HAWAII .. LEAD PIPE LOCK .. for those of you watching on the MTN WEST App .. the only place to see the game if yer not hangin out at Wolfman's island estate .. you'd have seen that Wyo changed QB's very early to true FR Drube and LAUNCHED at this in gm at the same line when Hawaii was up 10-7 .. for those watching the gamecast you might have chickened out after Wyo scored on like the 2nd play with a pick 6 .. That pick 6 killed 3 fun bets for 20-1, 30-1 and even the Hawaii -20.5/U31.5 for 35-1 .. don't worry Bridge Plays, LLP made it all back on the in-gm but man o man we had the right idea there w ton of key WYO guys out on offense and got the QB switch very early .. we'll get em next time ..
OK.STATE, IA.ST TT UNDER & TOTAL ... BOOM BOOM BOOM .. Pokes 3 for 3 on BP's down the stretch we had some fun bet action that once again came ohhh so close .. I wouldn't say Pokes were the BEST team but I will say they woulda won but for some just DASTARDLY mistakes that killed their chances .. shoulda pulled it off if not won us some of the fun bets we had them taking points on .. very wild end to the season because watching these guys they shoulda gone 3-FOR-3 giant upsets but these cowboys shot themselves in the foot like some western comedy every time turning parlay cards into ghost towns .. can laugh now but man o man .. absolute cursed team this year ..
AF / CO.ST .. Expected AF to pull ahead .. did not expect them to be THAT efficient .. expected diff CO.ST QB to be playing but surprised the guy they had was able to do anything .. expected AF to kinda run off w it and Rams very low scoring but total got turned upside down in a hurry with strings of TD's scored ..and yeah .. killed all the fun bets .. and fun ..
TULSA .. Expected a totally dejected UAB team to have to find guys to play this week .. had a player stab a couple guys on the team the other week .. and besides that who the heck would be wanting to hit the road thanksgiving week to try to win their 4th game on a trip to tulsa .. was very very windy and just easy to call it a season .. that did happen .. UAB final availability report had some 38 players listed as OUT .. holy smokes .. welp .. don't count on Tulsa to go for the kill they played like crap from the beginning and looked like the team that didn't want to be there .. really surprised new coach Tre Lamb couldn't get his guys up for this one he's turned around TOTAL CRAP programs in FCS into quick winners and felt like perfect spot to bag a surprise 5th win on a team that was expected to win between 1-2 games this season .. barely a fav vs their FCS opponent .. looked like they turned back into that team after EPIC GUTTY WIN vs Army @ West Point the week before .. too much turkey this week ...
K-STATE .. holy crap .. looked like they were ready to steaaaamroooolll early on .. let the buffs turn this into a total dog fight which they coulda easily lost .. I sent the warning early last week .. Salter's last game .. K-State let him turn a couple big seat of yer pants play into full on drives with penalties and other 'you gotta be kidding' shenanigans .. had to turn it off .. TOTAL PUKE ..
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RECAP
HAWAII .. LEAD PIPE LOCK .. for those of you watching on the MTN WEST App .. the only place to see the game if yer not hangin out at Wolfman's island estate .. you'd have seen that Wyo changed QB's very early to true FR Drube and LAUNCHED at this in gm at the same line when Hawaii was up 10-7 .. for those watching the gamecast you might have chickened out after Wyo scored on like the 2nd play with a pick 6 .. That pick 6 killed 3 fun bets for 20-1, 30-1 and even the Hawaii -20.5/U31.5 for 35-1 .. don't worry Bridge Plays, LLP made it all back on the in-gm but man o man we had the right idea there w ton of key WYO guys out on offense and got the QB switch very early .. we'll get em next time ..
OK.STATE, IA.ST TT UNDER & TOTAL ... BOOM BOOM BOOM .. Pokes 3 for 3 on BP's down the stretch we had some fun bet action that once again came ohhh so close .. I wouldn't say Pokes were the BEST team but I will say they woulda won but for some just DASTARDLY mistakes that killed their chances .. shoulda pulled it off if not won us some of the fun bets we had them taking points on .. very wild end to the season because watching these guys they shoulda gone 3-FOR-3 giant upsets but these cowboys shot themselves in the foot like some western comedy every time turning parlay cards into ghost towns .. can laugh now but man o man .. absolute cursed team this year ..
