Posted:
#2276
i have this theory but its hard to put into words, so im just gonna throw it out there and tell me what u think. stevo u have said before that the oddsmakers try to balance out the streak levels. for example they have the nba pretty solid with most streaks have a 50/50 win loss for most streaks whereas in the ncaa and nhl there are imbalanaces and u track the records until the imbalance is above 60% and then u strike. but i think u have also said that in the past 4 years u show records and compare to this year and show how the oddsmakers get better as the seasons progress. i haven't followed u until this year so im not as experienced with this as u but is it possible that theres a point where u peak, as the oddsmakers begin to balance things out. small example. 0-8 were 0-2 and now they are 1-2 and mmaybe by seasons end will be 3-3 as not many teams get to that streak level. larger example u have another streaks that's 10-2 i think and now 10-3 and by seasons end may be 10-10 and as right now ur percentage is high to play one side each week it might lose until ur percentage dips below 60% and then eventually is actually 50/50 or something close to that. the problem would be knowing when that steak has peaked. but i wonder if u went back in ur records u might find that from say dec 1st til late jan its safe to throw 10units on a steak that grows from 3-0 to 4-1 to 7-2 ect, but after feb its begins to make its way in the opposite direction in an effort to balance out. u track ur records from season start to season end but have u ever tracked from start to feb and then from feb til end and found they are mirror images of each other? im just thowing it out there, i been thinking. i don't have time to do the hard work u do and i appre ur work and i believe in it and im just trying to solve all our problems by thinking and thowing ideas and thoughts out there.
ECU/UCF 
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