WED NCAA HOOPS 151

well  well 5-5 last night and had 3 losses by a half pt  , im just missing something in the handicapping to lose by a half pt??  baylor fouls down 4 with under 4 sec's why??   just didnt see it...lol  lost over N car after they go crazy 1st half, i just didnt see them only scoring 50 second half pts...lol  over 80.5 TT Purdue , lucky to get ot, but then Purdue had 75 with over 3 mins left  i just didnt see them not scoring till last minute and missing the ft's that they did  , im sure it was right there in front of me  ..lol  

Creighton at Depaul  can this be the year that Depaul beats creighton?? they have lost 23 str to creighton, and have only beaten creighton twice since 2005 but here they are favored at home where they are 7-4 ats after a loss, and 8-5-1 ats at home, 7-3-1 ats as a favorite, 6-3-1 ats as a home favorite, and 11-5 ats on 2-3 days rest  ..creighton 2-8 str up as a dog, and 2-6 str up away, 3-7 ats as a dog, 

Depaul ml  

UAB at TULSA  well Tulsa won the 1st meeting on the road at UAB 99-77 in a blowout, Tulsa is a really good team, and they score a lot of points, Uab also likes to score, i am going to go OVER the total here 159.5  i think Tulsa can get to at least 85+ in this game, Tulsa's last 3 games they are avg 81 pts while giving up 79, at home they are avg 91 pts a game and giving up 75 for a +16 score margin, and Uab last 3 is 74 and 74 and away they avg 79 and 74  , i think this gets to 165+ maybe closer to 170 and i do favor Tulsa here -9.5 Tulsa is 10-1 str up at home and 6-2-1 ats at home, Tulsa is 3-0 OVER after a loss this year, and they are 7-2 Over at home, 11-5 Over on 2-3 days rest   , 7-1 Over last 8 home games, and 5-0 Over last 5 vs a team with a .600 winning percentage 

OVER 159.5 Tulsa  

this Citadel at w.carolina game, i see some people on Citadel here, and i think the points could be alot , but this also falls into one of those games where i think w.car will have extra motivation to win and cover here, they lost by 2 points at the Citadel earlier 79-77, in that game W Car took 10 more shots as they were  29/68 and were 9/30 from 3 and were 10/16 at the ft line  they had fewer to's than the citadel just 8 citadel had 11, they had 12 assist to just 9 for the citadel  Citadel shot 24/58, and were 8/28 from 3 but were 23/28 at the line  so citadel too 12 more ft's and made 13 more and won by 2  , again W Car did everything to win, more shots, better offensive boards, made 1 more 3 pointer  made 5 more shots, but the citadel got to the ft line a lot more and thats what won it for them, if W car plays like they did, and if they can even out the ft's or maybe have the advantage this time they could win and cover this game, like i said these are the types of games when you lose and the coach is going over everything and he points out all the good and bad, that he will point to 1 thing as to why they lost   free throws ...now 7.5 -8 is a lot of points here  ...i maybe like the OVER in this game 

<

@RUM151

 R/151......continue your winning ways buddy....

BOL......indy

The time/effort you put in for writeups to support your plays is appreciated

Austin Peay @ Queens  this one i am going to go OVER the total here, also i do favor Austin peay here getting points, AP is a good team, Queens is not bad but i do not think they are overall as good of a team, they can score and so can austin peay, last 2 meetings the away team has won in this matchup. but i think this will be a higher scoring game where both teams get over 80 pts , last 3 games AP is avg 86 pts a game while giving up 72, and last 3 Queens is avg 86 and 78, away AP is 74 and 74 at home Queens is avg 94 pts a game while giving up 79, now i do not think Queens gets to 94 today, because i think AP can win this game like 88-85 ...last 3 games AP is shooting the 3 at 46% the 2 at 60% eff shooting is 63% over all is 55%  at home Queens is shooting the 3 at 40% the 2 at 64% eff shooting is 62% over all 52% so these 2 will make some shots today queens holds teams to 37% from 3 while AP holds teams to 31% from 3   i really like the over 160 here  but also i do favor AP +2.5 or 3 on the road queens is 7-1 ats last 7 following a str up win, but they are 0-3-1 ats vs a team with a winning % above .600 and 0-3-1 ats vs a winning team 

• Over is 7-0 in Royals last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Hot: Over is 6-1 in Governors last 7 road games.
• Hot: Over is 6-1 in Governors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Hot: Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
• Hot: Over is 5-1 in Governors last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 11-3 in Royals last 14 games following a straight up win.

