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    All Forums | College Basketball

    NCAAB line move system

    «First Previous 171819 ... 232425 Next Last»
    Yungstar
    Barnstorm
    TDHCentral
    jw11
    kkataenko_OLD_18063
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    Yungstar
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 8:50 PM ET #401

    Shit, OT lol
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    Shit, OT lol
     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 8:51 PM ET #402

    And Iowa is up 16-2 on Sparty!
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    And Iowa is up 16-2 on Sparty!
     
    TDHCentral
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 8:54 PM ET #403

    anything fit for the 8:00 games?
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    anything fit for the 8:00 games?
     
    Yungstar
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 9:06 PM ET #404

    NCW covers 
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    NCW covers 
     
    Yungstar
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 9:12 PM ET #405

    wait wtf, espn updated their score now and they lost by 5???
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    wait wtf, espn updated their score now and they lost by 5???
     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 9:38 PM ET #406

    just got back inside the house from shoveling my Blizzard....please don't tell me NCW made a huge comeback, and then lost by 5 in OT.

     

    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

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    just got back inside the house from shoveling my Blizzard....please don't tell me NCW made a huge comeback, and then lost by 5 in OT.

     

    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 9:41 PM ET #407

    Are you kidding me?! I didn't see the end. Did they take away a late basket? Or was it just a bad print?

    That's the second time that happened to me in a few days. I lost that Drake ML when they took away a winning 3 by Drake vs Illinois State.

    Tough loss guys.

    It was the NCW coach who had them hold the ball when they had the lead and then they got bad shots. Better to keep working the offense. I've coached, but I hate coaches who try to control the game so much. And I hate when they have them wait so late that they get a bad shot.
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    Are you kidding me?! I didn't see the end. Did they take away a late basket? Or was it just a bad print?

    That's the second time that happened to me in a few days. I lost that Drake ML when they took away a winning 3 by Drake vs Illinois State.

    Tough loss guys.

    It was the NCW coach who had them hold the ball when they had the lead and then they got bad shots. Better to keep working the offense. I've coached, but I hate coaches who try to control the game so much. And I hate when they have them wait so late that they get a bad shot.
     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 9:43 PM ET #408

    damn....yup...it looks like that's what happened....our firtst loss because of OT tho....so that's pretty good.

    .....wow......mich st down 20 at the Half.

    .....IOWA 1stH a winner then...at least we won't get whitewashed tonight.

    jw11

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    damn....yup...it looks like that's what happened....our firtst loss because of OT tho....so that's pretty good.

    .....wow......mich st down 20 at the Half.

    .....IOWA 1stH a winner then...at least we won't get whitewashed tonight.

    jw11

     
    kkataenko_OLD_18063
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 9:48 PM ET #409

    any systems based on line jumps,, ive noticed a few games were for instance a o/u opens at 125 and then it will be at 129 the rest of the time..

    i noticed over bets take it down a majority of the time
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    any systems based on line jumps,, ive noticed a few games were for instance a o/u opens at 125 and then it will be at 129 the rest of the time..

    i noticed over bets take it down a majority of the time
     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 9:53 PM ET #410

    A side move of 1.5 on -6.5 or less is more significant than a totals move of 1.5 points. Now if a total moved 4 points or more, then you've got something. Not sure what the % is. Would be interesting to see.

    When I ran the NBA numbers, I also started to look at the totals. Didn't see a trend. If anything, I think it was telling you to go WITH the line move on the totals.
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    A side move of 1.5 on -6.5 or less is more significant than a totals move of 1.5 points. Now if a total moved 4 points or more, then you've got something. Not sure what the % is. Would be interesting to see.

    When I ran the NBA numbers, I also started to look at the totals. Didn't see a trend. If anything, I think it was telling you to go WITH the line move on the totals.
     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 9:58 PM ET #411

    Quote Originally Posted by Yungstar:

    wait wtf, espn updated their score now and they lost by 5???

    Did they actually take a basket away or was it a wrong score? Not that I need to be more pissed off. I did take some off when the other player was reported sick, but now I'M sick!
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yungstar:

    wait wtf, espn updated their score now and they lost by 5???

    Did they actually take a basket away or was it a wrong score? Not that I need to be more pissed off. I did take some off when the other player was reported sick, but now I'M sick!
     
    Yungstar
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:12 PM ET #412

    Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:


    Did they actually take a basket away or was it a wrong score? Not that I need to be more pissed off. I did take some off when the other player was reported sick, but now I'M sick!

    I'm not sure as I was following ESPN gamecast. I saw a final score of 61-58. I didn't see my account balance go up so i went back to check the score and it had updated to 63-58.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:


    Did they actually take a basket away or was it a wrong score? Not that I need to be more pissed off. I did take some off when the other player was reported sick, but now I'M sick!

