well coming off a strong 9-2 night and 1 loss was the bradley play where i said i could have went either way been waiting all morning for Covers to come online
well looking at the FIU/LIBERTY game this Liberty team is something else, every year they put together a very good team, these 2 played back on Dec 28th and it went to overtime at FIU and liberty won 97-94 but FIU was playing much better then also, now we have Liberty as a 11.5 pt favorite at home, personall i think that is alot, but Liberty is doing what Liberty usually does this time of year, they are winning...they have won like 16 straight , last game they lost was a beatdown they took at the hands of NC st 85-45 something Liberty rarely does is lose bu 40 pts i think that was their turning point, because they have not lost since, but these teams can also play at a faster tempo , Liberty is a team that can win scoring 55 a game or 90 a game, its what makes them so good ....in this game i am going to go OVER 150.5 , last meeting they scored 162 befre OT ..away FIU is avg 76 pts a game but they are giving up 85 a game on the road, and Liberty at home is avg 80 a game and they give up 67 , i am thinking FIU should be able to score about 73+ in this game, and i am thinking Liberty will get 84+ just based on what FIU is giving up last time they played they each made the same amount of shots 35 and 36 but Liberty made 15/40 from 3 and FIU only had 6/17 i think this gets to about 159-162 area
Over 150.5 Liberty
also i am going to go OVER 162 in the N.Fla/Austin peay game these 2 teams can both score points, now AP has a better defense for sure but UNF just seems to get theirs too, also i have been doing very well on my team total plays but only thing with those is, so many games come down to within a basket of the total last night was 5-2 and damn Wofford needed over 83.5 they got 82 , and Tulsa needed 81.5 they got 79 so it shows how close it is, usually missed ft's somewhere, and 3 pointer that went in and out is always the diff...lol but AP their team total is 87.5 and they will most likely get to 90 i think, last 3 games they are avg 92 a game, and UNF at home is avg 84 a game but they are giving up 89 so their TT of over 87.5 has a shot , but i feel better just playing the over here, this will be a faster paced game, and if UNF can get anywhere near 75 this is going OVER and i think they do , wjen these 2 played at AP AP won 102-83 in that game austin peay took 18 more shots than UNF 76-58 , they both made the same amount of 3's free throws were close no huge advantage, but shows that UNF can score, i mean they scored 83 on 58 shots anyway i expect this to get to about 171+ and it may go up i dont know AP is -11.5 in this one, seems a bit high but could be manageable , with UNF being able to score and they are 5-3 ats at home and 15-9 ats as a dog, and both are 9-5 ats in their conf , so again feel better going OVER here
OVER 162 Austin Peay/UNF
gl 151
YTD 423-333
Bacardi151.
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