As far as the schedule goes, lets peek at the conference slate.
@ Hawaii- always a fun trip (should be focused here with FCS Southern prior and a bye week following)
Nevada- decimated in the portal and already a weaker run defense, I doubt we see the solid secondary play we saw last season.
@ Colorado State- surprisingly super soft in the trenches under Norvell, I will have to see the improvement on the field before I buy in
SDSU- dissected weekly with a porous run defense, Sean Lewis likely to turn things around but will come by way of the offense, not defense, first.
@Boise State- Upper echelon team in the league, but this defense left some things to be desired and they will certainly have to re-tool after losing key pieces from LY Team.
Wyoming- Usually fairly solid along the defensive front seven, but had their struggles last year
Utah State- bronco should turn things around here quickly, but defense was putrid here, as was his UNM teams, hard to imagine a hard nosed front 7 in year 1
@ San Jose State- tough team, could be a spot in the MWC championship game on the line here. The defense took a step back last year and the spartan offense will have quite the task on their hands to reload offensively. Navy Ken did a great job in year 1, but still not sure this team will be any good.
lotta upside with Fresno State this year in my opinion. I think the schedule sets up well with winnable games on the road and the Bulldogs avoid UNLV and AF (no time wasted prepping for triple option; can usually affect you the following week as well)
Until the wallet is full.
0
As far as the schedule goes, lets peek at the conference slate.
@ Hawaii- always a fun trip (should be focused here with FCS Southern prior and a bye week following)
Nevada- decimated in the portal and already a weaker run defense, I doubt we see the solid secondary play we saw last season.
@ Colorado State- surprisingly super soft in the trenches under Norvell, I will have to see the improvement on the field before I buy in
SDSU- dissected weekly with a porous run defense, Sean Lewis likely to turn things around but will come by way of the offense, not defense, first.
@Boise State- Upper echelon team in the league, but this defense left some things to be desired and they will certainly have to re-tool after losing key pieces from LY Team.
Wyoming- Usually fairly solid along the defensive front seven, but had their struggles last year
Utah State- bronco should turn things around here quickly, but defense was putrid here, as was his UNM teams, hard to imagine a hard nosed front 7 in year 1
@ San Jose State- tough team, could be a spot in the MWC championship game on the line here. The defense took a step back last year and the spartan offense will have quite the task on their hands to reload offensively. Navy Ken did a great job in year 1, but still not sure this team will be any good.
lotta upside with Fresno State this year in my opinion. I think the schedule sets up well with winnable games on the road and the Bulldogs avoid UNLV and AF (no time wasted prepping for triple option; can usually affect you the following week as well)
Can't wait for all of the CFB futures, thanks for sharing on this forum. New to Covers but look forward to reading your analysis on here as well as twitter. Love the Utah conf future, was able to get some 18/1. Nibbled on some Dampier Heisman as well, see that it's down to 45/1 on FD. Pretty big difference between them and the rest of the market!
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Can't wait for all of the CFB futures, thanks for sharing on this forum. New to Covers but look forward to reading your analysis on here as well as twitter. Love the Utah conf future, was able to get some 18/1. Nibbled on some Dampier Heisman as well, see that it's down to 45/1 on FD. Pretty big difference between them and the rest of the market!
I am betting Middle Tennessee State to win Conference USA at +2500 at Draft Kings. The fair market price at other books is anywhere between 16/1 and 18/1. I actually placed this wager at +3000 today, and the odds have been adjusted accordingly so Ill track and recommend at +2500.
Until the wallet is full.
1
I am betting Middle Tennessee State to win Conference USA at +2500 at Draft Kings. The fair market price at other books is anywhere between 16/1 and 18/1. I actually placed this wager at +3000 today, and the odds have been adjusted accordingly so Ill track and recommend at +2500.
I put in a position today on Nevada UNDER 4.5 regular season wins -155. I bet this at -150 but for tracking and record keeping purposes will use the current available line after my wager has settled. I am not overly fond of what UNR has returning on both sides of the ball. I have major concerns in the secondary, which was a strength for Nevada last year. Very surprising pass defense performances that are unlikely to be replicated. Quarterback is a concern as is Chubba Purdy/AJ Bianco are attempting to replace Brendon Lewis who xfer to memphis.FCS talent inserted in the LT and LG positions are concerning, along with losing most of the meager production generated with the defensive front seven. Very Very little pass rush and havoc generated will lead to plenty of explosives given up in the pass game, I would expect The nevada defense to regress and without having continuity in the skill room, and a subpar quarterback situation, hard for me to get behind this team. I was assuming a RSW of 3.5, 4.0 tops. instead we get a break with 4.5 being released.
I am not sure if they are baking in an FCS win, but they are hosting SAC state, who is loading up their roster with FBS talent and will surely show up in this spot to grab an FBS win for their ascending program. oh yeah, they have to double back for that one after happy valley, C-USA foes MTSU and WKU also do not provide assured wins on the slate, and facing Fresno, Nevada, Boise, and San Jose St (top 4 projected) make this slate even more daunting. I could see this team very likely at 2-7 after a road loss at utah state, and just dont see what they are drawing from when they square off against San Jose St, Wyoming and UNLV late in the year. Projected spreads have UNR a double digit dog in 7, likely favored in 2-3 games. how is this group winning 5 this season. I just dont see it with the slate and what they have to work with
Until the wallet is full.