AF / CO.ST .. Expected AF to pull ahead .. did not expect them to be THAT efficient .. expected diff CO.ST QB to be playing but surprised the guy they had was able to do anything .. expected AF to kinda run off w it and Rams very low scoring but total got turned upside down in a hurry with strings of TD's scored ..and yeah .. killed all the fun bets .. and fun ..
TULSA .. Expected a totally dejected UAB team to have to find guys to play this week .. had a player stab a couple guys on the team the other week .. and besides that who the heck would be wanting to hit the road thanksgiving week to try to win their 4th game on a trip to tulsa .. was very very windy and just easy to call it a season .. that did happen .. UAB final availability report had some 38 players listed as OUT .. holy smokes .. welp .. don't count on Tulsa to go for the kill they played like crap from the beginning and looked like the team that didn't want to be there .. really surprised new coach Tre Lamb couldn't get his guys up for this one he's turned around TOTAL CRAP programs in FCS into quick winners and felt like perfect spot to bag a surprise 5th win on a team that was expected to win between 1-2 games this season .. barely a fav vs their FCS opponent .. looked like they turned back into that team after EPIC GUTTY WIN vs Army @ West Point the week before .. too much turkey this week ...
K-STATE .. holy crap .. looked like they were ready to steaaaamroooolll early on .. let the buffs turn this into a total dog fight which they coulda easily lost .. I sent the warning early last week .. Salter's last game .. K-State let him turn a couple big seat of yer pants play into full on drives with penalties and other 'you gotta be kidding' shenanigans .. had to turn it off .. TOTAL PUKE ..
Seems like the over play of the century DONT IT??!! .. beware .. massive MASSIVE storm front expecting to head into that BAMA area and really covers the entire region from basically thursday to late Saturday .. so all of Friday getting DOUSED HEAVY ..
A little rain or even a bit really dosn't bother me THAT much for teams to find running lanes and gash the middle but this storm looks massive and let's hold off ..
Big picture I kindaaaa like taking the free point and a half with Kennesaw they are a little more dynamic on offense and held Cam Cook to relatively lower yds / att in their last meeting and didn't get daggered with him as a receiver like so many others have .. they did get burned by JVILL with some very efficient and explosive passing which I assume went over the top with Kenny defending this rush attack .. also got burned by the QB on the ground which that guy can do ..
Like that Kenny has already played these guys and in this stadium .. Kenny 4 picks -4 in turnovers in a relativelyclose game .. Jville is not unbeatable but they are an absolute force on the ground .. think of a team like AF when they can just run you to death then pop it over the top .. also got a good FG kicker .. Kenny doesn't .. Kenny really good punt returner .. so some offensive proclivities there too .. also .. JVILLE FR WR Deondre Johnson has come on like an absolute HURRICANE since he started getting targeted the last 5 weeks .. 564 yards 28 yds / reception .. TD in each game over 110 yds 3 times .. some major gem they found down the stretch .. Kennesaw the better D but its not saying tooo much they can put some TFL's on and get sacks .. but .. last game vs JVILL they had basically season lows in those departments .. lotta trying and gave up a ton trying to stop these guys ... but keep in mind .. -4 in turnovers .. but also turnover on downs and held to 3 FG att's .. missed one of em .. 8 drives stifled .. still put drives together to put up 26 points .. but down 32-13 got 2 of those TD's in garbage time ..
SP+ spread has Kenny by 4 or so .. I do kinda understand why JVILL might be laying a point here with home field and a sizable win that went to garbage time earlier .. recall 4 turnovers which is not Kenny's style, but jvill very good snagging turnovers this year .. let's see where this line goes .. I could see Jville maybe get more action and maybe move is see if kenny can catch +3 or so .. think unlikely but let's see ..
I think books seem to be baiting us with this total at 58.5 because this feels like such a sure thing over BOMB .. let's see where that goes .. Im guessing they're taking over money right now and as this .. seemingly sure thing storm .. pans out and folks see it .. expect the line to drop .. storm severity would make a huge diff as I don't shy away from totals .. stadium is turf so won't be a very iffy slip n slide ..
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CUSA NOTES ..
