Kine- looks like you got something here. Have you researched this in years past?
Very hard to backtest this system as you don't know what the kenpom rankings were at that point of the season and even finding the spread can be problematic.
Also, I consider this a "modern player adjusted" system, meaning I think it does well "for right now" and my bud Tone did do a bit of backtesting and it was a around .500 2-years back and made a killing 3-years back as far as he could tell.
Anyway, the theory of betting against mediocre to bad teams when they are big favorites really doesn't need to bet tested in my opinion, it makes sense. The reason why it isn't exploited more is that noone likes betting these games and teams, its freaking brutal
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Quote Originally Posted by Rackle15:
Kine- looks like you got something here. Have you researched this in years past?
Very hard to backtest this system as you don't know what the kenpom rankings were at that point of the season and even finding the spread can be problematic.
Also, I consider this a "modern player adjusted" system, meaning I think it does well "for right now" and my bud Tone did do a bit of backtesting and it was a around .500 2-years back and made a killing 3-years back as far as he could tell.
Anyway, the theory of betting against mediocre to bad teams when they are big favorites really doesn't need to bet tested in my opinion, it makes sense. The reason why it isn't exploited more is that noone likes betting these games and teams, its freaking brutal
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