    I'm not sure as I was following ESPN gamecast. I saw a final score of 61-58. I didn't see my account balance go up so i went back to check the score and it had updated to 63-58.

     
    owhat12
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:15 PM ET #413

    what website do you use to get the opening lines. Covers opening lines don't match the ones that i see here
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    what website do you use to get the opening lines. Covers opening lines don't match the ones that i see here
     
    Barnstorm
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:18 PM ET #414

    www.scoresandodds.com


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    www.scoresandodds.com


     
    TDHCentral
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:38 PM ET #415

    Iowa!

    Thanks jw!
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    Iowa!

    Thanks jw!
     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:39 PM ET #416

    Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:

    A side move of 1.5 on -6.5 or less is more significant than a totals move of 1.5 points. Now if a total moved 4 points or more, then you've got something. Not sure what the % is. Would be interesting to see.

    About 4 years ago I decided to blindly follow the #'s on NCAAB Totals. In other words, if the total opened at 130 and went to 134....I would follow, and bet OVER.

    Got absolutely killed.

    But...that was 4 years ago, and it didn't last more than 10 days. I remember on a Saturday I there was 15+ plays and I lost 80% of them. Still remember how upset I was....LoL.

    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

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    Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:

    A side move of 1.5 on -6.5 or less is more significant than a totals move of 1.5 points. Now if a total moved 4 points or more, then you've got something. Not sure what the % is. Would be interesting to see.

    About 4 years ago I decided to blindly follow the #'s on NCAAB Totals. In other words, if the total opened at 130 and went to 134....I would follow, and bet OVER.

    Got absolutely killed.

    But...that was 4 years ago, and it didn't last more than 10 days. I remember on a Saturday I there was 15+ plays and I lost 80% of them. Still remember how upset I was....LoL.

    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:44 PM ET #417

    IOWA wins big VS MichSt.

    ML/1H/FG all win....

    ....but  NCW lost across the board.

    Bottom line.

    We split the plays.

    See ya tomorrow.

    Have a good night.

    jw11.

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    IOWA wins big VS MichSt.

    ML/1H/FG all win....

    ....but  NCW lost across the board.

    Bottom line.

    We split the plays.

    See ya tomorrow.

    Have a good night.

    jw11.

     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:52 PM ET #418

    System record updated....Full Games...18-11

    ***15 of the 18 wins have an underdog winning outright.

    *** 1stH plays would be 21-8

    ******SUMMARY of games as of 02-02-11*******

    17 wins............

    TENN +5...................won the game outright

    ILLINI-3.5..................won by 10

    ARK LR +3.5..............won the game outright

    ST PETE pick............won

    ST BON +4................won the game outright

    FURMAN +6...............won the game outright

    RIDER +1.5................won the game outright

    RICHM +3..................won the game outright

    W.CAROLINA +3.5.....won the game outright by 24

    SAMFORD +2.5......,...won the game outright

    SAN FRAN +5.5..........won the game outright

    WRIGHT ST +4...........won the game outright

    LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright by 1 in OT

    NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright by 19

    SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright by 7

    CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt, but W ats

    UL LAFAYETTE +4.......won the game outright by 6

    IOWA +5......................won game outright by 18 (won 1H)

    10 losses...................

    ELON +7.....................lost by 8

    FORDH +6...................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)

    LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2 

    BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2

    E.CAR. +3...................lost by 8

    S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9

    CHARLESTON -2........lost by 11

    ARK LIL ROCK -3.......lost by 11

    SAN FRAN +1.5..........lost by 6

    N.COLORADO +3.5.....lost by 11 (won 1stH)

    NC Wilma +4..............OT game (lost by 5)

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    System record updated....Full Games...18-11

    ***15 of the 18 wins have an underdog winning outright.

    *** 1stH plays would be 21-8

    ******SUMMARY of games as of 02-02-11*******

    17 wins............

    TENN +5...................won the game outright

    ILLINI-3.5..................won by 10

    ARK LR +3.5..............won the game outright

    ST PETE pick............won

    ST BON +4................won the game outright

    FURMAN +6...............won the game outright

    RIDER +1.5................won the game outright

    RICHM +3..................won the game outright

    W.CAROLINA +3.5.....won the game outright by 24

    SAMFORD +2.5......,...won the game outright

    SAN FRAN +5.5..........won the game outright

    WRIGHT ST +4...........won the game outright

    LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright by 1 in OT

    NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright by 19

    SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright by 7

    CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt, but W ats

    UL LAFAYETTE +4.......won the game outright by 6

    IOWA +5......................won game outright by 18 (won 1H)

    10 losses...................

