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The Falcon's Model

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Posts: 691
 
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Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 11052
Posted: #476
 
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Posts: 630
Posted: #477
Falcons Model
22-12 (+$4375)
64.71% Winners

CBB 14-7
NHL 6-4
NFL 2-0
NBA 0-1

Pending
Duquesne Under 136
550 to win 500

Adding Saturday night

Manhatten Over 140
Texas SA Under 153
Oral Roberts Over 153
Stanford Under 145

550 to win 500 on each

Falcon 
 
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Posts: 2656
Posted: #478
Nice job on the Wisc-GBay UNDER

Could only check the score once and it was 15-8 with 15:42 left in the first half.....was on track for 188 points according to my Score Tracker.

Missed the Dukies game......may try to catch a good half-time line.

BOL!!!!!
 
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Posts: 437
Posted: #479
Falcon, you mentioned before that you are a straight numbers and calculations guy. That you don't know the games or player. Have you even looked into live-betting games that you pick? I've taken games you pick, do some research on them myself, and if my research agrees with your I will grab better lines sometime with a live-bet. Like the Duquesne game, I agree with you so I grabbed it at Under 145.5 when it came up. I'm guessing both teams went on a run scoring quite a few points, don't know don't care, I believe the under 136 you posted is correct. If it looks like it's not going to go under I can always hedge part of my live-bets. Just wondered if that is something you've tried since you can sometimes get better numbers if a team goes on a run early and take advantage of it. Yes I know you can lose a lot of money, but if you believe in the data and hedge a bit, you can minimize lose and maximize profit at times. I'm sure there will be negativity thrown at me for this, but I'm curious on opinions on this idea. By the way, great job and keep up the good work!
I'll have a Puppers!
 
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Posted: #480
Thanks Boozer and no I don't do that but good luck to you... 

I'm heading out tonight but I've got 5 plays pending, which is a lot for me.. all plays are at least 8pts off, according to what I do...

Back tomorrow, good luck guys

Falcon
 
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Posts: 392
Posted: #481
another winner 
 
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Posted: #482
I can't believe Duquesne Under 136 actually hit. Amazing.
 
Captain
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Posts: 9040
Posted: #483
The Falcon is soaring. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #484

Im with you on all 4 tonight! GL

 
Prospect
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Posted: #485

AND THANKS FOR THE TWO EARLIER!

 
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Posted: #486
BOL with quad plays this evening!
 
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Posted: #487
Also tailing Falcon. Appreciate your work man 
 
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Posted: #488
Congrats on the Duquesne game! 
I'll have a Puppers!
 
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Posted: #489
 
Prospect
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Posted: #490

Goodluck! ! ! !

 
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Posts: 69
Posted: #491
Manh over is dead
 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2017
Posts: 63
Posted: #492

Quote Originally Posted by ForgotOtherName:

Manh over is dead


Just saw the post, grabbed it at o128 live-bet. Even at 128, it still has a lot of work to do. BOL to both of us.

Thank You Lawton for all you do.

 
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Posts: 9040
Posted: #493
He comes and does it on every story halfway thru the game. Don't mind him, gets destroyed constantly so he complains about others picks.  
 
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Posts: 69
Posted: #494
Need a 85 point 2nd half...sound familiar? lol
 
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Posted: #495
CBB 15-7 (68.18%) Winners.  What's your record?


Falcon
 
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Posted: #496
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

CBB 15-7 (68.18%) Winners.  What's your record?


Falcon


Post ur record when u have at min. 50 picks, kiddo
 
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Posted: #497
Kiddo, son I've been in the biz since 1986, I've forgotten more than u know, as they say...

Falcon
 
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Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 717
Posted: #498
Falcon-
All your picks are appreciated.  You keep track of of your W/L.  We can't ask for more than that..

Thank you again for being brave and posting your system picks.  
 
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Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 69
Posted: #499
lmao @ "ty for being brave" oh lord
 
 
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Posts: 69
Posted: #500
Another 20 point loss.
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