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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Last2Thirst - Conf Play Picks

    «First Previous 123 ... 678 Next Last»
    Last2thirst
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    «First Previous 123 ... 678 Next Last»
     
    Last2thirst
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 11, 2025 - 9:27 PM ET #151

    The fact that Gonzaga is pulling ahead here with assertiveness.....I worry about this UNDER. St Marys can hit the 3 pt well when pressed and I forsee that coming at some point in the game.

     

    I think this will go into the 140's before its done....lets see what happens

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    The fact that Gonzaga is pulling ahead here with assertiveness.....I worry about this UNDER. St Marys can hit the 3 pt well when pressed and I forsee that coming at some point in the game.

     

    I think this will go into the 140's before its done....lets see what happens

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 11, 2025 - 9:42 PM ET #152

    Gonzaga game is turning into a rockfight....love it

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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    Gonzaga game is turning into a rockfight....love it

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 11, 2025 - 11:04 PM ET #153

    Crazy up and down day.... +1 U on sides/totals but mini ass kicking pressing on some exotics

     

    Digging into tomorrow 

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    Crazy up and down day.... +1 U on sides/totals but mini ass kicking pressing on some exotics

     

    Digging into tomorrow 

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2025 - 12:31 AM ET #154

    Wednesday Totals or Sides:

    Grambling Over 127.5 x HALF U

    -they like scoring on the road more than at home which is rare..... Southern a good team and defense but I cannot ignore the fact that this is a one and done game so Grambling will shoot the 3pt or hack Southern if ahead by enough that they need to do that to clawback

     

    UTEP - Liberty Under 138.5  x HALF U 

    -both teams tend to score under this total when they play a strong team

    -2 March games last year produced a total both times Under 130 pts....... 'if it walks like a duck'

     

    SC St. -14.5 x HALF U  - this team can flat out play at both ends and Coppin St is 1 - 17 on the road.....it will be a neutral site and I honestly believe Coppin will score 65 and SC St. 85 if so.....otherwise, this could end up an ugly kind of score like 78 - 54

     

    SJST -1 x 1U ....very glad I did some Neutral game results research on my spreadsheet and hope this play can pay me dividends.....

    Their neutral site record this year: (Wyoming could only beat Long Beach out of that group, in my opinion)

     UTEP W 71 - 65

    UNC Green W 69 - 64

    Long B. W 82 - 66

     

    DePaul TEASED to +8.5 seems like a great KEY ...going to look for two others to join it in a 1 U teaser

    -they beat GT two times and easily last week as a -1 pt home favorite

    -I see a tight ball game so +8.5 pts is gold

    - Likely key I will take is UNC  teased down as they are hot, aside for stinky 2nd half vs Duke last game

     

     

    Totals seem tough tomorrow.....enjoy and moneybag

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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    Wednesday Totals or Sides:

    Grambling Over 127.5 x HALF U

    -they like scoring on the road more than at home which is rare..... Southern a good team and defense but I cannot ignore the fact that this is a one and done game so Grambling will shoot the 3pt or hack Southern if ahead by enough that they need to do that to clawback

     

    UTEP - Liberty Under 138.5  x HALF U 

    -both teams tend to score under this total when they play a strong team

    -2 March games last year produced a total both times Under 130 pts....... 'if it walks like a duck'

     

    SC St. -14.5 x HALF U  - this team can flat out play at both ends and Coppin St is 1 - 17 on the road.....it will be a neutral site and I honestly believe Coppin will score 65 and SC St. 85 if so.....otherwise, this could end up an ugly kind of score like 78 - 54

     

    SJST -1 x 1U ....very glad I did some Neutral game results research on my spreadsheet and hope this play can pay me dividends.....

    Their neutral site record this year: (Wyoming could only beat Long Beach out of that group, in my opinion)

     UTEP W 71 - 65

    UNC Green W 69 - 64

    Long B. W 82 - 66

     

    DePaul TEASED to +8.5 seems like a great KEY ...going to look for two others to join it in a 1 U teaser

    -they beat GT two times and easily last week as a -1 pt home favorite

    -I see a tight ball game so +8.5 pts is gold

    - Likely key I will take is UNC  teased down as they are hot, aside for stinky 2nd half vs Duke last game

     

     

    Totals seem tough tomorrow.....enjoy and moneybag

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2025 - 11:11 AM ET #155

    Adding: 5 PT teasers $30 each payout $60 profit per win

     

    A. Virginia +6 (GTECH has not beaten them in 10 games!) with Southern -1.5 with  WVU -2 < facing a Buffaloes team that is 0 - 10 on the road this year and WVU is well put together and beat Colorado in their building which is tough to do!!

