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Vegas vs KenPom Week 13

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Posted: #26
Wednesday Full Games Lines...

NW +8.5 (HDN)  46.8
Ohio -7.5 (HFA)  43.4
S.Car -3.5 (HFT)  42.6
URI +7 (HDT)  32.1
Bradley +2 (HDT)  32.5
N.Ill +8 (HDT)  14.2
NC-Green +4 (HDT)  31.0
Wofford -9 (HFT)  22.8
Montana St +6.5 (HDA)  24.4
IPFW +9 (HDT)  23.4


 
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Posted: #27
WF, W.Ill, and SDST over 65%
 
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Posted: #28
No Wofford.  I should checked bailey's spreadsheet before I pushed submit
 
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Posted: #29
Official Wednesday Plays:

NW +4.5  1H (HDN)  46.8
Ohio -4  1H (HFA)  43.4
S.Car -1.5  1H (HFT)  42.6
URI +3.5 1H (HDT)  32.1
NC-Green +2 1H (HDT)  31.0
IPFW +5 1H (HDT)  23.4
Bradley +1 1H (HDT)  32.5
N.Ill +4.5 1H (HDT)  14.2
Montana St +3.5 1H (HDA)  24.4

 
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Posted: #30
As I've mentioned in previous threads...we may want to be careful of opposite plays of KineProfessor's system...I'm not going to explain it here, but those of you who've been around a few years will know what I'm talking about.

I see opposites with...

Elon +9 vs Wofford 
UMKC +8 vs W Illini

Just saying

MM
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by beaverfan23:

Wednesday Full Games Lines...

NW +8.5 (HDN)  46.8
Ohio -7.5 (HFA)  43.4
S.Car -3.5 (HFT)  42.6
URI +7 (HDT)  32.1
Bradley +2 (HDT)  32.5
N.Ill +8 (HDT)  14.2
NC-Green +4 (HDT)  31.0
Wofford -9 (HFT)  22.8
Montana St +6.5 (HDA)  24.4
IPFW +9 (HDT)  23.4



Isn't NW on the road at Indiana??  Should be RDN
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by Marketmaker:

As I've mentioned in previous threads...we may want to be careful of opposite plays of KineProfessor's system...I'm not going to explain it here, but those of you who've been around a few years will know what I'm talking about.

I see opposites with...

Elon +9 vs Wofford 
UMKC +8 vs W Illini

Just saying

MM             agree completely.....it's an other" filter" that will save us losses and get us down to fewer plays ...KlineProfessor's system has been money, to any one that has followed covers long knows what I mean..  Ryno has had A high % so far with the "pre" system and I believe  it will continue.  So everyone can pick and go with whatever they want but "filtering out Klines picks is the way to go.
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by Marketmaker:

As I've mentioned in previous threads...we may want to be careful of opposite plays of KineProfessor's system...I'm not going to explain it here, but those of you who've been around a few years will know what I'm talking about.

I see opposites with...

Elon +9 vs Wofford 
UMKC +8 vs W Illini

Just saying

MM


Good idea, but nobody in this post is listed in the official plays
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by Marketmaker:

As I've mentioned in previous threads...we may want to be careful of opposite plays of KineProfessor's system...I'm not going to explain it here, but those of you who've been around a few years will know what I'm talking about.

I see opposites with...

Elon +9 vs Wofford 
UMKC +8 vs W Illini

Just saying

MM


Sorry MM, I just realized that you posted this only seconds after I posted the official plays
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Marketmaker:


Isn't NW on the road at Indiana??  Should be RDN


Yep.  Good eye
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by Marketmaker:

As I've mentioned in previous threads...we may want to be careful of opposite plays of KineProfessor's system...I'm not going to explain it here, but those of you who've been around a few years will know what I'm talking about.

I see opposites with...

Elon +9 vs Wofford 
UMKC +8 vs W Illini

Just saying

MM

I agree...Please update daily if possible

 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by Marketmaker:

As I've mentioned in previous threads...we may want to be careful of opposite plays of KineProfessor's system...I'm not going to explain it here, but those of you who've been around a few years will know what I'm talking about.

I see opposites with...

Elon +9 vs Wofford 
UMKC +8 vs W Illini

Just saying

MM

Looks like the 2 would have split 1-1 tonight.

If you count the Sat. plays...that would make the KineP system 2-1 vs Beaver system when they're opposite. 1-0 when they are on the same side i think.  Will have to double check those and see if I missed any last 3 days.

MM
 
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Posted: #38

Thursday Spreadsheet

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AuuN53qKxKMtdGpKaHI3LVJWd3RiTEZ5YmEtYUJLaGc#gid=0

 
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Posted: #39
full game lines...

UL Monroe +13 (RDN)  11.1
FAU -2 (RFA)  34.6
Pitt -3 (HFT)  62.8
San Fran +5 (HDT)  47.0
Santa Clara +14 (HDT)  21.5
W.Car -10 (HFT) 
 
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Posted: #40
Official Thursday Plays:

W.Car -6 1H (HFT)
FAU -1  1H (RFA)  34.6
UL Monroe +8 1H (RDN)  11.1
Pitt -1.5 1H (HFT)  62.8
San Fran +3 1H (HDT)  47.0
Santa Clara +7.5 1H (HDT)  21.5


 
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Posted: #41
Bol tonight Beaver.
 
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Posted: #42
 
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Posted: #43

Don't know if anyone has looked at tomorrows games but I see a lot of Large differences in the Bracket Buster games.I may side with KP in the BB games.Couple of examples:

Wichita St KP -6  Vegas -2.5

Coastal Car KP -6 Vegas -1.5

Stony Brook  KP -1 Vegas +3.5

VMI KP-6 Vegas -1.5

Just a thought he may have better numbers for these unusual matchups.Any thoughts?

 
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Posted: #44
Beaver - are you able to share the last week of spreadsheets? i want to run a couple scenarios through the KP numbers. If easier, feel free to send me a PM.

Thanks in advance.
 
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Posted: #45
no play for today?
 
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Posted: #46
not that I seen.
 
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Posted: #47
Nice information for bracket buster keep up the great work it is appreciated
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by bailey314:

Don't know if anyone has looked at tomorrows games but I see a lot of Large differences in the Bracket Buster games.I may side with KP in the BB games.Couple of examples:

Wichita St KP -6  Vegas -2.5

Coastal Car KP -6 Vegas -1.5

Stony Brook  KP -1 Vegas +3.5

VMI KP-6 Vegas -1.5

Just a thought he may have better numbers for these unusual matchups.Any thoughts?



KP has been better for the last week or so.  There is a possibility that this system loses its value around the start of february because that is about the time that KP's ratings are most accurate.  Just a theory.

I will still post the official plays, but PROCEED WITH CAUTION
 
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Posted: #49
12PM
Davidson +3 (HDT)  65.0
1PM
Tenn Tech +4.5 (RDT)  31.1
Liberty +2 (RDT)  28.7
W&M +4 (RDT)  27.3
UNLV +5 (RDT)  61.3
Tenn +4 (RDT)  46.3
S.Car -2 (HFT)  46.7
OK +8.5 (RDT)  39.0

more to come in the morning...
 
 
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Posted: #50
Beaver / et al. -
Do you have any idea how many games KP uses in his stats or when he switches over to just using the current year?

Thanks
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