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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Holmey's $$$$ Thread - Post Your BEST Play Only - 02.09.16

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    USC_Holmey
    febaby3
    D_Frash
    8888Vegas
    missjenny
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    Posts: 117
    12345 Next Last»
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2016 - 10:22 PM ET #1

    $$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

    PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.

    Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week. 

    A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.

    - No buying points.

    - No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays

    - No props

    - $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn't go into the spreadsheet.


    AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!

    You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    $$$$ THREAD CONCEPT - This thread is for all of us to share our expertise with everyone else to benefit the group.

    THIS IS NOT A PICKING CONTEST!

    PLEASE make special note of this! If you have an area of expertise, please make some $$$$ choices from your area of expertise when you have a game you are confident enough in to call it a "$$$$ PLAY". The difference between a PICK and a $$$$ PLAY is that a PICK is a game you like, a $$$$ PLAY is a game that you KNOW. If you are claiming your choice is a $$$$, and you really have NO true knowledge of that game, then you are just cheating us and posting your PICK just for attention and to see your name on the board.

    RULES FOR POSTING - We will not track your $$$$ PLAY if you do not follow these rules. You are welcome to still post your PICK or card, but unless you do the things below, we won't be putting your $$$$ on the spreadsheet.

    Only one $$$$  per day and a MAXIMUM of 4 per week. 

    A week starts on Mon and ends on Sun.

    - No buying points.

    - No other "line-manipulations" like teasers, etc.

    - No parlays

    - No props

    - $$$$ PLAYS need to be -129 or lower.  Anything -130 and over, take the -1.5 goals or runs.

    - Do not try to cheat on lines. We, as a group, are all over the lines and every time someone gives a stinky spread, it is always called out. If the line is off, the $$$$ doesn't go into the spreadsheet.


    AND THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE!

    You must give an ORIGINAL explanation as to why you KNOW this $$$$ PLAY will win. And don't just "stat" us to death. Tell us about the game. DO NOT COPY YOUR WRITE-UPS! People on this thread are all over the internet and will find your plagiarism. I guarantee it. You can use Last 10, ATS, etc., numbers to support your argument, but stats from a gambling website are not an explanation.

    FOLLOW THESE RULES AND YOUR $$$$ PICK WILL GET TRACKED

    Thank you for your understanding and your help in keeping this thread for the benefit of everybody, not just a place for you to blather out random picks and toot your own horn.

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 8, 2016 - 10:32 PM ET #2

    Thread hit big on Monday night with the Chattanooga $$$$, including bubbaski27 moving to 4-0 on $$$$'s and ncaabb going to 3-0.  Also, congrats to jimc0911 for his Raptors $$$$ that moves him to 3-1!

    Keep it going today guys!

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    Thread hit big on Monday night with the Chattanooga $$$$, including bubbaski27 moving to 4-0 on $$$$'s and ncaabb going to 3-0.  Also, congrats to jimc0911 for his Raptors $$$$ that moves him to 3-1!

    Keep it going today guys!

     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 12:05 AM ET #3

    Hey guys.  The thread moves down the list here on Covers really quickly, so if you are ever looking for it and cant find it, click on my Profile page and it shows the recent threads I have posted on up in the right corner and the current day's thread should always be up there.

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    Hey guys.  The thread moves down the list here on Covers really quickly, so if you are ever looking for it and cant find it, click on my Profile page and it shows the recent threads I have posted on up in the right corner and the current day's thread should always be up there.

     
    febaby3
    febaby3
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 12:56 AM ET #4

    Shoutout to Chatanooga for coming through for me in the clutch!!! Mercer put up a good fight tho.
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    Shoutout to Chatanooga for coming through for me in the clutch!!! Mercer put up a good fight tho.
     
    D_Frash
    D_Frash
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 1:05 AM ET #5

    Northwestern @ Ohio St. (-5')

    It's all about motivation and confidence with this Buckeye squad. They are sitting at 4-1 (3-2 ATS) at home in conference with a tough loss last Sunday at home against the Terps. This was a close matchup in Evanston one month ago that Ohio St took over in the last 8 min, winning 65-56. These are two deliberate offensive teams that do not have much explosiveness on offense.