    Over 160 queens/AP  

2 clicks up Rum…… send it.   Keep on keep n.  On.   

taking Texas AM at home vs Missouri  Texas am has lost 2 in a row but to very good teams, they lost at home to Florida 67-86 and they lost at Bama but did cover losing 97-100 , Missouri is coming off of 2 str wins  at s.carolina 78-59 and won at home over Miss st 84-79, Texas am is 12-2 str up at home, as a favorite 13-3 and as a home favorite 12-1 str up, Missouri is 3-4 str up away, and 3-4 str up as a dog, and 1-2 str up as an away dog....texas am is 8-5 ats at home, and 8-2 ats in conf  , 11-5 Over as a favorite, 9-4 Over as a home favorite, Texas am has won the last 5 vs Missouri  lots of good trends on the OVER here also ....Texas AM is avg 85 pts a game last 3 games while giving up 88, and at home they avg 95.5 pts and give up 75 a +20 score margin ...best thing is they avg 21 assist a game at home and Missouri 13 away...at home Texas am shoots the 3 at 38% the 2 at 58 % over all 49% Missouri away shoots the 3 at 31%  the 2 at 51% and over all at 44%  at home they avg 10 to's while forcing 16.5 and Missouri away is avg 12 to's while forcing just 9 a game  

•  Aggies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Hot: Aggies are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Hot: Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Cold: Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Cold: Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Cold: Tigers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

•  Over is 8-0 in Aggies last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Hot: Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Hot: Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Hot: Over is 10-1 in Aggies last 11 games following a ATS loss.
• Hot: Over is 9-1 in Aggies last 10 games following a straight up loss.
• Hot: Over is 10-2 in Aggies last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Texas AM -5.5  -130

Furman @ Mercer  Mercer -2.5  151.5  ok this should be a good game , the 1st meeting this year was a 2 pt win for furman at home 74-72, now if i am Mercer i have to feel we should have won that game, they did many things right, they were 29/70 41%  7/20 from 3 35% and 7/9 ft's  and Furman was 26/59 44% and 9/23 from 3 39% and were 13/22 ft's so again we have a team who took 11 more shots, only had 7 to's to 11 for furman, but only took 9 ft''s and furman took 22  they took 13 more ft's maaking 6 more and won by 2..... Mercer fell down in the 1st half by 14 pts but ended up down just 36-35 at half time , then fell behind by 9 again in the 2nd half twice and had it tied at 72 with 19 sec's left  and they took a shot missed and had a tip in rebound that just didnt go in to lose by 2   so Mercer was almost always behind, everytime they got down 7-8 pts they came back it happened like 5 times in 2nd half where they were down 7+ but always came back  i think they are going to want this one BigTime Mercer is 11-0 str up at home, 10-2 as a favorite str up...7-1 ats at home, 9-3 ats as a favorite, 10-2 ats on 2-3 days rest, 5-2 ats off a loss, Furman is 5-3 ats away and 1-1 ats as an away dog, now the line is low, so that is a concern, Mercer is 6-2 OVER at home and 6-2 over as a home favorite, they lost the last 2 away so are back home now where they scored 95 pts in their last 2 home games 88 the home game before that and 102, and 109 in the 2 home games before that, Furman away is avg 75 and 75 and Mercer st home is avg 91 pts and 75   , so this will come down to if Furman can keep Mercer under 82-83 pts i think , if Mercer scores like they have been at home they will win and coverthis easily   i have to take Mercer here even though the line seems low  ...Mercer 85-78 

going offshore here  Mercer -2     lean to the over 151.5 

added teaser   Tulsa -4.5/App st +3.5   

Tailing DePaul and Mercer,

great spots for them.

ok USF @ Wichita st  ok this will be a good game, looking back when these 2 played earlier at USF , USF was -7 total was 159  and Wichita st won 86-85 at USF now the was one of the most even games i have looked back on so far this year, i see nothing that was an advantage for either team, both teams took 72 shots which is a lot, the game went to OT wichita was 30/72 42% they were 12/23 from 3 52% and were 14/23 ft's 61%  and USF was 28/72 39% and 12/28 from 3 43% and 17/22 at the line  so both took 72 shots  both made 12 3's and both took 22 and 23 ft;s only thing is that USF made 5 more ft's but 2 fewer shots its why it was a 1 point game , turnovers were 11 and 11   offensive rebounds 16 and 18 steals 7-7  it was a even game 

wichita st jumped out in 1st half to a 30-15 lead then 30-26 with 2 mins left, wichita led at half 37-36......then USF opened the 2nd half on a tare took the lead 51-38 in 1st 3 mins   then it was 55-46 with 13 mins left , then 64-58 with 8 mins left  usf leading ...then 71-67 with 5 mins.....then wichita took the lead 74-73 with 1"40 left then 77-77 end of regulation   wichita took the lead on a turnover by usf made the shot to take a 86-85 lead  usf down 1 missed the shot and fouled with like under 1 second left  they missed the ft's to end game ///last 3 games have all been within 5 pts with wichita winning the last 3 games 

USF is -1  and they are 4-1 str up as an away favorite this year they have been scoring a lot of points they have scored over 80 in 7 of last 8 and the one was 78 pts 80 pts once usually its over 82  last 3 games they avg 89 pts a game  away they avg 87 pt  man i want to take USF here, just by how they have been scoring, this should go over,  fuck it i am taking USF to get revenge in a close one  85-81 USF 

