Posted:
#276
man thanks for all this hard work. I got lucky and got 16.5 for the south dakota game :) keep it up!
Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014
Posted:
#277
Here's one for you ,but just at level 3 win streak and that record is pretty even with a 32-31 cover record and due to record we ignore
Wisconsin who was just on a 3-0 win streak could not cover their last start and now is 0-1
they are playing Wisc Milwaukee today who are on a 3-0 win streak,so do they cover or fail as Wisc just did
Its a non play for me but will be interesting to see the final result
Posted:
#281
There are only 2 streak plays today as best i can see
Penn St at 6-0 with a 6-0 streak record to STOP at 3-1,not bad odds
Our favorite level 0-4 has one offering today with record to STOP at 15-9
0-4 North Dakota on road getting 3 plays Bowl Green with great odds at 0-4 streak record to cover at 15-9
Posted:
#282
plz note these records are actually records of how well the odds makers do covering games and their attempts at balancing out plays with large win and loss streaks to assist reduced casinos losses and their own jobs and reps
Most joe public and students will continue to wager on teams that keep winning and also increase their wager as the larger the win or loss streak the more confident they think it will continue and the more they start wagering Higher and then that is when the odds makers lower the boom on them
As I continue to say no streak can last forever and the higher it get the more FRAGILE it becomes. Oregon backers will find out this weekend at 7-0 win streak
Posted:
#283
FYI
Last year of the 16 teams that had a 7-0 win streak and higher 8 Teams of the 16 teams at 7-0 could not go any higher and at 8-0 five more stopped (13) .That left just 3 teams at 9-0 and of those at 9-0 one stopped.Leaving just 2 teams at 10-0 and 11-0 win streak for 2012/13 season and yes they both stopped too prior to seasons end.St Louis had the longest W streak at 11-0
So as the teams get to 7-0 and 8-0 this year be prepared to wager large for them to stop and not COVER as just as last year at 13-4 to stop is damnnn good odds
Posted:
#284
Regarding Losing streaks they proved to be a much larger challenge to odds makers as some of these teams were PATHETIC and could not ever win regardless of how LARGE the point spreads were.
At 0-7 (6) and higher (6) last year the loss streaks were 12 and as noted 6 finally covered and stopped their loss streak at 0-7 the other 6 went higher to 0-8 and 3 finally covered and the other 3 went to 0-9 of which 2 finally covered and the final one stopped at 0-10 IUPUI on 12/23/12
Posted:
#287
12/11 Results Not a good day for odds makers as both teams we were against WON
Penn St won by 2 points so 6-0 streak record to stop goes to 3-2
0-4 N Dakota lost badly and 0-4 streak record took a hit as Odds Makers needed to give them many more points to balance out that play losing by 10 and just allowing 3
_____________________________
There are only 2 streak plays today as best i can see
Penn St at 6-0 with a 6-0 streak record to STOP at 3-1,not bad odds
Our favorite level 0-4 has one offering today with record to STOP at 15-9
0-4 North Dakota on road getting 3 plays Bowl Green with great odds at 0-4 streak record to cover at 15-9
_____________________________________________
Needless to say the odds makers need to correct their judgement on these two teams next start,esp on N Dakota as Penn St was only able to cover by 2 points so they were pretty close
In Reviewing today's plays there is nothing so we have a day off to recover and await tomorrow when we have
ALR at 0-5
Colorado at 4-0
Can't wait till Saturday when all hell will break loose with plenty to play and decipher
Posted:
#288
Guys as you can see we are just now getting started for this season 2013/2014 as we are starting to see the Streak levels we have been awaiting to wager on LARGE and win some good $$$$$$$
Page 282 sums it all up
Most Joe public and students will continue to wager on teams that keep winning and also increase their wagers as the larger the win or loss streak the more confident they think it will continue and the more they start wagering Higher then that is when the odds makers lower the boom on them
As I continue to say no streak can last forever and the higher it gets the more FRAGILE it becomes.Oregon backers will find out this weekend at 7-0 win streak
And now after last night we add Penn ST to the List at 7-0 Win Streak to STOP
Both play on Saturday and Odds Makers will have both on their Minds i can tell you that as Odds makers record on both these teams are 0-14 in last 7 starts and they must be Pizzed and Casinos are not happy losing mega Money over these 2 teams
Just as last year the 7-0 win streaks came to a sudden halt with 8 of the 16 not able to continue and 5 more stopped at the 8-0 win streak level
leaving just 3 and the all lost quickly thereafter
So should either team cover on Saturday i will double my wager when they play after Saturday as they can not CONTINUE as ODDS makers will STOP them as Its just a matter of time and that if these 29 year old's can handle the pressure that goes with long win Streaks
Posted:
#289
Sorry 29 year olds
So should either team cover on Saturday i will double my wager when they play after Saturday as they can not CONTINUE as ODDS Makers will STOP them as Its just a matter of time and that is if these 20 year old's can handle the pressure that goes with long win Streaks
So should either team cover on Saturday i will double my wager when they play after Saturday as they can not CONTINUE as ODDS Makers will STOP them as Its just a matter of time and that is if these 20 year old's can handle the pressure that goes with long win StreaksIf there still in school at 29 we all are in trouble