    However, you have a guy in JaQuan Lyle whose balls just dropped figuratively and literally against Wisconsin with 27 pts in 32 min after he lost his starting spot the last 4 games in favor of A.J. Harris. I fully expect Lyle to be back in the starting lineup for this one after dominating Koenig on Thursday and foresee a similar performance upcoming against a similarly slow footed defender in McIntosh. Northwestern is going to pack the lane and force the Bucks to beat them from the outside but I am confident in Ohio St getting in the lane for some strong finishes with Lyle, Tate, and KBD and also spending a lot of time at the charity stripe. Ohio St was abysmal at the line in the first matchup going 10-22 so a few more conversions there wouldn't hurt our cause. If NW is going to let OSU bomb from long range all night, though, I would expect the Buckeyes to convert at least 7 to 10 3PFG with Lyle, Loving, Williams, KBD, and conceivably Tate  and Harris.

    It has been an absolute battle for Northwestern to score recently with the exception of the Minnesota game Thursday but Minnesota is playing like a high school team this year so I will factor that game out of my capping. Their leading scorer, McIntosh, has really been struggling in his L5 shooting 29% and I expect the same here with the quickness of Lyle and Harris keeping him off balance much like the first matchup when he went 5-15. Tre Demps has really come on lately going for 30 against Iowa and 23 against Minny but Iowa was leaving him unguarded from 3 on a lot of weakside rotations and the Gophers are playing like high school team right now. I would expect a combination of the high energy Tate, Williams, or KBD to be flanking Demps all night with the hope that the lazy bum Loving doesn't get caught in a pick and pop against Demps more than once. Alex Olah being back in the lineup is big but he has not been much of a factor thusfar outside of the Indiana game, as he still has not played more than 20 min since his return. The combination of Giddens and Thompson should be able to keep him in check.

    I am calling this one 68-55 Ohio St.
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    Northwestern @ Ohio St. (-5')

    It's all about motivation and confidence with this Buckeye squad. They are sitting at 4-1 (3-2 ATS) at home in conference with a tough loss last Sunday at home against the Terps. This was a close matchup in Evanston one month ago that Ohio St took over in the last 8 min, winning 65-56. These are two deliberate offensive teams that do not have much explosiveness on offense.

    However, you have a guy in JaQuan Lyle whose balls just dropped figuratively and literally against Wisconsin with 27 pts in 32 min after he lost his starting spot the last 4 games in favor of A.J. Harris. I fully expect Lyle to be back in the starting lineup for this one after dominating Koenig on Thursday and foresee a similar performance upcoming against a similarly slow footed defender in McIntosh. Northwestern is going to pack the lane and force the Bucks to beat them from the outside but I am confident in Ohio St getting in the lane for some strong finishes with Lyle, Tate, and KBD and also spending a lot of time at the charity stripe. Ohio St was abysmal at the line in the first matchup going 10-22 so a few more conversions there wouldn't hurt our cause. If NW is going to let OSU bomb from long range all night, though, I would expect the Buckeyes to convert at least 7 to 10 3PFG with Lyle, Loving, Williams, KBD, and conceivably Tate  and Harris.

    It has been an absolute battle for Northwestern to score recently with the exception of the Minnesota game Thursday but Minnesota is playing like a high school team this year so I will factor that game out of my capping. Their leading scorer, McIntosh, has really been struggling in his L5 shooting 29% and I expect the same here with the quickness of Lyle and Harris keeping him off balance much like the first matchup when he went 5-15. Tre Demps has really come on lately going for 30 against Iowa and 23 against Minny but Iowa was leaving him unguarded from 3 on a lot of weakside rotations and the Gophers are playing like high school team right now. I would expect a combination of the high energy Tate, Williams, or KBD to be flanking Demps all night with the hope that the lazy bum Loving doesn't get caught in a pick and pop against Demps more than once. Alex Olah being back in the lineup is big but he has not been much of a factor thusfar outside of the Indiana game, as he still has not played more than 20 min since his return. The combination of Giddens and Thompson should be able to keep him in check.

    I am calling this one 68-55 Ohio St.
     
