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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Holmey's $$$$ Thread SATURDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.27.16

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    NicMittens
    easyskanker420
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    NicMittens
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 8:58 AM ET #26

    $$$$$$ ARKANSAS LITTLE-ROCK $$$$$

    My money has been is on this team all year especially at home.  They are playing a woeful Texas st team the is horrid on the road (shyt they're horrid at home) and add that to the fact that Little Rock is playing lights out and we have a winner. USC give me ULAR for 20 units
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    $$$$$$ ARKANSAS LITTLE-ROCK $$$$$

    My money has been is on this team all year especially at home.  They are playing a woeful Texas st team the is horrid on the road (shyt they're horrid at home) and add that to the fact that Little Rock is playing lights out and we have a winner. USC give me ULAR for 20 units
     
    easyskanker420
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 8:58 AM ET #27

    $$$$$$ Buffalo Sabres Money Line +$190

    Wait till game time before pulling the trigger on this one. You'll likely get a better number on this live dog depending on how many of the weekend warriors lay their money down on what they think will be an easy win for the better rated SAN JOSE SHARKS playing at home.


    Much respect, 23Skidoo.    I got at +200.  Thanks!

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    $$$$$$ Buffalo Sabres Money Line +$190

    Wait till game time before pulling the trigger on this one. You'll likely get a better number on this live dog depending on how many of the weekend warriors lay their money down on what they think will be an easy win for the better rated SAN JOSE SHARKS playing at home.


    Much respect, 23Skidoo.    I got at +200.  Thanks!

     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 9:01 AM ET #28

    Another nba that I like

    I like the spurs tonight.  They are 2-1 in this series for this year by beating the rockets.
    First game, spurs lost by 4
    second game,  won by 18
    third game,  won by 29

    What this shows me is that them spurs knows how to contain Harden.  They should be if they are considered as the one number contender in the nba on defense. 

    The rockets are 5th in the league in offense at 105.4 points per game.  The spurs are 6th in the league in offense at 105.2.  Not much difference there in offense huh but the really difference is the spur's defense. 

    The spurs are 21-9 SU on the road this season.  Here is a key note on them spurs.  They have not lost back to back this season so when they lose, next game, play the ML spurs. 

    The San Antonio Spurs are:

    • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
    • 13-5 ATS in their last 18 Saturday games.
    • 17-8 ATS in their last 25 vs. Western Conference.

    The Houston Rockets are:

    • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
    • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record

    Give me the spurs -6




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    Another nba that I like

    I like the spurs tonight.  They are 2-1 in this series for this year by beating the rockets.
    First game, spurs lost by 4
    second game,  won by 18
    third game,  won by 29

    What this shows me is that them spurs knows how to contain Harden.  They should be if they are considered as the one number contender in the nba on defense. 

    The rockets are 5th in the league in offense at 105.4 points per game.  The spurs are 6th in the league in offense at 105.2.  Not much difference there in offense huh but the really difference is the spur's defense. 

    The spurs are 21-9 SU on the road this season.  Here is a key note on them spurs.  They have not lost back to back this season so when they lose, next game, play the ML spurs. 

    The San Antonio Spurs are:

    • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
    • 13-5 ATS in their last 18 Saturday games.
    • 17-8 ATS in their last 25 vs. Western Conference.

    The Houston Rockets are:

    • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
    • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record

    Give me the spurs -6




     
    forty9ersfan80
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 9:12 AM ET #29

    Gotta get back into the winning column I believe my $$$$ is 2-6 which is miserable so you may want to fade here

    $$$$ North Carolina +3.5 huge game here as this one will most likely decide the acc. Virginia is undefeated at home and the Tar Heels are coming off their two best games all season.  The close meltdown loss to duke really seemed to motivate this team and get them to play up to their immense potential.  This game is a matchup of contrasting styles with Virginia running a low tempo offense keeping possessions down and creating offense off of their suffocating pack line defense.  On the other hand Carolina loves to push the ball up the floor and get easy transition baskets.  The keys for Carolina are 1. Don't turn it over 2. Hit the outside shots so Virginia can't double down on the bigs 3. Create turnovers and score in transition. Virginia does a create Job at not giving up points in transition but they haven't faced a team as good as Carolina as of yet.  This will be a very tough game and one I would worry about if Carolina hadn't been motivated aster that duke loss. They are the best team in the country in my opinion and the only thing holding them back was the inconsistent play. I believe they have found their stride and will go into Virginia and win this game down the stretch.  
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    Gotta get back into the winning column I believe my $$$$ is 2-6 which is miserable so you may want to fade here

    $$$$ North Carolina +3.5 huge game here as this one will most likely decide the acc. Virginia is undefeated at home and the Tar Heels are coming off their two best games all season.  The close meltdown loss to duke really seemed to motivate this team and get them to play up to their immense potential.  This game is a matchup of contrasting styles with Virginia running a low tempo offense keeping possessions down and creating offense off of their suffocating pack line defense.  On the other hand Carolina loves to push the ball up the floor and get easy transition baskets.  The keys for Carolina are 1. Don't turn it over 2. Hit the outside shots so Virginia can't double down on the bigs 3. Create turnovers and score in transition. Virginia does a create Job at not giving up points in transition but they haven't faced a team as good as Carolina as of yet.  This will be a very tough game and one I would worry about if Carolina hadn't been motivated aster that duke loss. They are the best team in the country in my opinion and the only thing holding them back was the inconsistent play. I believe they have found their stride and will go into Virginia and win this game down the stretch.  
     
