THIS THREAD SHOWS VALUES 17-2 in 2 wks

There was nothing rude about your post, no offense taken.

It sounds like you are on to a solid method considering your results, personally I would love to hear the logic behind your calculations.  I've found that by sharing your methods you can often improve them with intelligent feedback.  I have read through a lot of different styles over the years, I am curious to know where yours fits in.

Feel free to PM me if you are interested in discussing.  Or feel free to ignore it.  Best of luck either way.

Good info, but I don't see a connection with what I'm doing.  Unless it's that the only scenario I will not play is a road favorite.  Yes, what I am doing is very situational.  Last nite there were 8 home dogs and I had a small play on 1.  Big play was away dog.  I will be playing home favs too.  As far as playing every game, I wouldn't do or recommend.  If I did, and this deal is working, I would be over 50%.  This would mostly be due to winning a higher % on higher values and like you say, coin toss the rest.  This is why I am still grading everything to try and find the best cutoff for value needed vs profit.  Would you rather go 50-30 or 9-1.  Some argue either way.  I want both!  Thanks for input. GL

Haven't heard any shit, so guess I'm the only dumbass putting money down the tubes.  Thankful for that, sorry to all my local buds that went down with me.  Nothin like a 3 day win streak to build you up, one night to crash back down.  Putting the whole thing back to nearly a watch instead of bet.  Not to mention how much I'm already down. Bigs now 8-11  Smalls 2-4  WOW

Not much tonite, tight card.  1 small play on

LOY MARYMOUNT +11.5 or more

GOOD LUCK 2NITE

Runnin late so here goes...

BIG PLAYS=1U

TEX TECH +6.5

COLORADO +21

RUTGERS +6

WYOMING +15

SIU EDWARDSVILLE +20.5

DEPAUL +11

Small plays=.5U

OKLA ST -2

CHAR+4

BOWL GRN-1.5

VANDY-1

PEPPERDINE+16.5

GL

Sat recap:

Bigs 4-2 with 2-0 on guarantees(separate thread)

12-13 overall

Smalls 2-3    5-7 overall

Sunday plays:

BIG ON  PITT +3(small if less)

SMALL CINCI-2  

Almost fit on Va Tech, needs to hit +14 for big play.  Still gonna play for small but not a release.  Play at your own risk and GL2U!

Well I got 3 out of Pitt and played as a BIG, but looks like 2.5 was high point here.  I will leave as a small for record purpose, so.....

BIGS 12-13   SMALLS 6-8

Unless we have some 2pt line moves, only one play for Monday....

Feel like the well has got to go dry, but gotta go with value.  This line is off by 8 pts, so take

OKLAHOMA +22 BIG PLAY   BOL

Adding BIG play on....

ALCORN ST +14.5

GL2U

Hate to even bring it up, but on a nice 11-6 run since that 3-7 start.  BIGS finally hit above .500 since posting.  With 14-13 record, still out some juice.  Headed the right direction now.  Smalls still down, 6-8.  About to break out I hope.  Still gathering new angles every week, and have seen  on a couple that are nasTy.  Yeah thats with a T! Don't know who's paying attention, but check my away dogs, especially the lesser bet schools.  Pretty nice record.  I have been adding extra last few myself, but do what you want.

Possibles tomorrow:

PROV +8 (small unless makes 9)

TEX TCH +5 (small if<6)

COL ST +8.5 (small if <8.5)

N Iowa -10 or less (new added angle) small

More info tomorrow

Lockin in on:

PROV +8.5 Small now, will double up if goes to 9

COLO ST +8 Small til +8.5

TEX TCH +6 (MINIMUM 4 BIG PLAY)BIGGIE SIZE ME

N IOWA -10 Gonna label this as lean, meaning I'm playing small, but tread at your own risk. Don't know an exact back record for this new angle, just know it's 6-3 last 7 days.  I'll run angle a couple days and either scrap or add to smal plays.

I just played at these #'s...

500 PROV +9

500 Tex tch +6

250 N Iowa -9.5

250 Colo St +7.5

BIGS 14-14

smalls 7-9  Lightin it up boys!!!

Didn't have time to post yesterday, but it was more of same.  2-1 on big plays 1-5 on smalls.  Luckily I have been adding more units to the stronger angles.  I play more like 1U,2U, 4U on real strong stuff.  These have been all that's kept me up. (Plays like the 2 guaranteed wins the other day)  Anyway found a new angle using my #'s that predicts value dogs (VD).  I played it real small yesterday (100ea) and of course it went 5-7.  It was ok with me because I had already figured a letdown was coming.  Back tested 20 days results:

Feb 4th  4-4

5th  1-3

6th  13-7

7th  2-0

8th  3-1

9th  2-2

10th 7-4

11th 3-4

12th  1-1

13th  10-11

14th  2-2

15th  1-1

16th  4-2

17th  9-5

18th 8-3

19th 0-1

20th  23-15

21st  2-0

22nd  3-0

23rd 2-0

Figured it was due a dog day, trending past.  Also upping my units tonite on VD's.   More to come with VD and superplay tonite.

Thurs nite- smalls on....

New Orl+12

Tenn Mart+18.5

Indiana +12.5

Boise +9

Hawaii+13

UCDavis+1

BIG PLAY is.........

S CARO +16

And the GIANT, POD, (that's play of decade)(however, win or lose, I will have another POD saturday 4U), LOCK, GUARANTEED to win, BET YOUR HOUSE ON IT, STRONGEST game EVER,.....or what I am calling a SUPER is.....................drum roll....................................

TULSA +18.5  damn what an ugly color..why is baby-shit yellow even an option.  Bet you were thinking Tulsa the whole time, weren't ya? GL2all

Thurs nite VD's(valu dogs for those not paying attention)

There is a lot of these damn things at times, so I will use covers closing line for grading purposes.

Georgia, Charleston, Tenn Mart, S Caro, Ariz, SF, Pepperd, and Santa Claus.  Man these colors mess with my eyes.  Any questions just give me a call.