    8888Vegas
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 1:32 AM ET #6

    BOL TO ALL
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    BOL TO ALL
     
    missjenny
    missjenny
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 1:41 AM ET #7

    PICK OF THE CENTURY

    VILLANOVA -11.5
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    PICK OF THE CENTURY

    VILLANOVA -11.5
     
    Mozart
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 2:13 AM ET #8

    D_Frash~

    Thank you for that good write-up.

    Is this your $$$$ play?

    Unless you specifically state that it's an official $$$$ play for this thread, the OP cannot assume that it's a $$$$ play.

    .

    Miss Jenny~

    Thank you for your pick; however, the rules in this thread are that you must share your own thoughts about this game on what you know, as opposed to stats/facts pulled from some website.

    What makes you so confident to call it what you called it?

    You will also need to specifically state that a pick that you'd be sharing would be a $$$$ play for the day; you can enter up to 4 $$$$ plays per week, and no more than that.

    I'd like to see what your thoughts on Villanova, as I've been looking at that game myself.


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    D_Frash~

    Thank you for that good write-up.

    Is this your $$$$ play?

    Unless you specifically state that it's an official $$$$ play for this thread, the OP cannot assume that it's a $$$$ play.

    .

    Miss Jenny~

    Thank you for your pick; however, the rules in this thread are that you must share your own thoughts about this game on what you know, as opposed to stats/facts pulled from some website.

    What makes you so confident to call it what you called it?

    You will also need to specifically state that a pick that you'd be sharing would be a $$$$ play for the day; you can enter up to 4 $$$$ plays per week, and no more than that.

    I'd like to see what your thoughts on Villanova, as I've been looking at that game myself.


     
    ByrdMane612
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 2:20 AM ET #9

    Gnarly thread dudes 

    Keep up the great work everyone 
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    Gnarly thread dudes 

    Keep up the great work everyone 
     
    Wolf_Van_Bach
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 4:38 AM ET #10

    Just bumping the thread.
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    Just bumping the thread.
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 7:53 AM ET #11

    Morning guys.  Let's find some good $$$$'s today and see if we can beat yesterday's water-treading 5-5.......
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    Morning guys.  Let's find some good $$$$'s today and see if we can beat yesterday's water-treading 5-5.......
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 7:55 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Wolf_Van_Bach:

    Just bumping the thread.

    Thanks, Wolf.  This is actually very helpful sometimes.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wolf_Van_Bach:

    Just bumping the thread.

    Thanks, Wolf.  This is actually very helpful sometimes.
     
    USC_Holmey
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 7:57 AM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:

    D_Frash~

    Thank you for that good write-up.

    Is this your $$$$ play?

    Unless you specifically state that it's an official $$$$ play for this thread, the OP cannot assume that it's a $$$$ play.

    .

    Miss Jenny~

    Thank you for your pick; however, the rules in this thread are that you must share your own thoughts about this game on what you know, as opposed to stats/facts pulled from some website.

    What makes you so confident to call it what you called it?

    You will also need to specifically state that a pick that you'd be sharing would be a $$$$ play for the day; you can enter up to 4 $$$$ plays per week, and no more than that.

    I'd like to see what your thoughts on Villanova, as I've been looking at that game myself.




    Thanks for helping out, Mozart.  I am tracking D_Frash's play as it's pretty clearly intended to be a $$$$ with a writeup as strong as that one. 


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    Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:

    D_Frash~

    Thank you for that good write-up.

    Is this your $$$$ play?

    Unless you specifically state that it's an official $$$$ play for this thread, the OP cannot assume that it's a $$$$ play.

    .

    Miss Jenny~

    Thank you for your pick; however, the rules in this thread are that you must share your own thoughts about this game on what you know, as opposed to stats/facts pulled from some website.

    What makes you so confident to call it what you called it?

    You will also need to specifically state that a pick that you'd be sharing would be a $$$$ play for the day; you can enter up to 4 $$$$ plays per week, and no more than that.

    I'd like to see what your thoughts on Villanova, as I've been looking at that game myself.




