NCAAB line move system

Didn't lose a ton but really thought they would play better.When they were playing good i assume they had a good defense and could rebound better???let me know a little about your team...any info helps man..thanks a bunch.Air force +4 is my play so far 2nite.Looking at couple more also.

j marshall start ur on thread so we can followur plays  thanks  

yeah on scoresandodds purdue has went from +4 to +5.5.. im gonna try first half this time if this stays this way

anthonyshere-

Every year since Turgeon has been there, they have had a period (typically at the front end of conference play) where they have struggled.  The good thing is every year they have gotten better as the year progresses.  The problem right now is that they don't have a lot of shooters so if they go up against a team that can rebound, they struggle as a lot of their game is predicated on getting to the offensive glass and defensive glass.

With that said, I suspect A&M will be a good play this weekend against Baylor.  Baylor doesn't have a strong rebounding team and is prone to making fundamental mistakes.  This plays right into A&M's hands.

Hope this helps Anthony.

I am going to continue to spread my split my plays into three.

ML (money line).......but only 20%

1H (1st Half)............about 35 %

FG (full game)..........about 45%

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

..over the past two weeks the system won all three bets in several individual games.

....But, for sure , 1H has been solid.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

As far as the money line goes.....let's call +150 our average M/L takeback....of the 27 games we have seen in the system , 13 have been ML winners.

13 wins

14 losses

If you get an average of +150 return on the 13 wins...that is a 1950 takeback

and a loss of 1400 (no juice).

...so you would be up....but how long will we win nearly 50% on th M/L ???

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

....so if we figure the "breakeven point" when betting the ML....

In the next 10 games played.... if you win ....

4 on th ML....thats a +600 takeback

6 losses...... .-600

...so we have to hit 40% to break even

Do-able....but not really something I will depend on ...you have to hit OVER 40% to make a profit.

Maybe if we get on a good roll , and the system becomes dependable,I'll toss a couple more  in the M/L...

Any other opinions on this ???

jw11

sounds like a plan JW. I took Purdue earlier +5.5.

damnit went back to +5

ok my 3 picks for tonight   like kanas vs texas tec  too goo under the spread 155   like  wich by 3.5 over inst       new mexico by 4.5          and  my long shot okla  over balyor

May not be at at 1st post guys...Major storm brewing here...CALL IT IF YA SEE IT

thanks......

jw11

 

Tonight i dont see something about the system for the time right ?

Iowa St. and Purdue are almost plays.

JW I live in KC and we are in the middle of this monster storm! Hope you have your snow shovel ready because you are about to get a ton of snow! Its a major blizzard here as we speak!

Vandy also almost a play

iowa st is over 6

iowa st is over 6

jmarshall- you already gave me three picks for tonite. What happened to Wake , Wisconsin and Okalhoma? I already put a bunch of money down on those from your thread.

OH wait, I see them now on your thread> I hadn't been there yet. I'll load up on these too.

System plays are for lines that open at 6.5 or lower. Trying to understand your post(it is over 6)

I know this game didn't qualify as a system play, but yesterday Georgia Southern opened at 9 moved to 10.5 and Georgia Southern coverd easily.

No plays tonight. A few games have moved 1 point, but none 1.5. Or they've come back.

yes JohnnyO...it's started now...really windy and swirling...looks cool, but it aint.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

No plays yet....a cou[ple on the cusp of changing...I personally hope Wiscy don't tick up another 1/2....cuz i hate betting VS them at home...but I will if the system tells me to.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

keep your eyes open right now for changes.

 

Purdue +5.5 is a play only at a few books

Well no plays for the 7 o'clock starts.... hopefully we'll have something later.  Will not force anything, that's for sure.

Had O-125.5 Purdue/Wisky and Purdue +5.I rather lose by 20 then that crap.Unreal.It's been like this all day 4 me.It's very fitting to my day.I can't buy a win right now man.Well GL 2 U ALL!!!!!!

Okay, for those of you wondering whether this would work for the NBA, I ran this season's games.