    forty9ersfan80
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 9:15 AM ET #30

    Oh and that is a LFYT $$$$ play
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    Oh and that is a LFYT $$$$ play
     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 9:20 AM ET #31

    George Mason Patriots (10-18 SU, 11-13-1 ATS, 14-11 O/U) at La Salle Explorers (6-20 SU, 7-15-1 ATS, 10-13 O/U)

    When la salle is a dog and playing at home, they are 2-6 SU and ATS.  They only won 2 out of 19 of their previous games. 

    I have to give them credit for upsetting st. bonaventure though.  No one saw that coming but after that game, they are back to the losing streak, losing the next 2 games.

    They lack offense.  Their previous 2 games losing streak, they only posted up 50 and 53 points.  They only scored more than 70 points 2 times in their previous 16 games. 

    So la salle beat saint bona right?  No big deal.  Mason previous game, they beat VCU, a top tier team in the conference by 7. 

    Why spread so small? 

    La Salle Explorers are:

    • 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 overall
    • 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games
    • 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with losing records

    Who cares, just give me George Mason -2




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    George Mason Patriots (10-18 SU, 11-13-1 ATS, 14-11 O/U) at La Salle Explorers (6-20 SU, 7-15-1 ATS, 10-13 O/U)

    When la salle is a dog and playing at home, they are 2-6 SU and ATS.  They only won 2 out of 19 of their previous games. 

    I have to give them credit for upsetting st. bonaventure though.  No one saw that coming but after that game, they are back to the losing streak, losing the next 2 games.

    They lack offense.  Their previous 2 games losing streak, they only posted up 50 and 53 points.  They only scored more than 70 points 2 times in their previous 16 games. 

    So la salle beat saint bona right?  No big deal.  Mason previous game, they beat VCU, a top tier team in the conference by 7. 

    Why spread so small? 

    La Salle Explorers are:

    • 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 overall
    • 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games
    • 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with losing records

    Who cares, just give me George Mason -2




     
    WhiteMamba1982
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 9:27 AM ET #32

    I am shocked nobody is on Texas Tech +14 at my book now.....I know KU is really good but 14 to me seems like a lot of points for a team who has played decent against tough competition any thoughts here?

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    I am shocked nobody is on Texas Tech +14 at my book now.....I know KU is really good but 14 to me seems like a lot of points for a team who has played decent against tough competition any thoughts here?

     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 9:36 AM ET #33

    OH and I forgot to rate my plays.  Give me george mason for no$$$$ and this next one is a better no$$$$ play.  It is like a night and day play.  Do notice how I like to bold out the team with the better ATS overall record.   This one fits all of my criteria of:

    - No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor
    - No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor
    - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent
    - No Reverse Line Movement factor
    - No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factor

    Western Michigan Broncos (11-17 overall, 10-12-1 ATS, 13-9-1 O/U) vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (18-10 overall, 12-10-1 ATS, 12-11 O/U)

    Why night and day?

    Western Michigan is 1-12 away
    NIU is 15-1 at home

    This stats alone is enough for a play.  NIU is now at home.   They both played before and western Michigan beat niu at their house.  This is a revenge game for NIU here. 

    Both teams offenses are about the same but NIU has a stingy defense.  They are ranked 60th in the nation and allows about 67 points per game.  Here's the kicker.  NIU is 40th in the nation in rebounding.  I loved teams that can rebound well especially for the offensive board which means a possibility for padded points. 

    Western Michigan

    • 3-7 ATS in their last 10 against teams with a winning percentage above .600
    • 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road vs. teams with a home winning percentage above .600
    • 1-4 ATS in their last five on the road vs. teams with a winning home record

    Northern Illinois

    • 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 at home
    • 5-2 ATS in their last seven at home vs. teams with a losing road record

    Give me NIU -6 for no$$$$







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    OH and I forgot to rate my plays.  Give me george mason for no$$$$ and this next one is a better no$$$$ play.  It is like a night and day play.  Do notice how I like to bold out the team with the better ATS overall record.   This one fits all of my criteria of:

    - No playing ranked team against no rank.  The upset factor
    - No playing away teams.  Home crowd is the 6th man factor
    - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent
    - No Reverse Line Movement factor
    - No playing if line is more than 10.  The OT can't cover factor

    Western Michigan Broncos (11-17 overall, 10-12-1 ATS, 13-9-1 O/U) vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (18-10 overall, 12-10-1 ATS, 12-11 O/U)

    Why night and day?

