ok cool I just thought you meant overall... I like CAL tonight, but it looks like the line has gone up to 5.5 and it seems that a couple of players have the flu... you still like this play??
Do you guys know a good website where you can view ATS standing, streaks, Last 10, etc.?
Also, the premise here is that Oddsmankers ultimately want the ATS to be .500, break even, right? Makes sense, Can't this theory also be aplied to O/U? And is there any other statistics/qualifiers that could assist a handicapper in regards to the ATS streak snapper? Stats such as Home/Away ATS, Mid majors v. Bigs, etc?
rfan,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
In reviewing their stats ATS they don't show streaks as we need them as although a good site anyway
Example,,,,Richmond is shown as 3-1 ATS which is OK but we do not know when the 1 came into the # was it the first or some where in between,,,,,,,,,,,their streaks at last column is all games
They also include games not wagerable
if you go to covers Richmond is #112 ATS with a 3-0 record
08-09....ACC,B-12,BIG EAST,B-10,P-10 AND SEC...........
AFTER TEAM LOST 4 GAMES ATS IT WENT 24 AND 27 WITH A WIN RATE AT 47%
AFTER TEAM LOST 5 GAMES ATS IT WENT 19 AND 6 WITH A WIN RATE AT 76%
AFTER TEAM LOST 6 GAMES ATS IT WENT 2 AND 4 WITH A WIN RATE AT 33%
AFTER TEAM WON 4 GAMES ATS IT WENT 32 AND 26 WITH A WIN RATE AT 55%
AFTER TEAM WON 5 GAMES ATS IT WENT 14 AND 13 WITH A WIN RATE AT 51%
AFTER TEAM WON 6 GAMES ATS IT WENT 4 AND 8 WITH A WIN RATE AT 33%
NOW THATS WHAT I MEAN MY NUMBERS AND YOUR NUMBERS ARE WAY OFF.....MAYBE I'M NOT FOLLOWING YOUR FORMULA BUT I'M PRETTY SURE I AM....ITS NOT TO HARD TO DO.....JUST TAKES TIME.....
AFTER TEAM WON 4 GAMES ATS IT WENT 32 AND 26 WITH A WIN RATE AT 55%
AFTER TEAM WON 5 GAMES ATS IT WENT 14 AND 13 WITH A WIN RATE AT 51%
AFTER TEAM WON 6 GAMES ATS IT WENT 4 AND 8 WITH A WIN RATE AT 33%
I am not trying to be anything but inquisitive.
What do you mean by "IT WENT 32 AND 26" Do you mean the team that won 4 straight LOST 32 out of 58 times?
What I posted was that there were 43 total win streaks of 4 OR MORE. 26 of them ENDED and 17 went longer - yielding 24-17
At 5, I counted 17 total streaks, only 3 of which continued past 5, thus a yield of 14-3.
From your numbers, it seems like you are saying that there were 13 streaks of 6 games or longer and I only have 3 - YIKES.
If we are both right since we did it slightly differently - it makes me just more convinced to NOT play in Feb or March as it seems less predictive.
Established in 1995,
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,our guideline,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
at BYU on 12/5
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