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The Falcon's Model

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Prospect
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Posted: #451
Good luck and continue success!
Thank you for sharing.
 
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Posted: #452
2-0 on Unders thus far.

During the course of a cbb season there are about 3 times that adjustments need to be made to the model... I can clearly tell it.. This is done when the books start to adjust their number. 

Good luck today guys and for the remainder of 2017.. 

Falcon
 
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Posted: #453
Wisconsin green bay? Is now at 164.
 
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Posted: #454
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Falcon's Model
21-12 (+$3875)

Dec 30

Wisconsin GB Under 160.5
$550 to win $500


CBB 13-7 (65%) I'll take that any day..

NHL 6-4
NFL 2-0
NBA 0-1

Falcon

Just a clarification that you probably meant Under 165.

PM for the skinny on the down low
 
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Posted: #455
The books are now over inflating the numbers, adjustment number 1. I bet this one too early.. If your going to play an Under, wait as long as possible.

Lots of Unders should cash today... 

Falcon
 
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Posted: #456
BOL Falcon!
 
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Posted: #457
Under 169 even. Not too sure I’ve seen a 9 point move like this in a longtime. Somebody knows something is my guess. 

 
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Posted: #458
i got 160 and a half. i'm already sick.
 
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Posted: #459

i actually crunched some numbers and the total number is 157.5 

I am not the Falcon but i took the under as well

Best of luck 

 
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Posted: #460
Green Bay is on track to score 120 points based on 15 points in less than 5 minutes.

This game will need a 5-6 minute scoreless stretch.....doubt that happens.

BOL!
 
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Posted: #461
Lawton1, Can you please tell me which bookie do you use so i can also bet there ....
 
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Posted: #462

 

Falcon you're overthinking now. Bookies didn't adjust or inflate anything bro. All of these lines have been straight kenpom. Literally, I have a site that simulates the exact spread and number. Just off right now. I believe if you put your skills with people that know the teams then the killing will continue. Otherwise, it's just grabbing straws. Like the utah game you bet the other night. No way in hell were they ever going to go over 204, just being honest bro. Keep up the good fight, sit back and think it out to break your slump.

 
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Posted: #463

Quote Originally Posted by In2it:

Green Bay is on track to score 120 points based on 15 points in less than 5 minutes.This game will need a 5-6 minute scoreless stretch.....doubt that happens.BOL!

 

on track doesnt always translate game is looking much better now

 
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Posted: #464
He's fading himself now.
 
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Posted: #465
 
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Posted: #466
Easy winner 

Trust in The Falcon 
 
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Posted: #467
thank you falcon.
 
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Posted: #468

Never a doubt in the Green Bay game!

 
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Posted: #469
 
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Posted: #470

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

The books are now over inflating the numbers, adjustment number 1. I bet this one too early.. If your0 going to play an Under, wait as long as possible.Lots of Unders should cash today... Falcon

Your doing great work for us, you got anything else today?

 

 
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Posted: #471
Falcon's  Model
22-12 (+$4375)
64.71% Winners

Saturday Dec 30

Duquesne Under 136
$550 to win $500


CBB 14-7


This one goes in about 50 min. Follow The Falcon


Falcon
 
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Posted: #472
Some of the comments are crazy above but they are amusing..

I'll just flat out tell you... I believe what I have in regards to CBB totals is the Best out there,  simple as that.. 

CBB 14-7 start....

The Falcons best to each of you... 


Falcon
 
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Posted: #473
BOL!!
 
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Posted: #474
I'm not sure if I've ever been on the KenPom website but I've heard of it...

What I do is very different than u have seen... Until the books adjust again, we will have more Unders than Overs.. 

Someone said., fading myself, how about u fade me. U would be hitting 33% right now, probably better than u could pick them..


Falcon
 
 
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Posted: #475
Falcon 
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