    Western Michigan is 1-12 away
    NIU is 15-1 at home

    This stats alone is enough for a play.  NIU is now at home.   They both played before and western Michigan beat niu at their house.  This is a revenge game for NIU here. 

    Both teams offenses are about the same but NIU has a stingy defense.  They are ranked 60th in the nation and allows about 67 points per game.  Here's the kicker.  NIU is 40th in the nation in rebounding.  I loved teams that can rebound well especially for the offensive board which means a possibility for padded points. 

    Western Michigan

    • 3-7 ATS in their last 10 against teams with a winning percentage above .600
    • 2-5 ATS in their last seven on the road vs. teams with a home winning percentage above .600
    • 1-4 ATS in their last five on the road vs. teams with a winning home record

    Northern Illinois

    • 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 at home
    • 5-2 ATS in their last seven at home vs. teams with a losing road record

    Give me NIU -6 for no$$$$







     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 9:54 AM ET #34

    I hate playing rank and no rank but just this once as an added bonus to my plays.  I think I am going to just play 5 games today.

    My 5th game is the 23rd ranked norte dame against fl state.

    Notre Dame (19-8; 12-12-1 ATS; 13-12 O/U) vs. Florida State (16-12; 9-14-1 ATS; 13-11 O/U)

    Notre dame is one game behind louisville and miami hurricanes so this game means something to notre dame.  They are on course to play at home against miami and possible to take the 2nd place title later but first, they must win this game and if they win on out, they will get that 2nd place. 

    Both teams have a similar offense but notre dame has a better defense.  Florida state is coming into this game with 4 previous SU and ATS lost. 

    Here is the kicker, in the last few games by florida state, they have given up 80+ points to their opponents. 

    Notre Dame Fighting Irish are:

    • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
    • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams.

    Florida State Seminoles are:

    • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams.
    • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. teams with a straight up winning record.

    They opened up this game as a pk and I'm like they are not respecting norte dame at all.  What is this?  A trap line?  Reverse line movement?  Both teams can't be equal ranking so why the pk?

    give me Notre dame -2 for no$$$$


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    I hate playing rank and no rank but just this once as an added bonus to my plays.  I think I am going to just play 5 games today.

    My 5th game is the 23rd ranked norte dame against fl state.

    Notre Dame (19-8; 12-12-1 ATS; 13-12 O/U) vs. Florida State (16-12; 9-14-1 ATS; 13-11 O/U)

    Notre dame is one game behind louisville and miami hurricanes so this game means something to notre dame.  They are on course to play at home against miami and possible to take the 2nd place title later but first, they must win this game and if they win on out, they will get that 2nd place. 

    Both teams have a similar offense but notre dame has a better defense.  Florida state is coming into this game with 4 previous SU and ATS lost. 

    Here is the kicker, in the last few games by florida state, they have given up 80+ points to their opponents. 

    Notre Dame Fighting Irish are:

    • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.
    • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams.

    Florida State Seminoles are:

    • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams.
    • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. teams with a straight up winning record.

    They opened up this game as a pk and I'm like they are not respecting norte dame at all.  What is this?  A trap line?  Reverse line movement?  Both teams can't be equal ranking so why the pk?

    give me Notre dame -2 for no$$$$


     
    ToothPac
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:03 AM ET #35


    Brosuf....you have any other parlays today buddy ;)?
    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    Another nba that I likeI like the spurs tonight.  They are 2-1 in this series for this year by beating the rockets. First game, spurs lost by 4second game,  won by 18third game,  won by 29What this shows me is that them spurs knows how to contain Harden.  They should be if they are considered as the one number contender in the nba on defense.  The rockets are 5th in the league in offense at 105.4 points per game.  The spurs are 6th in the league in offense at 105.2.  Not much difference there in offense huh but the really difference is the spur's defense.  The spurs are 21-9 SU on the road this season.  Here is a key note on them spurs.  They have not lost back to back this season so when they lose, next game, play the ML spurs.  The San Antonio Spurs are:
    5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.13-5 ATS in their last 18 Saturday games.17-8 ATS in their last 25 vs. Western Conference.
    The Houston Rockets are:
    0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road recordGive me the spurs -6

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    Brosuf....you have any other parlays today buddy ;)?
    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    Another nba that I likeI like the spurs tonight.  They are 2-1 in this series for this year by beating the rockets. First game, spurs lost by 4second game,  won by 18third game,  won by 29What this shows me is that them spurs knows how to contain Harden.  They should be if they are considered as the one number contender in the nba on defense.  The rockets are 5th in the league in offense at 105.4 points per game.  The spurs are 6th in the league in offense at 105.2.  Not much difference there in offense huh but the really difference is the spur's defense.  The spurs are 21-9 SU on the road this season.  Here is a key note on them spurs.  They have not lost back to back this season so when they lose, next game, play the ML spurs.  The San Antonio Spurs are:
    5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.13-5 ATS in their last 18 Saturday games.17-8 ATS in their last 25 vs. Western Conference.
    The Houston Rockets are:
    0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road recordGive me the spurs -6

     
    billywaddy
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:05 AM ET #36

    ND has a better defense? According to Ken Pomeroy FSU ranks 77th while ND ranks 189. 
    Both teams have a similar offense? According to Ken Pomeroy ND ranks 1st in the nation. FSU is ranked 63rd. 

