NCAAB TUES

Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:




Why would you lay -120???  There are way better lines out there

If I knew 100% the line was going up this would not be the case now would it?

Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:




That's not what I meant.. What i meant was at a 10 Unit Wager -120 doesn't make sense... BUT BOL hope you win

Why doesnt it? It would not make sense if the line jumped to 170. Right now I have maximum value on the play as it is just about 168.5 everywhere. If it closed above my number this yes its a terrible play to buy the hook but right now no its not.

Just going quickly over the card for WED here is what I am looking at...

USF

NC ST

ILL ST

UNI

Girl Next Door Quote!!!!!!!  Love that quote.........

FRC

BOL UNC your a great capper keep it up.. I like the one play a day.. Any thought of UK 1st half -6??

Thanks for the info and I appreciate it. So would you say around 4 points or greater to find a middle bet?

2 comments:

1) GL UNC... love your plays and thanks for the info.

2) who the FUCK even uses the word "peckerhead" anymore... I mean, c'mon y'all... if you're gonna verbally spar, you can do much better than peckerhead.. that's hilarious!

UNC, I like your under Play on Cuse vs. Providence.   Providence will be confused by the zone tonight.  Cuse will dictate this game.

Providence has talented players/scorers with some size, no question but as a team they are undisciplined.   Providence will go on a stretch of NO scoring for 5-6 possesions maybe more and then go on a scoring spurt. 

Providence has a out of control style that Cuse/Boehiem will exploit.  The Friars will jacks the ball up without looking for a better shot.  Defensively Providence reminds me of the Flint Tropic's from Semi Pro!

gl & thx unc and to all the other contributors. some great writings.

i'm not playing much o/u so I'm not sure if i follow tonight.

but still thinking about msu +2

PROV/CUSE U 169 -120 (10U)

Im not really a big fan of totals as most of you know but I have some strong trends on this one that make this really easy for me to bet.

As for totals being this high it comes down to one team not showing up offensively. A couple 2 min droughts here and there then this type of number is extremely hard to hit. There will probably be a ton of possessions in this one and teams getting to the line but these 2 teams are shit from the stripe. PROV is not a great team either FG% wise not to mention only one team has put 80+ up on CUSE this season. So it appears Boehiem has the boys playing really well inside and outside defensively.

There has been 6 games this season that PROV has been involved in where they have hit 168+ the very next game has not even sniffed this number. Being 6-0 for the under. CIN game makes number 7 does the trend follow? What I mean by that is basing it off if the next game was lined at 168.

In the last 11 meetings it has gone over this number once and both teams made like 24 threes and shot like 60% from the field. I will take my chances everyday of the week that these teams cant do it again.

Totals in the 160's this season are 12-5 favoring the under.

If the oddsmakers move the line up I may only add more...