Seems like the over play of the century DONT IT??!! .. beware .. massive MASSIVE storm front expecting to head into that BAMA area and really covers the entire region from basically thursday to late Saturday .. so all of Friday getting DOUSED HEAVY ..
A little rain or even a bit really dosn't bother me THAT much for teams to find running lanes and gash the middle but this storm looks massive and let's hold off ..
Big picture I kindaaaa like taking the free point and a half with Kennesaw they are a little more dynamic on offense and held Cam Cook to relatively lower yds / att in their last meeting and didn't get daggered with him as a receiver like so many others have .. they did get burned by JVILL with some very efficient and explosive passing which I assume went over the top with Kenny defending this rush attack .. also got burned by the QB on the ground which that guy can do ..
Like that Kenny has already played these guys and in this stadium .. Kenny 4 picks -4 in turnovers in a relativelyclose game .. Jville is not unbeatable but they are an absolute force on the ground .. think of a team like AF when they can just run you to death then pop it over the top .. also got a good FG kicker .. Kenny doesn't .. Kenny really good punt returner .. so some offensive proclivities there too .. also .. JVILLE FR WR Deondre Johnson has come on like an absolute HURRICANE since he started getting targeted the last 5 weeks .. 564 yards 28 yds / reception .. TD in each game over 110 yds 3 times .. some major gem they found down the stretch .. Kennesaw the better D but its not saying tooo much they can put some TFL's on and get sacks .. but .. last game vs JVILL they had basically season lows in those departments .. lotta trying and gave up a ton trying to stop these guys ... but keep in mind .. -4 in turnovers .. but also turnover on downs and held to 3 FG att's .. missed one of em .. 8 drives stifled .. still put drives together to put up 26 points .. but down 32-13 got 2 of those TD's in garbage time ..
SP+ spread has Kenny by 4 or so .. I do kinda understand why JVILL might be laying a point here with home field and a sizable win that went to garbage time earlier .. recall 4 turnovers which is not Kenny's style, but jvill very good snagging turnovers this year .. let's see where this line goes .. I could see Jville maybe get more action and maybe move is see if kenny can catch +3 or so .. think unlikely but let's see ..
I think books seem to be baiting us with this total at 58.5 because this feels like such a sure thing over BOMB .. let's see where that goes .. Im guessing they're taking over money right now and as this .. seemingly sure thing storm .. pans out and folks see it .. expect the line to drop .. storm severity would make a huge diff as I don't shy away from totals .. stadium is turf so won't be a very iffy slip n slide ..
PITT OVER 5.5 -150 UAB UNDER 4.5 -130 TULSA OVER 2.5 -180 ARMY UNDER 7.5 -110 AUBURN UNDER 8 -120 SO MISS OVER 4.5 -115 MISSOURI OVER 7.5 +130 NWESTERN OVER 3.5 -140 S.DIEGO ST OVER 4.5 -110 JAMES MAD OVER 7.5 -120 MARSHALL UNDER 5.5 -115 TENNESSEE UNDER 8.5 +100 S.CAROLINA UNDER 7.5 -110 BYU UNDER 8.5 -157 TULANE UNDER 8.5 -110 GEORGIA ST OVER 3.5 -105 KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -120 OHIO STATE UNDER 10.5 -130
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REG SEASON WINS .. 13-5 .. 72.22222% ..
AM I OVER POSTING THIS NOW?.. DEAL W IT ..
WHATS YOUR TOP 5 FAVORITE??!!
PITT OVER 5.5 -150 UAB UNDER 4.5 -130 TULSA OVER 2.5 -180 ARMY UNDER 7.5 -110 AUBURN UNDER 8 -120 SO MISS OVER 4.5 -115 MISSOURI OVER 7.5 +130 NWESTERN OVER 3.5 -140 S.DIEGO ST OVER 4.5 -110 JAMES MAD OVER 7.5 -120 MARSHALL UNDER 5.5 -115 TENNESSEE UNDER 8.5 +100 S.CAROLINA UNDER 7.5 -110 BYU UNDER 8.5 -157 TULANE UNDER 8.5 -110 GEORGIA ST OVER 3.5 -105 KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -120 OHIO STATE UNDER 10.5 -130
Could be some weather wind and rain .. temp mid 40's isin't so bad and don't think it'll totally hamper either team .. could be discounting a GIGANTIC HFA but I think thats why we're getting 3.5 ..