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    ND has a better defense? According to Ken Pomeroy FSU ranks 77th while ND ranks 189. 
    Both teams have a similar offense? According to Ken Pomeroy ND ranks 1st in the nation. FSU is ranked 63rd. 

     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:15 AM ET #37

    Wow!  Lot's of old-schoolers showing up and lots of new eyes on the thread too.  Great to see!

    Just want to re-point out and make sure that everyone gets the basic principles of what it takes to post a valid $$$$ that will be tracked......

    1. Make sure it has "$$$$" prominently mentioned (and putting it in BOLD helps)

    2. Make sure you include a valid line.  M/L's have to be less than -129.  We want the number you bet the game at, but also we would like the $$$$ posted close enough to when you put your bet in so we can get that line too.

    3. A good writeup with original knowledge and insight.  Not just stats and ATS numbers and "This team is hot" or "This team dominates at home".  This is the main reason I don't put a $$$$ on the spreadsheet.  I skip over several every day because the writeup is flimsy.  ALL plays are thoroughly welcomed here, but to have your $$$$ tracked, you need to include these three things every time.

    Thanks and good luck today! 

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    Wow!  Lot's of old-schoolers showing up and lots of new eyes on the thread too.  Great to see!

    Just want to re-point out and make sure that everyone gets the basic principles of what it takes to post a valid $$$$ that will be tracked......

    1. Make sure it has "$$$$" prominently mentioned (and putting it in BOLD helps)

    2. Make sure you include a valid line.  M/L's have to be less than -129.  We want the number you bet the game at, but also we would like the $$$$ posted close enough to when you put your bet in so we can get that line too.

    3. A good writeup with original knowledge and insight.  Not just stats and ATS numbers and "This team is hot" or "This team dominates at home".  This is the main reason I don't put a $$$$ on the spreadsheet.  I skip over several every day because the writeup is flimsy.  ALL plays are thoroughly welcomed here, but to have your $$$$ tracked, you need to include these three things every time.

    Thanks and good luck today! 

     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:18 AM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by billywaddy:

    ND has a better defense? According to Ken Pomeroy FSU ranks 77th while ND ranks 189. 
    Both teams have a similar offense? According to Ken Pomeroy ND ranks 1st in the nation. FSU is ranked 63rd. 



    Come on man.  Obviously that ken is wrong when he ranks nortre dame as 1st in anything. 

    Here you go homeboy.  Use this and see if fl state and notre dame is about a few level away in offense

    https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaab/offensive-stats
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    Quote Originally Posted by billywaddy:

    ND has a better defense? According to Ken Pomeroy FSU ranks 77th while ND ranks 189. 
    Both teams have a similar offense? According to Ken Pomeroy ND ranks 1st in the nation. FSU is ranked 63rd. 



    Come on man.  Obviously that ken is wrong when he ranks nortre dame as 1st in anything. 

    Here you go homeboy.  Use this and see if fl state and notre dame is about a few level away in offense

    https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaab/offensive-stats
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:19 AM ET #39

    A late 3-0 run on $$$$ winners last night got the thread to 5-5 for yesterday, which is pretty darn good for a Friday.  Hope you guys came out OK.  Will  get the Standings/Results post up soon......
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    A late 3-0 run on $$$$ winners last night got the thread to 5-5 for yesterday, which is pretty darn good for a Friday.  Hope you guys came out OK.  Will  get the Standings/Results post up soon......
     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:19 AM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:



    Come on man.  Obviously that ken is wrong when he ranks nortre dame as 1st in anything. 

    Here you go homeboy.  Use this and see if fl state and notre dame is about a few level away in offense

    https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaab/offensive-stats


    and if you are old school, hit control F to help you find a team more easier. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:



    Come on man.  Obviously that ken is wrong when he ranks nortre dame as 1st in anything. 

    Here you go homeboy.  Use this and see if fl state and notre dame is about a few level away in offense

    https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaab/offensive-stats


    and if you are old school, hit control F to help you find a team more easier. 
     
    gatorbear
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:21 AM ET #41

    I have a play that I would put in as a $$$$ play but used up my allotment of 4 for the week.  I am betting this the same as my $$$$ play.  It is the Butler Bulldogs tt over 74.5.  See post #15 for a write up.