0
I put in a position today on Nevada UNDER 4.5 regular season wins -155. I bet this at -150 but for tracking and record keeping purposes will use the current available line after my wager has settled. I am not overly fond of what UNR has returning on both sides of the ball. I have major concerns in the secondary, which was a strength for Nevada last year. Very surprising pass defense performances that are unlikely to be replicated. Quarterback is a concern as is Chubba Purdy/AJ Bianco are attempting to replace Brendon Lewis who xfer to memphis.FCS talent inserted in the LT and LG positions are concerning, along with losing most of the meager production generated with the defensive front seven. Very Very little pass rush and havoc generated will lead to plenty of explosives given up in the pass game, I would expect The nevada defense to regress and without having continuity in the skill room, and a subpar quarterback situation, hard for me to get behind this team. I was assuming a RSW of 3.5, 4.0 tops. instead we get a break with 4.5 being released.
I am not sure if they are baking in an FCS win, but they are hosting SAC state, who is loading up their roster with FBS talent and will surely show up in this spot to grab an FBS win for their ascending program. oh yeah, they have to double back for that one after happy valley, C-USA foes MTSU and WKU also do not provide assured wins on the slate, and facing Fresno, Nevada, Boise, and San Jose St (top 4 projected) make this slate even more daunting. I could see this team very likely at 2-7 after a road loss at utah state, and just dont see what they are drawing from when they square off against San Jose St, Wyoming and UNLV late in the year. Projected spreads have UNR a double digit dog in 7, likely favored in 2-3 games. how is this group winning 5 this season. I just dont see it with the slate and what they have to work with
2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 5/23/25 Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Regular Season Wins Card: Nevada under 4.5 -155 Bowling Green under 6.5 -115
i secured a position tonight on bowling green under 6.5 RSW
Until the wallet is full.
0
2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 5/23/25 Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Regular Season Wins Card: Nevada under 4.5 -155 Bowling Green under 6.5 -115
i secured a position tonight on bowling green under 6.5 RSW
Bowling green certainly made a splash hire in Eddie George from the FCS ranks, and this bunch will certainly have their work cut out for them in the early portion of their schedule. Non-con includes Cincy, Lib and Louisville and they open MAC play with Ohio and Toledo. Woah! A 1-5 start is not unrealistic and with a new coach coaching at a new level, he might feel a bit of pressure in the back half of the slate. Could potentially see them rally the troops and scratch across 6-6 but games against CMU, EMU and Buff will be no picnic. I have major concerns with a defense that loses half of their DL, every starter at linebacker and half of the contributors in the secondary. overall returning defensive production is just 30% (bottom 10 FBS) and this team is going to have to find some continuity on defense. really hard to see things coming together in year one here given the talent losses and super rough opening start. How are they going to replace Harold Fannin? just not seeing what they brought in being able to lock in like HF did all season for BG. QB is okay, no wow-factor. Skill guys average.
I wont bore you with the monotony of the position by position. This team struggled badly on 3rd down last year and really struggled in the RZ. could not run the ball for 1st downs when needed, and were just soft late in the MAC season. I think we are getting an extra win based on the two exceptional performances we saw from BG in hostile roadies at Penn State and TAMU, and some excitement around the coaching hire. Based on the talent i see here and the difficulty of the schedule it will be a miracle if this bunch stays engaged the entire season. under
Until the wallet is full.
0
Bowling green certainly made a splash hire in Eddie George from the FCS ranks, and this bunch will certainly have their work cut out for them in the early portion of their schedule. Non-con includes Cincy, Lib and Louisville and they open MAC play with Ohio and Toledo. Woah! A 1-5 start is not unrealistic and with a new coach coaching at a new level, he might feel a bit of pressure in the back half of the slate. Could potentially see them rally the troops and scratch across 6-6 but games against CMU, EMU and Buff will be no picnic. I have major concerns with a defense that loses half of their DL, every starter at linebacker and half of the contributors in the secondary. overall returning defensive production is just 30% (bottom 10 FBS) and this team is going to have to find some continuity on defense. really hard to see things coming together in year one here given the talent losses and super rough opening start. How are they going to replace Harold Fannin? just not seeing what they brought in being able to lock in like HF did all season for BG. QB is okay, no wow-factor. Skill guys average.
I wont bore you with the monotony of the position by position. This team struggled badly on 3rd down last year and really struggled in the RZ. could not run the ball for 1st downs when needed, and were just soft late in the MAC season. I think we are getting an extra win based on the two exceptional performances we saw from BG in hostile roadies at Penn State and TAMU, and some excitement around the coaching hire. Based on the talent i see here and the difficulty of the schedule it will be a miracle if this bunch stays engaged the entire season. under
It was a privilege to have a discussion with Ron Marmalefsky on his podcast, and we discussed the changing landscape of the sport, offseason prep, and regular season wins.
It was a privilege to have a discussion with Ron Marmalefsky on his podcast, and we discussed the changing landscape of the sport, offseason prep, and regular season wins.
Whittingham is one helluva coach…that in itself adds a touch of value. I’m hearing good things out of ASU camp…and I think K state will be also be there at the end. Go Utes!
Duck any thoughts on TCU RSW? Some tests early, but not the highest of difficulty imo.
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@steponaduck
Whittingham is one helluva coach…that in itself adds a touch of value. I’m hearing good things out of ASU camp…and I think K state will be also be there at the end. Go Utes!
Duck any thoughts on TCU RSW? Some tests early, but not the highest of difficulty imo.
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