::: Thursday NCABB - FINAL WINNING PLAYS :::

After posting my early leans I am back to post my final plays for the day. Good luck to everyone!

UConn vs Purdue

UConn is on positive ATS runs of 5-0 after a SU win of more than 20 points, 5-1 on neutral courts, 4-1 as a neutral-site chalk and 5-2 outside the Big East.

UConn -7.5  (4 units)

Pitt vs Xavier
The Panthers are on a point spread skid of 1-5 in the Tournament, 1-4-1 as a neutral-floor faves and 1-4 as a Tourney favorite. The numbers don't lie...Pitt has struggled all Tourney and will show again they aren't that a number one seed.

Xavier +7.5  (2 units)

Villanova vs Duke

Duke has not fared well when playing schools from the Big East going 2-8-1 against the spread in their last 11. While Nova on the other hand is coming into their own. The Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 starts against winning teams and are on further ATS runs of 8-3 after a point spread win and 5-2 against the ACC.

Nova +2  (2 units)

Memphis vs Missouri

Memphis is not usually a single-digit favorite, but they have covered their last 2 when in that position and I expect them to cover here as well. Memphis is on several ATS hot streaks, including 15-5 overall, 6-1 outside Conference USA, 12-3 against winning teams and 4-1 against the Big 12.

The other difference between these two teams is that ability to knock down the three point shots, and that's where the Memphis Tigers have the decided advantage over Missouri.

Memphis -5.5  (3 units)