Posted:
#290
Although Level 3, Loss and win Streaks are just for Monitoring with interest going to the next level 4 i do watch the upcoming Teams looking to break out ,both for the good and bad of things
yesterday we had 3 Level 3 teams play and their result was
3-0 Wisc Milw not cover so they are now 0-1
3-0 N Mexico St could not cover and now are 0-1
0-3 Colorado St could not cover and goes to 0-4
So we will be playing 0-4 Colorado St to cover if the 0-4 streak record can return to a good % other wise we will pass and play the higher Streak levels which are the better wager games anyway
Posted:
#291
Morn boys another Crazy night at Casino's as Rodeo still in town till friday when we locals will get our Casinos back and Vegas will slow down till New Years. Then a lull till Super Bowl Time and March Maddness and then it is Maddness believe me as all hell breaks loose and the best time of year for me and many other Gamblers
Had a pretty good night at tables since Ncaab was in an off Night and to be truthful can't wait till Saturday where we will at least have something worthwhile to lose our money onand all these Cowboys will finally go home and we locals will get our casino's back but we do thank them for all the $$$$ they leave behind, I do know the Casino's do thank them
and all these Cowboys will finally go home and we locals will get our casino's back but we do thank them for all the $$$$ they leave behind, I do know the Casino's do thank themWe do have a couple plays t nite but just 2 i believe
0-5 Arkansas Little rock looking for a cover
4-0 Colorado and we are looking for a no Cover but at a record to not cover at 12-10 it is not a strong play
With all level 3's W/L not covering yesterday we do have 3 more today as well, Can we get another no cover on all 3 again tonight and go 3-0,as noted they usually are a 50% but yesterday they were 100%.Will be interesting to see what happens today
0-3 Miss St
0-3 Furman
3-0 Memphis
Posted:
#293
Better post this tid bit of info,,, although ALR is looking for a cover i must warn all that the record for 0-5's to cover is not good at 0-4 as no team and there have only been 6 so far have been able to break this spell and appears as Odds makers have not helped any to date
Of the 4 that went to 0-6 Two were able to cover and 2 are awaiting play S Dakota St on 12/14 and Wright St on 12/15
So in all i do not see much Hope for ALR to Cover tonight
Guess we will need to wait and see
Posted:
#295
LOSS STREAKS to STOP as of 12/12 close
0-7 no team has reached this level yet,Odds Makers have done a good job applying Points where needed
0-6,,,,,2-0, 2 pend (S Dakota St 12/14) Wright St 12/15 Can Odds makers continue to assist
0-5,,,,,,0-4,,,7 pend S Utah,Geo St,E ILL,San Clara ,Alr ,Kansas,N dakota, No 0-5 yet to Cover( 4 play on 14th) fade material looming 1st to play ALR 12/13 Record to cover not good
0-4,,,,, 15-11,,, 7 teams pend),0-4 Level was a good area to play but not doing well of late,Yes some teams are just BAD and could continue to lose regardless of points so they do need monitoring,odds makers must be Pizzed
0-3,,,,,35-32 ,,,,(14 Tms pend) this level we just monitor for future and record stands on its self
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
WIN STREAKS TO STOP
7-0,,, 0-0 Oregon, Penn St, both play 12/14, looking for a NO COVER ( see page 283)
6-0 ,,,3-2 ,,1 pend,,, Umass 12/14
5-0,,,,3-6,,,,Pend Nova 12/15 This record is weak so they could go to 6-0 unless Odds Makers get their act together
4-0,,,,,12-10,,,10 pend Colorado 12/13,balance later
This level is running at slightly better than 50-50 so wager as deem fit
3-0,,,,,35-32..we have 8 teams pending at this level but this level is still at just over 50%
so wager carefully or void all together is my suggestion unless you know these teams
Posted:
#296
Had no idea who ALR was playing t nite and now see they are playing of all teams 3-0 Memphis giving 22 points and with the 3-0 streak record at 50% i feel good that they will cover and ALR will go to 0-6 and at 0-6 i will pound them to cover then as at 0-6 the record is 2-0 to cover as no team this season has lost at that level YET
Posted:
#299
Looks like the 0-5 streak record is going to get its first W as Little Rock is kicking it and getting +23 must admit did not see that with what has been happening in Past
must admit did not see that with what has been happening in PastNo way Memphis can cover this 
is this a sign of whats to happen tomorrow as we have 4 teams with an 0-5 loss streak
is this a sign of whats to happen tomorrow as we have 4 teams with an 0-5 loss streak
Posted:
#300
Todays BIG top plays 7-0
No team has gone Higher of all 260 +Teams
7-0 record to not Cover 0-0 Syst says both STOP
7-0 Oregon plays ILL
7-0 Penn St plays Princeton
6-0 record to not cover 3-2 ( pass this play due to %) but sys says they stop
6-0 Umass plays N ILL
5-0 record to not cover 3-6 not good,appears Nova to go to 6-0
5-0 Nova does not play till 12/15 vs La Salle
4-0 record to not cover 12-11
4-0 Butler plays Purdue
4-0 Val plays Loy Marymount
4-0 Wich St plays Tenn
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Top Loss Streaks looking to cover
0-6 record to Cover 2-0 pretty good
0-6 S Dakota ST plays Belmont ( Sys onS dak St) to cover 12/14
0-5 Cover record 0-4 Not good (record against all to cover) and against System Objective,Can all 3 not cover ????
0-5 Kansas plays N Mexico
0-5 Geo St plays Ole Dom
0-5 S Utah plays Unlv
0-5 Santa Clara plays La Sierra Not Avail (Pass)
0-4 cover record 15-11
0-4 Wofford plays St Louis
0-4 St Louis plays Wofford ( one will cover) Pass
0-4 Xavier plays Cinn
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