    ELON +7.....................lost by 8

    FORDH +6...................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)

    LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2 

    BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2

    E.CAR. +3...................lost by 8

    S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9

    CHARLESTON -2........lost by 11

    ARK LIL ROCK -3.......lost by 11

    SAN FRAN +1.5..........lost by 6

    N.COLORADO +3.5.....lost by 11 (won 1stH)

    NC Wilma +4..............OT game (lost by 5)

     
    jw11
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2011 - 10:55 PM ET #419

    CORRECTED VERSION

    System record updated....Full Games...18-11

    ***15 of the 18 wins have an underdog winning outright.

    *** 1stH plays would be 21-8

    ******SUMMARY of games as of 02-02-11*******

    18 wins............

    TENN +5...................won the game outright

    ILLINI-3.5..................won by 10

    ARK LR +3.5..............won the game outright

    ST PETE pick............won

    ST BON +4................won the game outright

    FURMAN +6...............won the game outright

    RIDER +1.5................won the game outright

    RICHM +3..................won the game outright

    W.CAROLINA +3.5.....won the game outright by 24

    SAMFORD +2.5......,...won the game outright

    SAN FRAN +5.5..........won the game outright

    WRIGHT ST +4...........won the game outright

    LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright by 1 in OT

    NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright by 19

    SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright by 7

    CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt, but W ats

    UL LAFAYETTE +4.......won the game outright by 6

    IOWA +5......................won game outright by 18 (won 1H)

    11 losses...................

    ELON +7.....................lost by 8

    FORDH +6...................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)

    LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2 

    BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2

    E.CAR. +3...................lost by 8

    S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9

    CHARLESTON -2........lost by 11

    ARK LIL ROCK -3.......lost by 11

    SAN FRAN +1.5..........lost by 6

    N.COLORADO +3.5.....lost by 11 (won 1stH)

    NC Wilma +4..............OT game (lost by 5)

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    CORRECTED VERSION

    System record updated....Full Games...18-11

    ***15 of the 18 wins have an underdog winning outright.

    *** 1stH plays would be 21-8

    ******SUMMARY of games as of 02-02-11*******

    18 wins............

    TENN +5...................won the game outright

    ILLINI-3.5..................won by 10

    ARK LR +3.5..............won the game outright

    ST PETE pick............won

    ST BON +4................won the game outright

    FURMAN +6...............won the game outright

    RIDER +1.5................won the game outright

    RICHM +3..................won the game outright

    W.CAROLINA +3.5.....won the game outright by 24

    SAMFORD +2.5......,...won the game outright

    SAN FRAN +5.5..........won the game outright

    WRIGHT ST +4...........won the game outright

    LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright by 1 in OT

    NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright by 19

    SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright by 7

    CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt, but W ats

    UL LAFAYETTE +4.......won the game outright by 6

    IOWA +5......................won game outright by 18 (won 1H)

    11 losses...................

    ELON +7.....................lost by 8

    FORDH +6...................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)

    LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2 

    BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2

    E.CAR. +3...................lost by 8

    S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9

    CHARLESTON -2........lost by 11

    ARK LIL ROCK -3.......lost by 11

    SAN FRAN +1.5..........lost by 6

    N.COLORADO +3.5.....lost by 11 (won 1stH)

    NC Wilma +4..............OT game (lost by 5)

     
    Ag87
    Ag87
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 11:19 AM ET #420

    No chatter this morning? Surely we can win some cash today with jw.
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    No chatter this morning? Surely we can win some cash today with jw.
     
    the-profit
    the-profit
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 11:46 AM ET #421

    Cal-Irvine a play @+1.5
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    Cal-Irvine a play @+1.5
     
    VietPride01
    VietPride01
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    Posts: 1347
    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 12:33 PM ET #422

    what would you play if the total line moves from 132.5 down to 129..
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    what would you play if the total line moves from 132.5 down to 129..
     
    Barnstorm
    Barnstorm
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    Posts: 4719
    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 12:40 PM ET #423

    Cal Irvine a play? Up to +1.5 from PK.

    Couple others have moved 1 point so far.
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    Cal Irvine a play? Up to +1.5 from PK.

    Couple others have moved 1 point so far.
     
    BETTINHARDD
    BETTINHARDD
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 1:04 PM ET #424

    gonzaga is also a play so far +3 to +4.5
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    gonzaga is also a play so far +3 to +4.5
     
     
    BETTINHARDD
    BETTINHARDD
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    Posted: Feb. 3, 2011 - 1:05 PM ET #425

    i mean portland lol +3 to +4.5
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    i mean portland lol +3 to +4.5
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