Posted:
#6126
Quote Originally Posted by Bonekrusher:
Why is FIU only -3.5 2H?
Why is FIU only -3.5 2H?
I believe they split the diff from the pregame -10.5 line, since they were down 7 pts.
🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets
Posted:
#6127
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 3 - 1 with CUSA bets last week, so hopefully this continues: BLUE HENS -149 @pinn *BB Mizz/DELA un 54.5 -111 @B365 Nope! Pick 6 in the 1Q and these two bets are heading for LOSSes.... So looking for hedge bets to reduce my losses...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 3 - 1 with CUSA bets last week, so hopefully this continues: BLUE HENS -149 @pinn *BB Mizz/DELA un 54.5 -111 @B365 Nope! Pick 6 in the 1Q and these two bets are heading for LOSSes.... So looking for hedge bets to reduce my losses...
LIVE hedge BET early 2Q, Mizz/DELA over 58.5 -270 @B365
Well that didn't take long....less than 2 mins after the start of the 3Q I won my hedge bet....
Pre-game I had calculated from each team a likely range of 43 - 57 combined game total....and upon reflection, I violated my usual insistence on at least 6.5/7.0 edge on my estimation from the game line.... Estimating 50 pts was only 4.5 pts from the actual odds and I should have passed.
So it cost me the pre-game bet on under... but thankfully I got it back with a hedge bet...
Posted:
#6128
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 3 - 1 with CUSA bets last week, so hopefully this continues:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 3 - 1 with CUSA bets last week, so hopefully this continues:
W BLUE HENS -149 @pinn *BB
L Mizz/DELA un 54.5 -111 @B365
W *LIVE hedge BET early 2Q, Mizz/DELA over 58.5 -270 @B365
2 - 1 Tuesday, hitting my lone *BB on Delaware 
and lead 10-7 at half 
with 30 seconds to go BUT DAD GUM IT get scored on and down 10-14 .... 24 pts at half with 24 seconds to go
Posted:
#6135
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Sam Houston game total UN 47.5 -114 @pinn
Sam Houston game total UN 47.5 -114 @pinn
After analysis of both team's scoring and most particularly AGAINST WHOM THEY DID (off and def) my numbers suggested a median of 40 pts tonight and because that number is AT LEAST 6.5/7.0 pts off the pre-game odds, I bet the UNDER....but I recall musing to myself that while this looked as if a strong case for an "under" - and because the way this whacky game seems to go more often than not - that means I should select OVER . . . .
3 TD's scored in just the recent 5 mins of game clock . . .
Posted:
#6139
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
After analysis of both team's scoring and most particularly AGAINST WHOM THEY DID (off and def) my numbers suggested a median of 40 pts tonight and because that number is AT LEAST 6.5/7.0 pts off the pre-game odds, I bet the UNDER....but I recall musing to myself that while this looked as if a strong case for an "under" - and because the way this whacky game seems to go more often than not - that means I should select OVER . . . .
...and of course, that's exactly what happened for my second bet in a row.
After analysis of both team's scoring and most particularly AGAINST WHOM THEY DID (off and def) my numbers suggested a median of 40 pts tonight and because that number is AT LEAST 6.5/7.0 pts off the pre-game odds, I bet the UNDER....but I recall musing to myself that while this looked as if a strong case for an "under" - and because the way this whacky game seems to go more often than not - that means I should select OVER . . . .
BoL today with your bets, fellas! 
Hot Forum Topics
