Having broken down this game quite a bit last night, this is the only game I will bet on today.
When you evaluate this game, you have to remember that this is a unique situation where these two teams are playing a non-conference game in the middle of their conference season. When you put the strength of conference for the CAA vs the MAAC, I feel as though Siena may be the best team in either league but the CAA has a lot more depth with teams like VCU, ODU, NE. Iona is 2nd in the MAAC but if you really break down their schedule, I'm not sure if they have beaten anyone of note to like them in this game. They lost both games to Siena by DD, lost @ UConn by 19, lost on neutral sites against Fla St. and Baylor. Their best win is @Providence probably since they haven't faced their own conference rivals, Fairfield and St. Peters on the road yet.
Now, switch over to the Tribe and you see a completely different story. Yes, they are only tied for 3rd in the CAA. However, they are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last 4 games, beating the first place NE team @home recently, winning @George Mason, and earlier in the season, they have wins @Maryland and @Wake Forest. Their weakness is against teams with big frontcourt players because their rebounding is terrible (see games against ODU, VCU, UConn, etc.). However, Iona is just as worse as the Tribe so I don't believe Iona can take advantage of the Tribe's weakness.
It should be a close game down the stretch so I will take the points. Usually when I bet a road dog, I'll take them SU because of value on the ML but in this case with the style of play, it may come down to the last possession so the +4 number looks really good.
WMMRY +4
0
Having broken down this game quite a bit last night, this is the only game I will bet on today.
When you evaluate this game, you have to remember that this is a unique situation where these two teams are playing a non-conference game in the middle of their conference season. When you put the strength of conference for the CAA vs the MAAC, I feel as though Siena may be the best team in either league but the CAA has a lot more depth with teams like VCU, ODU, NE. Iona is 2nd in the MAAC but if you really break down their schedule, I'm not sure if they have beaten anyone of note to like them in this game. They lost both games to Siena by DD, lost @ UConn by 19, lost on neutral sites against Fla St. and Baylor. Their best win is @Providence probably since they haven't faced their own conference rivals, Fairfield and St. Peters on the road yet.
Now, switch over to the Tribe and you see a completely different story. Yes, they are only tied for 3rd in the CAA. However, they are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last 4 games, beating the first place NE team @home recently, winning @George Mason, and earlier in the season, they have wins @Maryland and @Wake Forest. Their weakness is against teams with big frontcourt players because their rebounding is terrible (see games against ODU, VCU, UConn, etc.). However, Iona is just as worse as the Tribe so I don't believe Iona can take advantage of the Tribe's weakness.
It should be a close game down the stretch so I will take the points. Usually when I bet a road dog, I'll take them SU because of value on the ML but in this case with the style of play, it may come down to the last possession so the +4 number looks really good.
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