    As always, GLTA


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    I have a play that I would put in as a $$$$ play but used up my allotment of 4 for the week.  I am betting this the same as my $$$$ play.  It is the Butler Bulldogs tt over 74.5.  See post #15 for a write up.

    As always, GLTA


     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:23 AM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by ToothPac:

    Brosuf....you have any other parlays today buddy


    parlay is for sucker.  You would be happy going 3-3.  I'll take a lost on the juice and try again the next day is better than losing a parlay cuz the last leg got dizzy and numb. 


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    Quote Originally Posted by ToothPac:

    Brosuf....you have any other parlays today buddy


    parlay is for sucker.  You would be happy going 3-3.  I'll take a lost on the juice and try again the next day is better than losing a parlay cuz the last leg got dizzy and numb. 


     
    ToothPac
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:24 AM ET #43

    Brosuf....you gotta another parlay for the board today buddy? Not sure of the other comment posted cause I'm not seeing it
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    Brosuf....you gotta another parlay for the board today buddy? Not sure of the other comment posted cause I'm not seeing it
     
    Tiltingchaser
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:27 AM ET #44

    In the game between St. Mary's CA @ University of San Francisco  we have a St. Mary's team that is competing for conference seeding and is on the bubble for the NCAA tournament. St. Mary’s is tied with Gonzaga atop the WCC standings, with BYU only one game behind. Coach Randy Bennett noted, “We have a chance (to win league title). We have to play well and I am proud of our guys. We have to continue to improve and get better.” St. Mary’s is trying to avoid the NIT at all costs and looking to win out.


    Standing in St. Mary’s way to the NCAA’s is USF. By all measures this is a bad matchup for USF. St. Mary’s is #1 in the nation in field goal percentage (50.9%), and #4 in three point percentage (42.2%). This spells trouble for a USF team that is #348 in three pointers allowed and #329 in three point percentage allowed. On the defensive end, St. Mary’s is #4 in the nation in points allowed per game, giving up only 60 ppg. Conversely, USF has given up 83.7 over its last three. St. Mary’s beat USF by 22 back in January @ St. Mary’s, and so USF will be looking for revenge. However, I do not see USF keeping it close against a highly motivated St. Mary’s team that is peaking at the right time. Lastly, this is St. Mary’s last game in conference, so expect them to leave nothing to chance and go all out. I think they easily win by double digits.


    USC, give me St. Mary’s -8 ½ as the $$$$ play.
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    In the game between St. Mary's CA @ University of San Francisco  we have a St. Mary's team that is competing for conference seeding and is on the bubble for the NCAA tournament. St. Mary’s is tied with Gonzaga atop the WCC standings, with BYU only one game behind. Coach Randy Bennett noted, “We have a chance (to win league title). We have to play well and I am proud of our guys. We have to continue to improve and get better.” St. Mary’s is trying to avoid the NIT at all costs and looking to win out.


    Standing in St. Mary’s way to the NCAA’s is USF. By all measures this is a bad matchup for USF. St. Mary’s is #1 in the nation in field goal percentage (50.9%), and #4 in three point percentage (42.2%). This spells trouble for a USF team that is #348 in three pointers allowed and #329 in three point percentage allowed. On the defensive end, St. Mary’s is #4 in the nation in points allowed per game, giving up only 60 ppg. Conversely, USF has given up 83.7 over its last three. St. Mary’s beat USF by 22 back in January @ St. Mary’s, and so USF will be looking for revenge. However, I do not see USF keeping it close against a highly motivated St. Mary’s team that is peaking at the right time. Lastly, this is St. Mary’s last game in conference, so expect them to leave nothing to chance and go all out. I think they easily win by double digits.


    USC, give me St. Mary’s -8 ½ as the $$$$ play.
     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:33 AM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by gatorbear:

    $$$$ Plays YTD: 6 - 2
    $$$$ Plays this week: 3 - 0

    Was going over all the SEC games this morning and this one actually caught my eye.  I am going to move over to the Big East and invade DC for the Butler v Georgetown game. This contest tips off at noon EST on CBS.

    Butler is, according to Jerry Palm, on that proverbial fence,bubble (whatever term floats your boat). The Bulldogs have a 4-1 record vs teams that have a RPI between 51-100.  The Hoyas sit at 91 which will improve, or add to Butlers case.  In 4 of the last 6 games, the Bulldogs have scored 81,87,88 & 89.  They are shooting at a 43% 3 pt clip over their last 5 & 38% for the season. The 3 headed Bulldog of Martin, Dunham & Jones have been quite a formidable trio this season. Add to those 3, Chrabascz & all have scored 20+ vs the Hoyas.

    Hoyas are shooting 30% from 3 in their last 5 & 35% for the season. Georgetown holds a 3-7 record their last 10.  That includes losing 3 straight and 6 of their last 7.