    Thanks for helping out, Mozart.  I am tracking D_Frash's play as it's pretty clearly intended to be a $$$$ with a writeup as strong as that one. 


     
    gatorbear
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 8:01 AM ET #14

    First time adding my 2 cents.  I am an SEC guy and will make my $$$$ play this evening on the Florida Gators -9.  This is not a homer play mind you.  Florida is 11-1 at home this season.  They play very well in the ODome.  Ole Miss 5-4 on the road this year, losing 3 of their last 4 on the road.  Only victory was vs Mizzou.  In their defense, they have been competitive.

    Gators owns the field goal % as well as the better D & rebounding plus a deeper bench.  Siaz may be back for the Rebs which is a positive, but he has been out for almost a month so how effective will he be???  Gators going for the sweep as they beat Ole Miss by 9 in Oxford.  With a wild crowd in Gville tonight, it is worth at least a 3 point home advantage.

    I also think after that Kentucky debacle, Florida knows it is in a  must win situation to keep their tourny aspirations viable.  They come out bombing tonight and win this game by double digits.

    GL to all.    
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    First time adding my 2 cents.  I am an SEC guy and will make my $$$$ play this evening on the Florida Gators -9.  This is not a homer play mind you.  Florida is 11-1 at home this season.  They play very well in the ODome.  Ole Miss 5-4 on the road this year, losing 3 of their last 4 on the road.  Only victory was vs Mizzou.  In their defense, they have been competitive.

    Gators owns the field goal % as well as the better D & rebounding plus a deeper bench.  Siaz may be back for the Rebs which is a positive, but he has been out for almost a month so how effective will he be???  Gators going for the sweep as they beat Ole Miss by 9 in Oxford.  With a wild crowd in Gville tonight, it is worth at least a 3 point home advantage.

    I also think after that Kentucky debacle, Florida knows it is in a  must win situation to keep their tourny aspirations viable.  They come out bombing tonight and win this game by double digits.

    GL to all.    
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 8:18 AM ET #15

    Thanks for the $$$$ gatorbear.  Good writeup, also, in an area that you clearly follow closely,

    It looks like what you have is a "LFYT", which, on the old thread, I used to track as a "LOCK For Your Team".  We also tracked "LAYT"s.  The numbers greatly favored LAYT's.

    People would voluntarily label their LOCKS as one we or the other.  Like if I ever take USC as my $$$$, it would be fairly obvious that was a $FYT.

    If anyone wants to include "$FYT" or "$AYT" in your post, it might be interesting to start tracking that again.

    One thing I can certainly remember was that there were like 5 LFYT's for every 1 LAYT, which is telling in its own right.

    Sorry for the digression.  Best of luck on the $$$$, gatorbear!
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    Thanks for the $$$$ gatorbear.  Good writeup, also, in an area that you clearly follow closely,

    It looks like what you have is a "LFYT", which, on the old thread, I used to track as a "LOCK For Your Team".  We also tracked "LAYT"s.  The numbers greatly favored LAYT's.

    People would voluntarily label their LOCKS as one we or the other.  Like if I ever take USC as my $$$$, it would be fairly obvious that was a $FYT.

    If anyone wants to include "$FYT" or "$AYT" in your post, it might be interesting to start tracking that again.

    One thing I can certainly remember was that there were like 5 LFYT's for every 1 LAYT, which is telling in its own right.

    Sorry for the digression.  Best of luck on the $$$$, gatorbear!
     
    gatorbear
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 8:35 AM ET #16

    Holmey, it definitely is my team so I guess I will entitle it $FYT.  You will never see me go against my team.  As a result, there will NEVER be a $AYT wager.  Once again, the Gators are my team but not a homer pick.  I do not bet on them every game or even blindly. This is just a nice situational spot.  GL tonight.


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    Holmey, it definitely is my team so I guess I will entitle it $FYT.  You will never see me go against my team.  As a result, there will NEVER be a $AYT wager.  Once again, the Gators are my team but not a homer pick.  I do not bet on them every game or even blindly. This is just a nice situational spot.  GL tonight.


     
    syracusejoe
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 8:35 AM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by missjenny:

    PICK OF THE CENTURYVILLANOVA -11.5


    You said western Michigan in another thread? What is it honey?
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    Quote Originally Posted by missjenny:

    PICK OF THE CENTURYVILLANOVA -11.5


    You said western Michigan in another thread? What is it honey?
     