Big picture Boise is just not the same offense without MAD DOG MADDOX in there .. since his injury they've suffered a 30-7 blowout L .. AT HOME .. to Fresno State .. this was the week after FRES got BLANKED 23-ZIP vs SDSU .. can cut him a break for coming in off the bench .. but then 17-7 vs SDSU on the road in a game the AZTECS had Broncos absolutely cornered and in the torture chamber just running the ball on them at will 6 yds / carry .. Cutforth had ~100 yds in each of those games and didn't look much better than his first outting .. Since then we've seen something better vs a totally worthless Colo State team at home .. but very iffffy outting on the road to Utah State .. piled up some yards but 53% shooter on 49 attempts .. Aggies were in a great spot to win that game and I think we got a glimps of where this team really lands right now maybe slight fav vs Aggies but diff team all the way .. Cutforth in 4 games has 3 TD's 2 .. PFF notes 4BTT's to 8 TWP's .. had 4 TWP's vs Utah St .. add on 4 fumbles .. 8 run att's for 10 yds, only used on the short stuff / sneaks just 1 real run on a scramble for 8 yds .. under pressure 25% of the time and his production is terrible with 8 sacks 21% press to sack rate and not impressive from a clean pocket either ..
If we get wind / rain weather this might put more of a damper on the pass game and turn them more or less 1 dimensional .. we saw when UNLV got beat big in boise earlier that Maddox had a great day passing and no doubt stretched this defense out allowing Boise's very very good RB tandem to RIP them thru the lines for like 9 yds / carry .. best day this year .. since then they've struggled without a good pass game .. should be noted Boise's OL has not been very good this year .. esp struggle in pass blocking ..
Injury front I'd say Boise has some key ones albeit not recent .. A'marion far n away their best DB is out .. had their top OL-RT dip out last game w some sorta injury .. not good if he's still out .. The secondary is still stout and they have a dude pass rusher and Boise's D always plays bigger on the blue but .. they are def beatable this year ..
UNLV looks pretty good on the injury front - guys Ques last week mostly played .. their run game RIIIIPED Boise in their last outting and their Pass D is actually not that bad the CB's are solid and they tend to give up 60% ish passing and pretty decent TD/INT ratio .. the D has gotten better down the stretch albeit facing iffier comp .. still I'd say Bosie's offense at this point qualifies as that ..
UNLV's Collandria is a striaght up dude and can carry this team in a tough situation both passing and finding traction on the ground .. Stud RB's J-Thomas was one of the key dudes last year .. J-GLOVE was a dude for years for Utah .. Lee was a dude years ago for PSU .. Colandria was a young DUDE for a couple years at UVA and doubling down this year making this a really strong run game .. 68% passing this year pos rush numbers every game 22-8 ratio .. 550 net yds this year despite 21 sacks 8 rush TD's .. guys a dude .. key edge UNLV ..
"Kicker" might be on special teams were used to Boise leading the nation in this category but no SUPER ACE FG KICKER this year .. struggling with FG's and punt returns .. doing well punting .. UNLV is once again a top ST Unit excelling in FG's, punting and punt returns, efficiency model has em top 10 in each category .. another key edge here ..
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MTN WEST
UNLV +3.5
Could be some weather wind and rain .. temp mid 40's isin't so bad and don't think it'll totally hamper either team .. could be discounting a GIGANTIC HFA but I think thats why we're getting 3.5 ..
Big picture Boise is just not the same offense without MAD DOG MADDOX in there .. since his injury they've suffered a 30-7 blowout L .. AT HOME .. to Fresno State .. this was the week after FRES got BLANKED 23-ZIP vs SDSU .. can cut him a break for coming in off the bench .. but then 17-7 vs SDSU on the road in a game the AZTECS had Broncos absolutely cornered and in the torture chamber just running the ball on them at will 6 yds / carry .. Cutforth had ~100 yds in each of those games and didn't look much better than his first outting .. Since then we've seen something better vs a totally worthless Colo State team at home .. but very iffffy outting on the road to Utah State .. piled up some yards but 53% shooter on 49 attempts .. Aggies were in a great spot to win that game and I think we got a glimps of where this team really lands right now maybe slight fav vs Aggies but diff team all the way .. Cutforth in 4 games has 3 TD's 2 .. PFF notes 4BTT's to 8 TWP's .. had 4 TWP's vs Utah St .. add on 4 fumbles .. 8 run att's for 10 yds, only used on the short stuff / sneaks just 1 real run on a scramble for 8 yds .. under pressure 25% of the time and his production is terrible with 8 sacks 21% press to sack rate and not impressive from a clean pocket either ..
