An undefeated FSU would play undefeated Bama for title.

Funny how you presume to know many games Pac teams will lose but say nothing about games ACC teams will lose.  Your reasoning is flawed because the BCS computer rankings analyze the WHOLE body of work of the teams over the entire season and their opponents when making end of season determinations – and half of that body of work hasn’t been completed yet. These factors change week by week depending on who wins and loses and how rankings are affected, and can change very significantly over the next 6 weeks of the season. The math gurus are giving their best guesses at this point, nothing more.

You say UCLA and Stanford will have 3 or 4 losses. Maybe so, but maybe not. You don't know. And for that matter, so could Miami or Clemson, or Florida, whom Florida State must beat and some of whom may not be even ranked when Florida St beats them.

Miami still has to play, in addition to FSU, Virginia Tech and at Pitt.They lose to VaTech and FSU (not unreasonable to presume) they could drop out of top 25 & lose again to Pitt on the road they’re for sure out. This hurts FSU at end of season.

Clemson still has to play in addition FSU, in-state rival So. Carolina which the cocks could very well have another loss or two by the time they play.  If so, and Clemson loses both, FSU’s record isn’t looking so good any more. Clemson has a long and distinguished record of losing games like this that no one thinks they should.

Florida still as to play @ #15 Missouri, @ #16 Georgia, and Florida St., as well as a pretty chippy Vanderbilt team.  They lose even one of those games, they’re likely out of the top 25. If FSU beats a 2 (or 3) loss, unranked Florida team, how does that affect their end of season standing?

Oregon OTOH still plays UCLA & Stanford; again at the end of the season, UCLA could easily be sitting at 10-2 and still ranked (losing for sake of argument to Oregon and Stanford and winning the rest) – likewise Stanford could easily be at 10-2 and still ranked (losing to Oregon and winning the rest) in which case Oregon would play a ranked UCLA squad again for the Pac12 title and, if winning, would have beaten a ranked UCLA team twice, a ranked UW team on the road, and a ranked Stanford team, on the road, in addition to blowing out many teams on their schedule by 4 TDs or more.  FSU on the above scenario end of season would have beaten 3 loss unranked Miami team, a 2 loss lower ranked Clemson team, and an unranked 2 or 3 loss Florida team at end of season. Then what do the computers say? You don’t know any more than the so called BCS math gurus do. Particularly if any of those losses happen to be particularly bad, or any of the wins happen to be by the thinnest of margins, potentially affecting rankings and overall calculated strength of opponents.  

And perhaps you are tempted to argue that the above things aren’t likely to happen. Well none of what I’ve mentioned above is any LESS likely to happen than FSU running the table against Clemson - twice - Miami, and Florida, while assuming those teams don’t lose much or anymore and remain highly ranked through the end of year. THAT is more likely what’s not going to happen.

So what are we left with?  You illuminating the board with your prescient insight into college football by parroting what other BCS math gurus think is going to occur when in reality they don’t know because half the season hasn’t even been played.  Congratulations on being Covers’ top parrot.

The whole FSU program could just ride on the backs of this true freshman phenom Winston who's dialed in focused. The South decides the Presidential elections and the NC in football. An undefeated FSU would pass up a 1 loss Oregon, and maybe undefeated Oregon, to play Alabama. Funny. NOONE is talking up the possibility of LSU beating Bama (exc LSU homies). We all feel its a foregone conclusion. The SEC gets fortunate this time of year.