -10 (B 1/2) (3u) - ILB Okakpu dismissed from team and a slew of other injuries.. UNC defense isn't what its cracked up to be and I won't make the same mistake twice backing this squad. Renner looked stupid against an inferior Cardinal team and cost UNC backers a push/win. Clemson the better team on paper and on the field with loads of speed - look for Clemson to put UNC away early in the 2nd Half. Clemson 4-1 ATS at home - make it 5-1. Andre Ellington will avenge last seasons loss with a better showing in this one. REVENGE FACTOR in DEATH VALLEY! PREDICTION: Clemson 43 UNC 19
OSU -6.5 (B 1/2) (3u) - OSU is 3-0 away from Stillwater this season, 2-0 ATS against top 20 opponents. Make it 3-0 despite rain forecasted for this matchup and something like the last 6 or 7 of 9 games historically have been decided by 7pts or less. However ,last years game in Stillwater was larger in favor of OSU. Too much Weeden and Blackmon in the end. Will keep riding this ATS train... PREDICTION: OSU 38 MIZZU 27
Houston -20 (B 1/2) (5u) **STRONG PLAY** - Keenum is solid - look for the Cougars to take care of business at home facing an inept Herd team who in three road games(1-2) gave up a combined 1230 total yds. PREDICTION: Houston 54 Marshall 23
PRIMETIME GAME OF THE WEEK
WISCONSIN -8.5 (B 1/2) (3u) - I've read many forum posts about this matchup. Frankly, for me, it's Wilson's mobility and arm/accuracy that has me believing despite not playing anyone other than Nebraska, which is a quality opponent from my perspective.. Another XFactor will be how amped both sides will be and how quickly they calm down and execute. Mental errors and penalities will be key like many primetime games. But in looking at the last few key games for both sides I caught this;
MSU vs. Michigan - MSU 3rd down conversion was 50%, but MSU's 13 penalities for 124 yds to that of UofM's 5 penalities for 40yds. The lopsided stat didn't cost MSU the game as it might have if not for Robinson's key INT that was returned for a TD and erratic play down the stretch due to poor OL blocking and poor decision by Mr. Shoelace himself on 4th down..
MSU vs ND (Loss) - MSU was 5 of 17 on 3rd down (29%) and had 12 penalities for 86 yds vs. ND 6 for 53 yds; this game MSU lost despite having the edge on turnovers.
WISC vs. Neb - 3rd down conversion was 67% but 4 penalities for 39yds vs Neb 9 for 80yds. Just think D'antoine's squad falters in key points of the game causing field position to favor Wisconsin, which capitalizes on the penalities for points.
Additionally, the Badgers welcome back WR Toon, who had 94 yds on 4 catches and a TD vs. Neb. My money is on the Badgers to overcome adversity, marginalize the rushing defense of MSU with quick screens and QB scrambles, minimize penalities, and add enough points to cover this road test. Coach Bret Bielema will avenge last years loss with a quality road win and have all of the Whisky nay sayers talking unprecidented victory against a quality opponent like MSU. PREDICTION: Wisc 33 MSU 23
PARLAY
4-team (Houston -20 | Clemson -10 | Nebraska -25 | OSU -6.5) (3u to win 10u)
GL2U
13-5 (+30u) on STRONG PLAYS
NCAA ATS: 41-22 (+61u)
NCAA PARLAYS: 2-0 (+10u)
NCAA TEASERS: 1-0 (+3u)
Be careful with Clemson and the 10 points. UNC played Miami to a pretty good duel last week (not that Miami is great). Watch out for Houstons defense. It's suspect on the weakest of teams...they had to come from behind to beat Tulsa and UTEP.
Just as I expected - Renner SUCKS and Clemson avenged last years loss in a BIG way!
Hot Forum Topics