    In their previous meeting this year, Butler prevailed 87-76 @ home as a 4 point favorite. That game flew over the total of 143.5. Butler has the edge in every shooting category except FT.  I actually have 2 $$$$ picks on this game but can only use 1.

    My $$$$ play is on the Butler Bulldogs -2.

    I also love the Butler team total over. However it is not out yet at my book.  I will post that play later with that total. Going for a sweep this week in my 4 $$$$ plays and am riding the Bulldog wave.

    As always, GLTA

     


    this is good one gator. 

    also georgetown is 1-7 ATS in their past 8 when playing a team with a winning record. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by gatorbear:

    $$$$ Plays YTD: 6 - 2
    $$$$ Plays this week: 3 - 0

    Was going over all the SEC games this morning and this one actually caught my eye.  I am going to move over to the Big East and invade DC for the Butler v Georgetown game. This contest tips off at noon EST on CBS.

    Butler is, according to Jerry Palm, on that proverbial fence,bubble (whatever term floats your boat). The Bulldogs have a 4-1 record vs teams that have a RPI between 51-100.  The Hoyas sit at 91 which will improve, or add to Butlers case.  In 4 of the last 6 games, the Bulldogs have scored 81,87,88 & 89.  They are shooting at a 43% 3 pt clip over their last 5 & 38% for the season. The 3 headed Bulldog of Martin, Dunham & Jones have been quite a formidable trio this season. Add to those 3, Chrabascz & all have scored 20+ vs the Hoyas.

    Hoyas are shooting 30% from 3 in their last 5 & 35% for the season. Georgetown holds a 3-7 record their last 10.  That includes losing 3 straight and 6 of their last 7.

    In their previous meeting this year, Butler prevailed 87-76 @ home as a 4 point favorite. That game flew over the total of 143.5. Butler has the edge in every shooting category except FT.  I actually have 2 $$$$ picks on this game but can only use 1.

    My $$$$ play is on the Butler Bulldogs -2.

    I also love the Butler team total over. However it is not out yet at my book.  I will post that play later with that total. Going for a sweep this week in my 4 $$$$ plays and am riding the Bulldog wave.

    As always, GLTA

     


    this is good one gator. 

    also georgetown is 1-7 ATS in their past 8 when playing a team with a winning record. 
     
    TopFlightSports
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:35 AM ET #46

    Vanderbilt (4PM ET CBS) – It’s déjà vu for our top play on Saturday as we go with the exact same angle that cashed us a $$$$ unit winner last week and come back with another big play as the #16 Kentucky Wildcats find themselves in a familiar predicament, on the road as a small favorite against the Vanderbilt Commodores at Memorial Gym in Nashville.  Sure the end of the game might have been marred in controversy and a questionable technical foul in overtime helped Texas A&M seal the win, but if you watched that game start to finish the Aggies were always the better team and we expect the exact same thing to happen with Vandy today.  Few teams have been more disappointing than this Vanderbilt team this season in terms of what was expected of them back in November and while everyone has buried then after a poor December/January stretch where they were battling injuries, the Commodores have quietly resurrected their season by winning five out of seven in February thus far with wins over Texas A&M and Florida.  Make no mistake about it this is the game Vandy needs to win to get back in the conversation as a legitimate at large NCAA Tournament team and we think this is the perfect set of circumstances for them to get their signature win today.  We will start by looking at Kentucky as there’s no question as a team they are in a better place than they were a week ago thanks to the return of Alex Poythress, who sat five straight games with a knee injury.  Poythress being back might ensure Kentucky doesn’t get beat up on the inside, but unlike Texas A&M, Vandy’s success in this game is going to be their ability to shoot the three, and they do this very well, especially at Memorial Gym.  Vanderbilt is nearly impossible to beat on this floor and since they returned to full strength they haven’t lost here, including a blowout win over Texas A&M where the Aggies never had a chance.  Vanderbilt also has plenty of size to contend with Kentucky’s frontcourt and with Damian Jones playing the best basketball of his career, expect him to win the paint battle against a Wildcats front line that, while everyone is back playing, is still banged up.  We have documented Kentucky’s road struggles all season and the Wildcats came up short yet again away from the friendly confines of Rupp Arena last weekend with their loss in College Station.  That gives Kentucky road losses to UCLA, LSU, Auburn, Kansas, Tennessee and Texas A&M and with the exception of the Jayhawks we see Vanderbilt better or on par with all of those teams.  What also needs to be noted is the fact Memorial Gym represents arguably the toughest place to play basically anywhere in the country and this will be a sellout crown in a frenzy with the season on the line this afternoon.  Finally, Vandy is backed by a big in season revenge angle as they were blown out by Kentucky in Lexington earlier this season but the Commodores have come a long way since that game and will put forth a much stronger effort here.  Vandy is good enough defensively, especially on the interior, to contain the Wildcats and the Commodores are lights out from three point range, especially in this building.  Look for a ton of energy out of the home team today as Kentucky will be on their heels this entire game and if the threes are falling for Vandy, not only will they win but they will run the Wildcats out of the arena in a blowout.  

