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The Falcon's Model

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Captain
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Posted: #526
Titans over!!

Is Islanders over your official play?

BOL!!
 
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Posted: #527
No, guy just asked opinion on Islanders.

I've got one play, so far..
Titans Over 41.5

I will release a cbb total soon.. 

Sadly I may not have many more nhl totals, nothing has shown up lately.. 

Right now I'm working to revamp my nhl program for sides.. A few years ago, I had something really good in the nhl. Back soon.. 

Falcon
 
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Posted: #528
Sounds good!
Happy New Year Falcon!!
 
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Posted: #529

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

No, guy just asked opinion on Islanders.I've got one play, so far..Titans Over 41.5I will release a cbb total soon.. Sadly I may not have many more nhl totals, nothing has shown up lately.. Right now I'm working to revamp my nhl program for sides.. A few years ago, I had something really good in the nhl. Back soon.. Falcon

NHL totals tough this season...lotta goals...Vegas (the industry, not the team) has moved many games to U/O 6...that's a lotta scoring.

Happy New Year's!

 
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Posted: #530

Thanks for all you do Falcon

 
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Posted: #531

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Top NFL total for Dec 31Titans Over 41.5$550 to win $500I'll add the Top CBB total for Dec 31 soon.. Falcon

 

Thanks Falcon and GL.  Line down to 40.5 so paid the extra to get 40. 

 
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Posted: #532
Falcon's Model
25-14 (+$4775)
64.10% Winners

CBB 17-9
NFL 2-0
NHL 6-4
NBA 0-1

Pending

Tennessee Over 41.5
550 to win 500

Adding

Appalachian St Under 156.5
550 to win 500

Guys, I've spent the last several hours dusting off the old nhl program for sides, using a strength rating to generate the strongest play. The posted line is very much factored into the equation... I call this the SRS system for nhl sides.. 

Today's play

Adding

Winnipeg +150
500 to win 750

Good luck today guys


Falcon
 
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Posted: #533
Let's get 'em!!!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #534

Good Luck on the NHL play. Lots of injuries with WPG.


 
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Posted: #535
The SRS nhl program for sides,  generates a line.. Here is what was produced for today.

Vegas - 150
Anaheim - 190
TB - 130
Winn - 120
Pitt - 130
Isles - 110
Dal - 130
Chi - 110

Those were my lines, as generated by the SRS numbers.. 

Falcon
 
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Posted: #536
I’m a fan, not a hater. My wish to you was genuine. You put lots of time into your work and I hope you really do win. 

Quick question tho- does you model make an exception for injury or is it a pure statistic equation.

 
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Posted: #537
JB, I have not used this yet... In seasons past it has done well. The SRS system does not take injuries into account but they are reflected in a books line... So in that sense they are factored in... Not sure if this will even remain as part of what I'm doing... Its a lot of work for me, so not sure I'm putting in the time for it... 

CBB totals are the Top priority for me. I know what I have there... 

My passion is in research and development, so I'm always working.. 

Falcon

 
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Posted: #538

Been in this forum a long time and have watched a lot skilled people come and go. Appreciate all of your hard work and sharing with the forum. Mad respect??

 
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Posted: #539

Whoops.....meant “!!” instead of “??”

Happy New Year and BOL. 

 
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Posted: #540

Well done Lawton. Keep up the good work.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #541
I have a model I've used for years also    Pretty good at predicting the line much less successful at spotting the predicting a gap in the line you can identify

One question   

Assuming you use a historical database of some data how far back do you go historically ?

If you don't want to talk about your model, no problem I understand  

Thanks for sharing your picks either way
 
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Posted: #542
THIS IS GOING TO BE ONE OF THE SICKETS FUCKKKKKING OVER UNDER BEATS EVER THIS MFER IS GONNA GO OVER
 
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Posted: #543
WHAT A BUNCH OF NIGGGGGER MFERS
 
Prospect
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Posted: #544

1/2 a point on app state. wow

 
Prospect
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Posted: #545
Had App State at 156 what a brutal push 30pts in the final 2 minutes 
 
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Posted: #546
Wont happen rest of the year darn these ni good niggggggers
 
Captain
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Posted: #547
Bought half to 157 under....Phew.....
Nice win Falcon!!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #548
Had the same but I teased it also and bet the over in the second half  
Don't usually do that but Falcon's numbers often end up close and the strategy has worked several times   
 
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Posted: #549
I've never been so happy to have bought the half pt to get it at 156.5. That was the craziest damn ending
 
 
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Posted: #550
Half pt winner. Geesh is anything easy..

CBB totals 18-9
6-1 when playing Unders

Seven iron, what sport u talking about?


Falcon
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