SHIRLEY'S LINES FOR THURSDAY GAMES FOR ALL TO SEE

Over 7 years, but I only post here on occassion wken time permits. I post all of my plays on another private website daily.

I hope it continues today, but remember, 3 point dogs OK if you must wager, 3 point favorites not OK . The underdog -favorite bias is a real phenomenon.

Wait for the line moves, they will come.

I'm almost ready for bed

BOL

Shirley

I didn't put a line up for games where there was NL yet, and I will check everything later, posting final numbers if there are changes, time permitting.

Remember, bet ANY underdog if the line is 4 points from my own. This is a good wager, becasue of the underdog-favorite bias that exists in coll BB games.

Additionally, play any favorite if the line is 4 points from my posted line. The edge is not as good as a dog with a 4 point difference, but it's still a winner. The higher the discrepency, the larger  the theoretical edge.

A 4 point underdog play is about the equivalent of a 5.2 point favorite play. This explains the underdog favorite bias, somewhat in laymans terms.

If you must wager on 3 point differences, at least play the dogs, as this over time should provide you with a small positive expectation event.

I put an asterisk next to games where there is already a play. You have to be alert as other games become plays as the lines move into the 4 points differences range.

Fortunately, for me, I have a person that is an expert in wagering, that plays games in LV and with a number of online books, constantly searching for the best lines for our games. This saves me a lot of time for other things in my life.  I could never approach his wagering expertise, but everyone should be able to get an edge wih my posted plays over time.

Like I said yesterday if  I go 10-0 (and I did) or 0-10, it will not influence my handicapping for tomorrows games.

I welcome all comments, and suggestions, and I eagerly await your scrutinizing and tearing apart of my lines.

BOL

Shirley