    $$$$ Vanderbilt +2

    Personally this will be as big of a play as the Colorado play was for me on Wednesday night.  Lots of great stuff out there today, if interested in my full card stop by topflightsportsinfo dot com

    Lets go with another winning day for everyone today!
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    Vanderbilt (4PM ET CBS) – It’s déjà vu for our top play on Saturday as we go with the exact same angle that cashed us a $$$$ unit winner last week and come back with another big play as the #16 Kentucky Wildcats find themselves in a familiar predicament, on the road as a small favorite against the Vanderbilt Commodores at Memorial Gym in Nashville.  Sure the end of the game might have been marred in controversy and a questionable technical foul in overtime helped Texas A&M seal the win, but if you watched that game start to finish the Aggies were always the better team and we expect the exact same thing to happen with Vandy today.  Few teams have been more disappointing than this Vanderbilt team this season in terms of what was expected of them back in November and while everyone has buried then after a poor December/January stretch where they were battling injuries, the Commodores have quietly resurrected their season by winning five out of seven in February thus far with wins over Texas A&M and Florida.  Make no mistake about it this is the game Vandy needs to win to get back in the conversation as a legitimate at large NCAA Tournament team and we think this is the perfect set of circumstances for them to get their signature win today.  We will start by looking at Kentucky as there’s no question as a team they are in a better place than they were a week ago thanks to the return of Alex Poythress, who sat five straight games with a knee injury.  Poythress being back might ensure Kentucky doesn’t get beat up on the inside, but unlike Texas A&M, Vandy’s success in this game is going to be their ability to shoot the three, and they do this very well, especially at Memorial Gym.  Vanderbilt is nearly impossible to beat on this floor and since they returned to full strength they haven’t lost here, including a blowout win over Texas A&M where the Aggies never had a chance.  Vanderbilt also has plenty of size to contend with Kentucky’s frontcourt and with Damian Jones playing the best basketball of his career, expect him to win the paint battle against a Wildcats front line that, while everyone is back playing, is still banged up.  We have documented Kentucky’s road struggles all season and the Wildcats came up short yet again away from the friendly confines of Rupp Arena last weekend with their loss in College Station.  That gives Kentucky road losses to UCLA, LSU, Auburn, Kansas, Tennessee and Texas A&M and with the exception of the Jayhawks we see Vanderbilt better or on par with all of those teams.  What also needs to be noted is the fact Memorial Gym represents arguably the toughest place to play basically anywhere in the country and this will be a sellout crown in a frenzy with the season on the line this afternoon.  Finally, Vandy is backed by a big in season revenge angle as they were blown out by Kentucky in Lexington earlier this season but the Commodores have come a long way since that game and will put forth a much stronger effort here.  Vandy is good enough defensively, especially on the interior, to contain the Wildcats and the Commodores are lights out from three point range, especially in this building.  Look for a ton of energy out of the home team today as Kentucky will be on their heels this entire game and if the threes are falling for Vandy, not only will they win but they will run the Wildcats out of the arena in a blowout.  

    $$$$ Vanderbilt +2

    Personally this will be as big of a play as the Colorado play was for me on Wednesday night.  Lots of great stuff out there today, if interested in my full card stop by topflightsportsinfo dot com

    Lets go with another winning day for everyone today!
     
    nfl_brosuf
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:35 AM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by ToothPac:

    Brosuf....you gotta another parlay for the board today buddy? Not sure of the other comment posted cause I'm not seeing it


    Parlay is on you buddy. 

    Pick a few from this thread and make the combination work for you.

    I can only be responsible for my own picking and my own play.  If lose, I lose my money. 


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    Quote Originally Posted by ToothPac:

    Brosuf....you gotta another parlay for the board today buddy? Not sure of the other comment posted cause I'm not seeing it


    Parlay is on you buddy. 

    Pick a few from this thread and make the combination work for you.

    I can only be responsible for my own picking and my own play.  If lose, I lose my money. 


     
    Jack Ryan
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:42 AM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    8-6 $$$$
    9-2 NBA
    7-2 no$$$$

    For the nba

    I like memphis again.  Why you say?  Well didn't they smoked out them lakers last night?  Well here they are again, playing against a team that is worst than them lakers. 

    The suns lost 13 previous straight games in a row.  They are 3-33 SU their last 36 previous games. 

    Here is the best kicker.  The suns shoots 53% from the foul line.  So the spread in this game is +6.5 for the suns.  All we need is for the suns to go to the foul line and miss about 7 free throws and there goes your cover. 

    The Memphis Grizzlies are:

    • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
    • 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
    • 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game

    The Phoenix Suns are:

    • 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
    • 5-13 ATS in their last 18 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. Western Conference.
    • 6-18 ATS in their last 24 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.