If we get wind / rain weather this might put more of a damper on the pass game and turn them more or less 1 dimensional .. we saw when UNLV got beat big in boise earlier that Maddox had a great day passing and no doubt stretched this defense out allowing Boise's very very good RB tandem to RIP them thru the lines for like 9 yds / carry .. best day this year .. since then they've struggled without a good pass game .. should be noted Boise's OL has not been very good this year .. esp struggle in pass blocking ..
Injury front I'd say Boise has some key ones albeit not recent .. A'marion far n away their best DB is out .. had their top OL-RT dip out last game w some sorta injury .. not good if he's still out .. The secondary is still stout and they have a dude pass rusher and Boise's D always plays bigger on the blue but .. they are def beatable this year ..
UNLV looks pretty good on the injury front - guys Ques last week mostly played .. their run game RIIIIPED Boise in their last outting and their Pass D is actually not that bad the CB's are solid and they tend to give up 60% ish passing and pretty decent TD/INT ratio .. the D has gotten better down the stretch albeit facing iffier comp .. still I'd say Bosie's offense at this point qualifies as that ..
UNLV's Collandria is a striaght up dude and can carry this team in a tough situation both passing and finding traction on the ground .. Stud RB's J-Thomas was one of the key dudes last year .. J-GLOVE was a dude for years for Utah .. Lee was a dude years ago for PSU .. Colandria was a young DUDE for a couple years at UVA and doubling down this year making this a really strong run game .. 68% passing this year pos rush numbers every game 22-8 ratio .. 550 net yds this year despite 21 sacks 8 rush TD's .. guys a dude .. key edge UNLV ..
"Kicker" might be on special teams were used to Boise leading the nation in this category but no SUPER ACE FG KICKER this year .. struggling with FG's and punt returns .. doing well punting .. UNLV is once again a top ST Unit excelling in FG's, punting and punt returns, efficiency model has em top 10 in each category .. another key edge here ..
Peeked at kickers in Indiana game… Indiana kicker has not missed a kick…. Ohio st kicker is not far behind. Both excellent… neither has a 50+ yarder… may need one in this game…. I’m sticking with Indy plus in teaser… the little I have seen of these 2 teams… I don’t see much that separates …. My main issue is can Indiana physically stay with Ohio st… and to me… every indication is that they can…. Im also going with N Texas….they treated me well this year… I got them wrong in the wash st game… as I max wagered wash st… must have been their worst game of year…. And I took S Fla vs N Texas…. So I kinda screwed myself twice…. The Tulane team that played army won’t beat N Texas… but Tulane started good and finished good… small 3 game lull mid season… which can be expected… what’s your take on this game… N Texas impressed me almost every time I saw them…
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Peeked at kickers in Indiana game… Indiana kicker has not missed a kick…. Ohio st kicker is not far behind. Both excellent… neither has a 50+ yarder… may need one in this game…. I’m sticking with Indy plus in teaser… the little I have seen of these 2 teams… I don’t see much that separates …. My main issue is can Indiana physically stay with Ohio st… and to me… every indication is that they can…. Im also going with N Texas….they treated me well this year… I got them wrong in the wash st game… as I max wagered wash st… must have been their worst game of year…. And I took S Fla vs N Texas…. So I kinda screwed myself twice…. The Tulane team that played army won’t beat N Texas… but Tulane started good and finished good… small 3 game lull mid season… which can be expected… what’s your take on this game… N Texas impressed me almost every time I saw them…
Yeah .. and its possible UVA kills themselves and duke gets a biiig lead .. but I don't think they'll be allowed to win if its anything close .. i don't think they'll be subtle about it either ..
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@Mskeets
Yeah .. and its possible UVA kills themselves and duke gets a biiig lead .. but I don't think they'll be allowed to win if its anything close .. i don't think they'll be subtle about it either ..
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