2025 NCAA FB Futures/RSW Discussion

2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 5/23/25

Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u

Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u

Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u

Virginia to win ACC 200/1  .05u to win 10u

Regular Season Wins Card:

Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)

Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)

South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:

Week 1:

Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)

ECU +14 (CZR)

@steponaduck

 Steady QB play….incoming class was dynamite recruiting. Athletic.  

2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 5/23/25

Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u

Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u

Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u

Virginia to win ACC 200/1  .05u to win 10u

Tulsa to win AAC 300/1  .05u to win 15u

Regular Season Wins Card:

Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)

Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)

South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)

Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:

Week 1:

Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)

ECU +14 (CZR)

2025 NCAA FB Futures Portfolio Updated 5/28/25
Utah to win the B12 +1400 0.5 to win 7.0u
Fresno State to win the MWC +900 .37 to win 3.33u
Middle Tennessee State to win CUSA +2500 .231u to win 6.00u
Virginia to win ACC 200/1 .05u to win 10u
Tulsa to win AAC 300/1 .05u to win 15u
Lotto: JMU +400 + Buffalo +800 + Boise St -125 80/1. .33u to win 26 u


Regular Season Wins Card:
Nevada under 4.5 -155 (DK)
Bowling Green under 6.5 -115 (DK)
South Alabama under 7.5 -145 (CZR)
Florida Atlantic under 4.5 +103 (FD + CZR 50/50)
Hawaii under 6.5 -140 (DK)

NCAA Weekly Wagers:
Week 1:
Utah -1.5 -115 (b365)
ECU +14 (CZR)

Timmy Chang was a heralded football player in his heroic days playing for the Rainbow Warriors but his coaching stint has been accompanied by frustration, lack of execution and underwhelming offenses in seasonal totality. I just cannot explain how a guy who ran the system so effectively couldn’t get Braeden Shager up to speed consistently enough to be effective, consistently needing to be bailed out by the deep ball. The offensive line was such a turd unit last season surrendering 78 TFLs and 43 sacks. Shager was consistently running for his life and countless throw-aways, scrambles, and incomplete passes (57% completions) were the result. 19 TDs is obscenely low here at Hawaii where quarterbacks routinely pass for 30-40 scores, and the run game was so pathetic with all Hawaii players totaling 1 rushing score outside of QB B. Shager's 6. A consistent staple of the run and shoot offense is consistent performance in standard downs and keeping ahead of the chains. Third + 4th down should be a breeze for this pass happy bunch and yet, the bows were in third down a ton and converted at a woeful 37% clip on the season. The defense kept this group in some games this year but as is the case concomitant to high travel, the road performances left a lot to be desired. 2024 saw Hawaii defeat 2 FCS opponents, Nevada, New Mexico, and Fresno state (1 point win, Hawaii was down 20-7 with 4 minutes remaining. miracle win). With two P5 foes on the slate, along with SHSU who defeated Hawaii by 18 last year, and facing 7 of the top 8 in MWC play, I feel the mountain is too big a climb to surpass 6.5 RSW. A fair number is 5.5 as I feel this team will compete hard and fight, claw and scratch their way to a chance at bowl eligibility in the final week, but I cannot see this team ascending to a position where they win 7 games. Terrible in the redzone (24/42), terrible on third down, couldn’t run the ball, couldn’t sustain drives. Too big a hill to climb. Even with penciling them in at home against Stanford (no easy task), this bunch will struggle to make a bowl game and Timmy C might be surfing by thanksgiving. UNDER.