    B. SJST  +6 (won easily 2 games this year vs Wyo) with Arkansas (S.Car record on road is horrid) with WVU -2

     

    1. Davidson Ov 124.5 

    2. Arkansas +0.5 

    3. Over Colorado 122.5

    4. Over Minny 121.5

    5. Depaul +5.5

    6. Lamar  +18 << games were way closer for than this spread

     

    Might add 1-2 more later....have to show this before Davidson game begins...gl

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    Adding: 5 PT teasers $30 each payout $60 profit per win

     

    A. Virginia +6 (GTECH has not beaten them in 10 games!) with Southern -1.5 with  WVU -2 < facing a Buffaloes team that is 0 - 10 on the road this year and WVU is well put together and beat Colorado in their building which is tough to do!!

    B. SJST  +6 (won easily 2 games this year vs Wyo) with Arkansas (S.Car record on road is horrid) with WVU -2

     

    1. Davidson Ov 124.5 

    2. Arkansas +0.5 

    3. Over Colorado 122.5

    4. Over Minny 121.5

    5. Depaul +5.5

    6. Lamar  +18 << games were way closer for than this spread

     

    Might add 1-2 more later....have to show this before Davidson game begins...gl

     
    Fuse
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2025 - 11:55 AM ET #156

    peace_5peaceclover

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    peace_5peaceclover

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2025 - 2:31 PM ET #157

    5 PT teasers $30 each payout $60 profit per win

     

    A. Virginia +6  PUSH (now 3 way pay $33 profit per) with Southern -1.5 with WVU -2 

    B. SJST +6  strong start  with Arkansas  strong start  with WVU -2

     1. Davidson Ov 124.5  an_clap

    2. Arkansas +0.5  < only relates to A. Teaser Keys

    3. Over Colorado 122.5

    4. Over Minny 121.5

    5. Depaul +5.5

    6. Lamar +18 << games were way closer for than this spread

     

    SJST -1 x 1U   an_horse up 30 - 10 late 1st half

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    5 PT teasers $30 each payout $60 profit per win

     

    A. Virginia +6  PUSH (now 3 way pay $33 profit per) with Southern -1.5 with WVU -2 

    B. SJST +6  strong start  with Arkansas  strong start  with WVU -2

     1. Davidson Ov 124.5  an_clap

    2. Arkansas +0.5  < only relates to A. Teaser Keys

    3. Over Colorado 122.5

    4. Over Minny 121.5

    5. Depaul +5.5

    6. Lamar +18 << games were way closer for than this spread

     

    SJST -1 x 1U   an_horse up 30 - 10 late 1st half

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2025 - 2:52 PM ET #158

    Just bet Colorado winning margin and some WVU plays:

     

    $20 > WVU to win by 3 - 6 pts @+550

    $30 > " to win by 1 - 2 pts @ +1100

    $20 > Colorado to win by 1-2 pts @ +1300

    $30 >  " to win by 3 - 6 pts @ +850

    $20 >   " to win by 7 - 9 pts @ +1500

    Total cost = 1 U

     

    Also $30  to win by 1- 2 pts @+800 on S.Carolina to complete shock recovery at beat Arkansas 

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    Just bet Colorado winning margin and some WVU plays:

     

    $20 > WVU to win by 3 - 6 pts @+550

    $30 > " to win by 1 - 2 pts @ +1100

    $20 > Colorado to win by 1-2 pts @ +1300

    $30 >  " to win by 3 - 6 pts @ +850

    $20 >   " to win by 7 - 9 pts @ +1500

    Total cost = 1 U

     

    Also $30  to win by 1- 2 pts @+800 on S.Carolina to complete shock recovery at beat Arkansas 

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2025 - 3:04 PM ET #159

    Calipari is the most over rated and terrible confidence building coach I have ever seen.....over coaches his players to the point of confusion and loss of energy

     

     

    Arkansas has done this act at least 3 times I have followed their games the past 4 weeks or so

     

    They just jack up 3 pt shots early in the clock it seems and the other teams climbs back into the game

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    Calipari is the most over rated and terrible confidence building coach I have ever seen.....over coaches his players to the point of confusion and loss of energy

     

     

    Arkansas has done this act at least 3 times I have followed their games the past 4 weeks or so

     

    They just jack up 3 pt shots early in the clock it seems and the other teams climbs back into the game

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2025 - 9:24 PM ET #160

    Might unwind my side betting .....some weird stuff is happening (like most years) and its too making assumptions when guessing is all you need. Not my style. I will look at TOTALS here and there and preserve cash for those moments that I like such as the ZAGA -STMARY'S game the other day...