    Give me Memphis -6.5





    Memphis got me a split yesterday!! May tail this as well! Love teams with momentum!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:

    8-6 $$$$
    9-2 NBA
    7-2 no$$$$

    For the nba

    I like memphis again.  Why you say?  Well didn't they smoked out them lakers last night?  Well here they are again, playing against a team that is worst than them lakers. 

    The suns lost 13 previous straight games in a row.  They are 3-33 SU their last 36 previous games. 

    Here is the best kicker.  The suns shoots 53% from the foul line.  So the spread in this game is +6.5 for the suns.  All we need is for the suns to go to the foul line and miss about 7 free throws and there goes your cover. 

    The Memphis Grizzlies are:

    • 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
    • 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
    • 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game

    The Phoenix Suns are:

    • 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
    • 5-13 ATS in their last 18 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. Western Conference.
    • 6-18 ATS in their last 24 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.


    Give me Memphis -6.5





    Memphis got me a split yesterday!! May tail this as well! Love teams with momentum!!
     
    wmi799
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:44 AM ET #49

    Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

    Hey guys I just wanted to add some input on the IPFW game today.  IUPUI beat IPFW earlier this year with a last second shot but absolutely dominated the game leading by 17 points in the 2nd hald.  This is a rivalry game.  IUPUI is at home. It is senior night. IPFW is guaranteed the #1 Seed in the tournament.  Will IPFW play to better their overall record with hopes that a loss in the Summit  Conf Tourney Championship would lead to an at large bid?  Will IPFW spread the minutes around more than usual to get everyone some work and reduce injury chances on starters?

    Too many unknowns on this game.  I am staying away.


    I will be on IPFW. Thye doon't like to nor want to lose to IUPUI. They have virtually no chance for an at large bid IMO. 
    Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

    Hey guys I just wanted to add some input on the IPFW game today.  IUPUI beat IPFW earlier this year with a last second shot but absolutely dominated the game leading by 17 points in the 2nd hald.  This is a rivalry game.  IUPUI is at home. It is senior night. IPFW is guaranteed the #1 Seed in the tournament.  Will IPFW play to better their overall record with hopes that a loss in the Summit  Conf Tourney Championship would lead to an at large bid?  Will IPFW spread the minutes around more than usual to get everyone some work and reduce injury chances on starters?

    Too many unknowns on this game.  I am staying away.


    I will be on IPFW. Thye doon't like to nor want to lose to IUPUI. They have virtually no chance for an at large bid IMO. 
     
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 10:49 AM ET #50

    Gonna get this posted before I do the Standings......

    $$$$ = Utah (-3) over Arizona

    Arizona is walking into their second pit of death this weekend, as Colorado beat them down the other night and Utah is even better than Colorado, and their fans will be at a fever pitch to beat the Wildcats.  Its hard to think Arizona will lose two in a row, but Utah is one of the 3 tops teams in the Pac-12 and might be in line for a 3 or 4 seed in the Tourney.  Arizona is a very good team, but they just aren't a good enough team to beat a Top-15 team on the road.  Utah is balanced and can score from all over the floor.  They have who I think is the best low-post, #5 in all of the NCAA in Jakob Poeltl, who is borderline unstoppable in the paint.  Arizona does have a legit center in Tarczewski, but I don't think he can stop Poeltl without getting into foul trouble.  Honestly, these teams are pretty evenly matched, but the advantages of home court and momentum are enough to push Utah over the edge here.  My main concern is who will check Arizona's Ryan Anderson, who is a down-low force kind of like Charles Barkley was.  I think Kuzma can use his length and athleticism to sow him down enough as long as he doesn't get into foul trouble.  I think there is a good chance that Utah jumps out to a big lead here and just boat races UA today.

    Good luck everyone!

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    Gonna get this posted before I do the Standings......

    $$$$ = Utah (-3) over Arizona

    Arizona is walking into their second pit of death this weekend, as Colorado beat them down the other night and Utah is even better than Colorado, and their fans will be at a fever pitch to beat the Wildcats.  Its hard to think Arizona will lose two in a row, but Utah is one of the 3 tops teams in the Pac-12 and might be in line for a 3 or 4 seed in the Tourney.  Arizona is a very good team, but they just aren't a good enough team to beat a Top-15 team on the road.  Utah is balanced and can score from all over the floor.  They have who I think is the best low-post, #5 in all of the NCAA in Jakob Poeltl, who is borderline unstoppable in the paint.  Arizona does have a legit center in Tarczewski, but I don't think he can stop Poeltl without getting into foul trouble.  Honestly, these teams are pretty evenly matched, but the advantages of home court and momentum are enough to push Utah over the edge here.  My main concern is who will check Arizona's Ryan Anderson, who is a down-low force kind of like Charles Barkley was.  I think Kuzma can use his length and athleticism to sow him down enough as long as he doesn't get into foul trouble.  I think there is a good chance that Utah jumps out to a big lead here and just boat races UA today.

    Good luck everyone!

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