    Drock13
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 9:06 AM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by syracusejoe:



    You said western Michigan in another thread? What is it honey?

    I'm guessing it's Villanova since they were just named the AP #1

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    Quote Originally Posted by syracusejoe:



    You said western Michigan in another thread? What is it honey?

    I'm guessing it's Villanova since they were just named the AP #1

     
    jroc1247
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 9:20 AM ET #19

    I am rolling with Purdue tonight to pull  the upset at home vs Sparty. Line trending toward Boilers. Why? Sparty has owned this match up 8 of the last 10 meetings. The hype machine has been building on this team after 1 good win. Last several steam rolls have been against dreck. I think Purdue owns the boards and free throws tonight will be enough to win outright!

    Purdue+1
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    I am rolling with Purdue tonight to pull  the upset at home vs Sparty. Line trending toward Boilers. Why? Sparty has owned this match up 8 of the last 10 meetings. The hype machine has been building on this team after 1 good win. Last several steam rolls have been against dreck. I think Purdue owns the boards and free throws tonight will be enough to win outright!

    Purdue+1
     
    Bubbaski27
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 9:43 AM ET #20

    Wow looking at the games tonight and I feel like a kid in a candy store.  Already ran a few numbers and it looks so sweet just hope I don't end up with a cavity!
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    Wow looking at the games tonight and I feel like a kid in a candy store.  Already ran a few numbers and it looks so sweet just hope I don't end up with a cavity!
     
    TurtleNoodleSou
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 10:23 AM ET #21

    I'm glad I tailed the Moc's last night. Good work guys. I took ND against Miami expecting performances that we have seen against NC and CLEM. I'll be back though! Good luck today guys 
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    I'm glad I tailed the Moc's last night. Good work guys. I took ND against Miami expecting performances that we have seen against NC and CLEM. I'll be back though! Good luck today guys 
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 11:31 AM ET #22

    Good slate of games tonight. Let's get some nice writeups and $$$$ winners!

    I'll get the Standings page posted in an hour or two. Good luck today!
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    Good slate of games tonight. Let's get some nice writeups and $$$$ winners!

    I'll get the Standings page posted in an hour or two. Good luck today!
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 11:46 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by gatorbear:

    Holmey, it definitely is my team so I guess I will entitle it $FYT.  You will never see me go against my team.  As a result, there will NEVER be a $AYT wager.  Once again, the Gators are my team but not a homer pick.  I do not bet on them every game or even blindly. This is just a nice situational spot.  GL tonight.


    OK. Got it. But also make sure you are impartial enough to be able to see when the best play is AGAINST your too! I don't mean today, but sometimes at least! :)
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    Quote Originally Posted by gatorbear:

    Holmey, it definitely is my team so I guess I will entitle it $FYT.  You will never see me go against my team.  As a result, there will NEVER be a $AYT wager.  Once again, the Gators are my team but not a homer pick.  I do not bet on them every game or even blindly. This is just a nice situational spot.  GL tonight.


    OK. Got it. But also make sure you are impartial enough to be able to see when the best play is AGAINST your too! I don't mean today, but sometimes at least! :)
     
    USC_Holmey
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 11:46 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by gatorbear:

    Holmey, it definitely is my team so I guess I will entitle it $FYT.  You will never see me go against my team.  As a result, there will NEVER be a $AYT wager.  Once again, the Gators are my team but not a homer pick.  I do not bet on them every game or even blindly. This is just a nice situational spot.  GL tonight.


    OK. Got it. But also make sure you are impartial enough to be able to see when the best play is AGAINST your too! I don't mean today, but sometimes at least! :)
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    Quote Originally Posted by gatorbear:

    Holmey, it definitely is my team so I guess I will entitle it $FYT.  You will never see me go against my team.  As a result, there will NEVER be a $AYT wager.  Once again, the Gators are my team but not a homer pick.  I do not bet on them every game or even blindly. This is just a nice situational spot.  GL tonight.


    OK. Got it. But also make sure you are impartial enough to be able to see when the best play is AGAINST your too! I don't mean today, but sometimes at least! :)
     
     
    bk1374
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 11:47 AM ET #25

    Good luck today guys and girl.  
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    Good luck today guys and girl.  
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