Thursday "Presystem" Plays

Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:



Those numbers are never truly accurate - I put no stock in them whatsoever

Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

The system is very simple and most can easily figure out what the system's plays are (and that is fine, I'm very proud of that fact). 

The beauty in the system last year was that despite its success, most bettors still couldn't bring themselves to bet on these terrible teams, looks like that might change, but it still doesn't change the fact that the opening line still gives the home team too much credit. 

I don't mind at all if the system catches on as I am working under the assumption that its we are all in this together and that our goal to beat the books, my only problem would be that if some tout was taking people's money to send them what we are enjoying for free - that is pretty weak.

Most people's attitude is to worry and/or the "woe is me" attitude.  Don't let that be you, doesn't matter at all what the consensus are (except maybe costing us .5 or 1pt of better underdog value).  The system isn't based on line movements and consensus and such so unless we push/lose a ton of games by the hook or 1-pt - it really shouldn't effect us that much at all.

Lastly, we are all hoping that the system is very profitable for games/weeks/years to come, but we know that they system will run its course at some point, the main thing is that we learn to adjust the way we bet to be better gamblers in the future.  I think most would agree that they are now looking at games that never really considered before and even more they are betting on sides that they wouldn't have bet on before (and are winning).  These are things that we can build on (said in Herm Edwards voice). 

Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:

KP,those touts that are not very good will search sites like this and see who is hot and steal plays all the time,gamehunter,kindergartender to name a couple have had this happen to them.So you post a 100% record and Im not surprised someone has taken them as their plays,but once a few lose,and we know some will,they wont trust the system and move on.
The only real move like was mention was S.Ala,other than the 1/2 point by Geo Sou.,and that could be that they are playing a bit better than when the year started,so I took them at 9.

Quote Originally Posted by YACKER:

You have any thoughts about the Portland St/Sacramento St game? Portland St isn't very good on the road at 1-3 in the Big Sky. They have road games left at N Colorado, N Arizona, and Weber St (all like losses) and this is by far their most winnable road game left.

Sacramento St has 2 wins in conference and only 3 over Division I teams. They were pounded in 2 games at home by N Arizona and Montana but those are two of the best 3 teams in the Big Sky. In their last 3 home games they played N Colorado, the second best team in the Big Sky, to a five point game and a cover. They beat Eastern Wash and Idaho St SU and ATS. They have now covered 4 in a row.

Do they gain more confidence from the end of their last game against tonight's opponent? Portland St has failed to cover their last 4 games. In the first meeting they had an 18 point half time lead and as high as 25 in the second half before the furious comeback at the end. In that game Port St made 12 three point shots compared to 5 by Sacramento St.

Portalnd St isn't a good team but neither is Sacramento St. Portland St lost the big lead because they don't have that foot on your throat attitude that good teams have. I would be very nervous about playing Portland St here. They were outrebounded by 10, which is something that is likely to continue tonight. One thing that probably won't happen again is that Portland St will outscore Sac St by 21 beyond the arc.

I think the way the game ended and the fact they are at home in a quick turnaround revenge game gives a slight edge here to Sacramento St.

Quote Originally Posted by 2211nfl:

Please do not stop posting the [plays--I work two jobs and do not have the time available to do research---and appreciate the work you do--and your knowledge---and expertise---please keep posting

 

thanks for your consideration

Quote Originally Posted by kkpicks:

Kine,

Just got in from work and was scanning the thread. I dont know if you remember, but i asked you about this very thing a few days ago (the issue with the line movement). It seems to me to be a very simple system to follow. I am a newbie and can easily figure out the plays with the instructions that you provided. I think that you - or anyone else should NOT post these plays. We can take solace in the fact that we all know what is going on. It will be kind of fun to discuss how we are all doing with the system without ever going into any details and the particular plays. Just my opinion. Anyway, thanks a million for the system and for all of the write-ups and responses to everyones questions.

THANKS AND GOOD LUCK

Quote Originally Posted by kj103:

What is the best way to look over the card and determine which teams are outside the top 180 and then make sure they aren't in one of the "no play" conferences?

Quote Originally Posted by KBrick84:



Agree on a few of your points, however Portland St LOVES to shoot the 3-ball so it's not out of the question that they kill Sac St from behind the arc again. 

Quote Originally Posted by the_DG:

mr proffessor...i have been following you for a while...i nailed a few of your total alerts last season..

i love your insight and generosity..this system has forced me to come out of the shadows and post my thanks..

im on 2 of the three system plays tonight..lets do this