    Cheers

     

    When I have to do this and it gives me a profitable escape, I just have to laugh and watch instead haha

    Just bet Colorado winning margin and some WVU plays:

     

    $20 > WVU to win by 3 - 6 pts @+550

    $30 > " to win by 1 - 2 pts @ +1100

    $20 > Colorado to win by 1-2 pts @ +1300

    $30 >  " to win by 3 - 6 pts @ +850

    $20 >   " to win by 7 - 9 pts @ +1500  <<  $300 profit back - $120 cost

    Total cost = 1 U 

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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    Might unwind my side betting .....some weird stuff is happening (like most years) and its too making assumptions when guessing is all you need. Not my style. I will look at TOTALS here and there and preserve cash for those moments that I like such as the ZAGA -STMARY'S game the other day...

    Cheers

     

    When I have to do this and it gives me a profitable escape, I just have to laugh and watch instead haha

    Just bet Colorado winning margin and some WVU plays:

     

    $20 > WVU to win by 3 - 6 pts @+550

    $30 > " to win by 1 - 2 pts @ +1100

    $20 > Colorado to win by 1-2 pts @ +1300

    $30 >  " to win by 3 - 6 pts @ +850

    $20 >   " to win by 7 - 9 pts @ +1500  <<  $300 profit back - $120 cost

    Total cost = 1 U 

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2025 - 12:15 PM ET #161

    Thursday Totals:

    BYU Under 146.5 x HALF U

    -have a hard time seeing two teams that can play defense deciding to turn this into an offensive display that jacks up shots early or regularly from individual play

    -first game between them total 137 in regulation 

    -both have good defenses and offenses and both are in the NCAA tourney with no advantage here to play sloppy on defense

    - I think this total is 6-7 pts too high for a neutral court

     

     

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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    Thursday Totals:

    BYU Under 146.5 x HALF U

    -have a hard time seeing two teams that can play defense deciding to turn this into an offensive display that jacks up shots early or regularly from individual play

    -first game between them total 137 in regulation 

    -both have good defenses and offenses and both are in the NCAA tourney with no advantage here to play sloppy on defense

    - I think this total is 6-7 pts too high for a neutral court

     

     

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2025 - 1:15 PM ET #162

    Thursday Totals:

     BYU Under 146.5 x HALF U   an_roll_laugh spin the wheel....

     

    UNDER Illinois 165.5 x 1.5 U .... that is probably it for me today

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    Thursday Totals:

     BYU Under 146.5 x HALF U   an_roll_laugh spin the wheel....

     

    UNDER Illinois 165.5 x 1.5 U .... that is probably it for me today

     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2025 - 1:17 PM ET #163

    GL cloveron your plays this tourney @Last2thirst peace_5

     

    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    GL cloveron your plays this tourney @Last2thirst peace_5

     

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2025 - 3:43 PM ET #164

    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    GL on your plays this tourney @Last2thirst

     

    Thanks bro peace_5an_cheers

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    GL on your plays this tourney @Last2thirst

     

    Thanks bro peace_5an_cheers

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2025 - 8:02 PM ET #165

    an_roll_laugh See what happens when you fade regular OVER plays ?

     

    So my key on Proline parlays is OVER Kentucky....you watch , it goes way UNDER haha

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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    an_roll_laugh See what happens when you fade regular OVER plays ?

     

    So my key on Proline parlays is OVER Kentucky....you watch , it goes way UNDER haha

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 14, 2025 - 4:48 PM ET #166

    North Texas Under 126 x 1U 

     Clemson Under  141.5 x 1U

    All Half U below:

    Michigan Over 147

    Duke  -7

    Duke Under 152.5

    UC San Diego Over 138

    Utah St . -1

    Creighton - UConn Under 139.5

     Under TTECH 152

    clover

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    North Texas Under 126 x 1U 

     Clemson Under  141.5 x 1U

    All Half U below:

    Michigan Over 147

    Duke  -7

    Duke Under 152.5

    UC San Diego Over 138

    Utah St . -1

    Creighton - UConn Under 139.5

     Under TTECH 152

    clover

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2025 - 10:23 AM ET #167

    Double Up day...

     

    Play #1 - Yale - 7.5 x 1U

     

    Play #2 also a Double Up - VCU -9.5 x 1U  ....will apply it double if #1 loses and enough time to bet, otherwise, it stands as a first play

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    Double Up day...

     

    Play #1 - Yale - 7.5 x 1U

     

    Play #2 also a Double Up - VCU -9.5 x 1U  ....will apply it double if #1 loses and enough time to bet, otherwise, it stands as a first play

     
    IAdecimal5
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2025 - 10:28 AM ET #168

    L2T......peace_5

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    L2T......peace_5

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2025 - 10:51 AM ET #169

    I definitely have a play of the day later ....like quite a few games and one I will play winning margin for sure

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    I definitely have a play of the day later ....like quite a few games and one I will play winning margin for sure

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2025 - 11:37 AM ET #170

    QUAD UNIT play and DOUBLE PLAY > Louisville +6  - won 11 in a row .....this will cover up a 2 loss DOUBLE UP or just like it that much!!