USF ML     lean to the Over 160

i have been on N.Florida 3 times this year and won all 3, once as an out right winning dog, and they can really put up the points when they are on, they are giving up like 92 pts a game this year, last 3 games they are averaging 82 pts and giving up 88, FGCU is avg 77 pts a game and they give up 80, last 3 though they avg 69 and 68, away UNF is avg 75 and 94  and FGCU at home is avg 83 and 80  so i see why this total is 164, last 3 games UNF is shooting the 3 at 42% and away 38%  they shoot the ball as well away as FGCU does at home so i think they will be able to score here and should hang within 6-8 pts  so 12.5 i like a lot here  

UNF +12.5  

I already played the Over in the AP/Queens game  but i am also going to go ahead and Play Austin Peay,  i do think they can win this game tonight, i think over all the better team, they can score well also like queens but theur defense is better and Austin Peay needs this game bigtime as they are in 1st place at 11-1 in conf, right behind them is C.Arkansas at 10-2 and queens is in 3rd at 9-3  so both need this one  now these 2 will not play again but austin peay does play c.arkansas on the 25th  so huge game tonight in the SUN conf  

Austin Peay +3 -120   think they win outright 

PLAYS TONIGHT 

Depaul ml  

Over 159.5 Tulsa 

Over 160 Queens/AP

Texas AM -5.5 

Mercer -2 

USF ML 

U N Fla +12.5 

Austin Peay  +3 

Teaser App st +3.5/Tulsa -4.5 

Teaser Citadel +13.5/Ohio st -2.5 

Lean over 151.5 Mercer  ...Tulsa -9  alabama -6, Toledo -6. ODU+3.5 

gl 151

BOL on your action tonight!  

Thanks Rum

@RUM151

 Was waiting for this pick. Know ypu

like Tex am. Feel like they’re in good spot here gl today

No Boston U rum. Thought you would be on them vs Army today. 

@Hammer102

 not tonight  line looks a bit low  but they should cover   just see others i like more

plays 

Depaul ml  

Over 159.5 Tulsa 

Over 160 Queens/AP

Texas AM -5.5 

Mercer -2 

USF ML 

U N Fla +12.5 

Austin Peay  +3 

Virginia Tech +8.5 

Teaser Marshall +1.5/Texas st +9.5  hate going against Troy but just do not see them covering this 

Teaser App st +3.5/Tulsa -4.5 

Teaser Citadel +13.5/Ohio st -2.5 

Parlay lines moved   Toledo -3.5/Citadel +11.5/Alabama -4.5/Liberty ml  +531  half unit 

gl  151

Lean over 151.5 Mercer  ...Tulsa -9  alabama -6, Toledo -6.

and citadel down 14-2  i followed everyone after doing a write up explaining how W.Car should have won bug 1st meeting and now at home they might just beat up on these guys   and HELLOOOOOOO

this Citadel at w.carolina game, i see some people on Citadel here, and i think the points could be alot , but this also falls into one of those games where i think w.car will have extra motivation to win and cover here, they lost by 2 points at the Citadel earlier 79-77, in that game W Car took 10 more shots as they were  29/68 and were 9/30 from 3 and were 10/16 at the ft line  they had fewer to's than the citadel just 8 citadel had 11, they had 12 assist to just 9 for the citadel  Citadel shot 24/58, and were 8/28 from 3 but were 23/28 at the line  so citadel too 12 more ft's and made 13 more and won by 2  , again W Car did everything to win, more shots, better offensive boards, made 1 more 3 pointer  made 5 more shots, but the citadel got to the ft line a lot more and thats what won it for them, if W car plays like they did, and if they can even out the ft's or maybe have the advantage this time they could win and cover this game, like i said these are the types of games when you lose and the coach is going over everything and he points out all the good and bad, that he will point to 1 thing as to why they lost   free throws ...now 7.5 -8 is a lot of points here  ...i maybe like the OVER in this game 

i am so fucking mad at myself for following on citadel  i was the only one who wrote something against that team, and so far i was dead on 16-2  i hope they cover the 16 for the teaser  but its not looking good  30 pt win maybe 

parlay lines moved Over 159.5 georgia/over 146.5 mercer/over 140.5 n.alabama  +250

well citadel is going to kill my one parlay  so

parlay  toledo ml/Texas am ml/Jax st ml/Tulsa ML/Liberty ml +347

when it was 21-4 i bet w.carolina over 81.5 TT  they got 49 right now  

Under 61.5 citadel i thought looked good too  its still that  w.car is 89.5

Under 61.5 tt citadel. Win 

And called for a 30 pt win when they were -19.5. W .Carolina wins by 38. Could have gotten + money there 

Can't count over 81.5 tt w Carolina.  But thats how you turn a bad play into 3 winners.  21-4. Their tt was 81.5. And citadel tt was 61.5. And it was still 61.5 with 2 mins left in 1st half 

Made more money by being pissed at myself for not following what I wrote..lol