     

    > UNDER 147 x 2U to cover a bad play earlier.....playing these now 

     

    Time to live or die on my large NCAAF+NCAAB success account stack ..... only baseball season is left till the fall and I have put in a lot of work on NCAAB and hoping to press and reward now till the end of the tourney

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    QUAD UNIT play and DOUBLE PLAY > Louisville +6  - won 11 in a row .....this will cover up a 2 loss DOUBLE UP or just like it that much!!

     

    > UNDER 147 x 2U to cover a bad play earlier.....playing these now 

     

    Time to live or die on my large NCAAF+NCAAB success account stack ..... only baseball season is left till the fall and I have put in a lot of work on NCAAB and hoping to press and reward now till the end of the tourney

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2025 - 12:54 PM ET #171

    1/2 pm game DOUBLE UPs > 

     

     

    Auburn Under 141 x HALF U > two of the better defenses and Tenn cannot win a slugfest if they don't play tight

    Cornell  Under 161 x 1U > check out Dartmouth defense ...pretty darn good and seem to have figured out Cornell 3 pt shooting sets when they play....both games have come nowhere near this number

     

    Betting orgy today....for better or for worse ....will roll some of these Double Ups into tomorrow if I have to

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    1/2 pm game DOUBLE UPs > 

     

     

    Auburn Under 141 x HALF U > two of the better defenses and Tenn cannot win a slugfest if they don't play tight

    Cornell  Under 161 x 1U > check out Dartmouth defense ...pretty darn good and seem to have figured out Cornell 3 pt shooting sets when they play....both games have come nowhere near this number

     

    Betting orgy today....for better or for worse ....will roll some of these Double Ups into tomorrow if I have to

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2025 - 2:54 PM ET #172

    Looks like Louisville +6 is going to be my QUAD play to cover losses in Yale and VCU.... its played, regardless and my early play of the day

     

    Over Alabama 178 > they love playing each other and Bama can roll offense off their bench like crazy....push the pace

    Alabama +3 

    Both plays are not D-Ups but x 1U each

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    Looks like Louisville +6 is going to be my QUAD play to cover losses in Yale and VCU.... its played, regardless and my early play of the day

     

    Over Alabama 178 > they love playing each other and Bama can roll offense off their bench like crazy....push the pace

    Alabama +3 

    Both plays are not D-Ups but x 1U each

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2025 - 7:25 PM ET #173

    Double Ups:

    Play #1 - Yale - 7.5 x 1U    NO

    Play #2 also a Double Up - VCU -9.5 x 1U   NO

    LOUISVILLE +6 x 4U is my saviour.....

    Auburn Under 141 x HALF U  an_clap  .... no D-UP needed

    Cornell  Under 161 x 1U  an_clap ..... no D-UP needed 

     

    Next: 

    Miami - Akron Over 158 x 1U

    UC San Diego (fave team to bet!) OVER 136  << they are going to show the Committee how good they are today ..... and I suspect UCIRVINE will hang but I see a 78 -73 type of game with both teams shooting and setting their players well

     

    If either team loses.... DUKE UNDER 147 x 2U has been bet already to D-UP

     

    Other:

    Over Alabama 178 > an_clap

    Alabama +3   thumbs_down

     

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    Double Ups:

    Play #1 - Yale - 7.5 x 1U    NO

    Play #2 also a Double Up - VCU -9.5 x 1U   NO

    LOUISVILLE +6 x 4U is my saviour.....

    Auburn Under 141 x HALF U  an_clap  .... no D-UP needed

    Cornell  Under 161 x 1U  an_clap ..... no D-UP needed 

     

    Next: 

    Miami - Akron Over 158 x 1U

    UC San Diego (fave team to bet!) OVER 136  << they are going to show the Committee how good they are today ..... and I suspect UCIRVINE will hang but I see a 78 -73 type of game with both teams shooting and setting their players well

     

    If either team loses.... DUKE UNDER 147 x 2U has been bet already to D-UP

     

    Other:

    Over Alabama 178 > an_clap

    Alabama +3   thumbs_down

     

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Mar. 15, 2025 - 9:21 PM ET #174

    CARDINALS ARE HUNGRY!!! ....good game

     

    an_praise

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    CARDINALS ARE HUNGRY!!! ....good game

     

    an_praise

     
     
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    Posted: Mar. 16, 2025 - 10:15 AM ET #175

    YALE - CORNELL OVER 157.5 x 2U

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    YALE - CORNELL OVER 157.5 x 2U

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